John Kerry: energy is ‘turbulent’ w/ regard to $ and supply in light of Russia-Ukraine crisis and the economic response. It’s going to be something ‘we’re going to have to live with for awhile’, but ‘we need to come together’ - calls this a ‘defining moment’ of century #CERAweek
Kerry: the emissions off-ramp will be too steep post-2030 if not enough is done this decade to keep 1.5 degrees/net zero by 2050 in sight. (Hasn’t yet commented on how to balance this with still-real oil, gas demand and med-term energy security needs) #CERAWeek
Kerry: the IEA has identified 46 critical technologies to achieve net zero. The world is behind on delivering 44 of those at economically commercial scale. #CERAWeek
Kerry: ‘we’re so litigious’ that it’s difficult to get grid infra. in place to add stability needed for electrification push. Similarly, infra. needed for greenH2 etc to ‘bring it all together’ #CERAWeek

(Litigation and infrastructure of all kinds are like PB+J @ this point)
Kerry: natural gas will be a key component of the energy transition — but not unabated gas #CERAWeek

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More from @cm_energyintel

Mar 7
Petronas CEO calls the current market crisis “absolute bedlam” and “chaos” #CERAWeek
Cheniere’s Fusco: we process 7-7.5Bcf/d currently for LNG export. ‘We are maxed out.’ #CERAWeek
Cheniere on whether there’s any slack in the global LNG system: ‘not much’ Fusco says, ‘no one is holding back’ #CERAWeek
Read 7 tweets
Mar 7
$XOM Darren Woods: industry coming together at #CERAWeek ‘united’ around two objectives: 1) meeting world’s energy needs 2) addressing climate change
$XOM Woods: current events reinforce importance of developing diverse sources — points to Permian as development that has transformed energy map and improved energy security of US and world #CERAWeek
$XOM Woods reinforces ‘deep concern’ surrounding Russia-Ukraine and calls out ‘needless destruction’ and loss of life

(I know this type of statement has become routine over the past week but it really is unprecedented - Big Oil historically tried to thread neutrality) #CERAWeek
Read 8 tweets
Mar 6
There is a lot of confusion out there about US oil supply and whether/how it could respond to the current crisis.

Let’s try to set the record straight 🧵

#OOTT
US shale is about the shortest cycle (I.e. fastest turnaround) new oil production out there. But it is NOT a switch that can be flipped. The industry is not sitting on tons of completed wells that can just be ‘turned on.’
Very few (Saudis, UAE) have this kind of spare capacity — and even then, the definition is output that takes <6 MONTHS to bring online. Also, the US ran through much of its inventory of drilled but uncompleted wells to survive and recover from 2020, extending the turnaround time.
Read 15 tweets
Feb 1
$XOM (out this morning w/ a strong earnings beat) says its capex will range from $21bn-$24bn this year -- at the midpoint, that would mark a 36% increase from 2021

2021 was always expected to be a significant trough in spending;
capex range this year sits w/I its med-term plans
Keeping its capex tight last year helped $XOM pay back essentially all of the debt it took out in 2020 (a very rough year for the major...)

$9bn paid back in Q4, $20bn paid back over the full year
$XOM began buybacks this quarter -- says that it started the year at an even pace to spread the $10bn over 24 months, but that has accelerated due to strong FY2021 results + robust oil prices
Read 9 tweets

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