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Mar 7 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Of course regime change is a goal in Russia, whether Blinken can say it or not! Putin is the source, the disease of a thousand symptoms. You don't compromise with cancer, you cut it out.
Putin won't believe the united front isolating him and Russia will hold thanks to comments like this, continued negotiations with Russia on the Iran deal, Scholz saying the EU will keep buying Russian energy, etc. He has waited the West out before, many times.
This is why institutional continuity has always been critical to deterrence. Put Putin's isolation into law, the default—make it permanent so his mafia and Russians know there is no way back with Putin.
Otherwise, Putin sees Ukrainian civilians just as new bargaining chips on the table in the geopolitical casino with the Iran deal, gas and oil prices, and everything else. They must not be. Everything else must be shut down, all loopholes closed.

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More from @Kasparov63

Garry Kasparov Profile picture
Mar 8
Years of hearing that no action could be taken against Putin's propaganda outlets in the West, all for what? To wait for him to launch all-out war and kick you out anyway. As with many companies setting up there, handing Putin hostages he could use for leverage.
I can't count how many times the biggest tech & social media companies have told us they couldn't "take a side" or "criticize Russia" because it would put their employees there at risk. Mostly that meant their profits, of course.
Even good-faith engagement becomes appeasement and collaboration as corruption spreads. As I wrote in Winter Is Coming, the road to Hell may be paved with good intentions, but compromises on principle are the streetlights.
Read 8 tweets
Garry Kasparov Profile picture
Mar 6
Putin has been pumping poison into their heads for 20 years, every channel & outlet. For perspective, it took Trump, Facebook, and one cable news station a few months to turn a third of Americans against democracy.
The longer it goes on, the harder it is to get out. It's like being in a cult. The moment you admit you are being lied to, you have to accept that you've been lied to, and lying, and gone along with it for a very long time. Your mind and ego resist.
It was over 10 years ago when we estimated it would take around 6 weeks of unregulated media in Russia to get rid of Putin. It would take longer now, real deprogramming. Showing people the truth isn't enough if they simply won't believe their own eyes.
Read 4 tweets
Garry Kasparov Profile picture
Mar 6
My Ukraine thread tonight is a little different, because I want to ask some pointed questions about the slow US response and actions that are so far much weaker than the Biden White House's bold promises. Several elements don't add up & the truth is required. 1/8
RU foreign minister Lavrov says Russia is still at the table with the US to revive Obama's Iran deal. Regardless of your opinion of the deal, Russia shouldn't be anywhere near a table with the US or anyone else. Isolation means isolation. wsj.com/articles/iran-… 2/8
Maintaining contacts like this tells Putin that there is a way out, that he has leverage & authority. Of course Russia wants to connect the Iran deal to lifting sanctions levied for Putin's invasion of Ukraine. This shows they are working and that more are needed. 3/8
Read 8 tweets
Garry Kasparov Profile picture
Mar 5
Putin never respects ceasefires, and why should he in Ukraine? The only forces capable of stopping him have already told him that they will not intervene. NATO, US, and NATO nations love to preemptively take things off the table. Putin thanks them.
Normal instinct is to offer concessions and promises to reassure your enemy and avoid escalation. But a dictator like Putin reads it the opposite, that you are too weak to stop him or you would, and therefore he can escalate. This has been the pattern for years.
Putin was always terrified of NATO, and has worked to undermine it and cause divisions. But the longer his slaughter in Ukraine goes on, and NATO nations stand by and watch, the more Putin believes it is a paper tiger and the more dangerous he becomes.
Read 5 tweets
Garry Kasparov Profile picture
Mar 3
We are witnessing, literally watching live, Putin commit genocide on an industrial scale in Ukraine while the most powerful military alliance in history stands aside. It's impossible not to be emotional, but let us also be rational and focus our rage on the facts. 1/13
Putin once again told Macron to go to hell, no surprise. NATO/EU has already told Putin they won't touch his forces, so why should he listen? Russia is lifting target limitations and the death toll is rising every hour and lack of water & electricity is critical. 2/13
No treaty forbids NATO nations from fighting to defend in Ukraine. It's a choice based on the risk of Putin going nuclear, many say. That arming Ukrainians is an acceptable risk of WWIII & the citizenship of the pilot or soldier changes Putin's nuclear calculus, or NATO's. 3/13
Read 13 tweets
Garry Kasparov Profile picture
Mar 2
Putin's war on Ukraine has entered its next phase, one of destruction and slaughter of civilians. It is also a part of Putin's World War, a war on the civilized world of international law, democracy, and any threat to his power, which he declared long ago. 1/13
The free world's denial of this war and decades of appeasement allowed Putin to threaten and conquer abroad while turning Russia into a police state. The price to stop him has gone up every time he has advanced unchallenged. Ukrainians are paying that price in blood. 2/13
If Putin is not stopped now, not prevented from destroying Ukraine and committing genocide against its people, there will be a next time and it will be in NATO, with an unprecedented nuclear threat. Do not let Putin escalate again in a time and place of his choosing. 3/13
Read 15 tweets

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