A bit drunk. But need to get this off my chest publicly.

A few months back a large trader came to kolkata. Wanted to speak to me personally regarding some trading issues ( not models or methods, mainly psychology). He was a student of mine a few years back.
We spoke, issues I am not at liberty to discuss. Suggested some pointers.

What I noticed was his size, probably 20-50 times more than mine.

I did have the capital, but not the #jigar
Being from a middle class family, a school teacher mother and the experience of blowing up earlier, I was obsessed / fanatical about risk mgmt
So my size was small/managable at a max 0.25% max risk of my capital at any given trade
Now this guy set me thinking. I was not envious ( I envy only my school/college teacher friends due to their large number of paid holidays 😄 ), but thought why not increase my risk.

Used a variation of Kelly's , a version of Optimal F for position sizing ( naked options)
Started playing size now. As a result made the highest in my life in a 2 month in terms of absolute amount and ROI.

Thanks @asitbaran . Thank you from the bottom of my heart for pushing me 🙏

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More from @SubhadipNandy16

Mar 7
I have seen 1992, 2000 and 2008. Post 2008 , we have not seen any form of Global Financial Crisis. If you have entered markets post 2010 , you have not seen a true bear market. The 2020 covid dip and rise ( fuelled by QE) was not a bear market.
I strongly suggest one studies the earlier bear markets on charts, analyse the then economic and socio political scenario before taking any decision. Not all dips needs to be bought , beware of trying to catch a falling knife. Remember Japan 1991
Buyers will get numerous opportunities. Wait for some form of reversal signal, buy 5-10-15% above to be safe. More money had been lost trying to catch a bottom.

Rest your choice. I honestly shared what I feel 🙏
Read 5 tweets
Feb 16
COI suggests positions still in the system, options positions have increased yesterday
BNF :
Expecting resistance to come in between 38300-400 region
Support at 37600

Nifty fut= Resistance 17350-400 region
Support at 17150
Until BNF closes above 38750 by end of day closing and NF closes above 17500 by end of day closing, will not be looking at the indices as strongly bullish
Read 4 tweets
Jan 23
The most common problem faced by day-traders and it's easy solution which is extremely difficult to implement.
A thread.
( uses concepts I have discussed many times before in separate threads)
Problem : I have a good system, I understand charts and/or price action, but I simply can't make money. I hold my losses too long or ( this is most common) I get out of profitable positions too fast and cannot sit for the whole move
At many firms at NASDAQ, day-traders are seen as elite sportspersons playing in a difficult taxing game. That's why, they have regular sessions with sports psychologists. They are advised to follow the basic routine of sportspersons.
Train ---- Play tournaments --- Rest
Read 15 tweets
Jan 16
Me not throwing muck in response over the past few weeks was a concious choice. Have my own trades and have responsibility to my students.

But my silence is now being construed as a sign of weakness, so just setting the record straight
Mr. Kora Reddy and Sushil Kedia has kindly named me #datagandu. Since they have used the term "data", I shall speak and answer allegations with data.

No throwing muck in the air out of nowehere.
First allegation : I was a clerk in ATMA under Sushil Kedia for 35k per month, I begged for the job and was "fired" or " kicked out" by Sushil Kedia
Read 18 tweets
Jan 14
Thanks Gautamda.

COI analysis helped me on the bearish view on the way down, and then the subsequent bull move with 18350 target.

However, scenario now is a bit murky. Read the tweets below ImageImage
BNF showing long liquidation while NF showing long buildup. In my experience, whenever the two indices shows divergent behavior, it's very difficult to cleanly trade the indices. We are probably starting a time-price correction
Traders will do best if they let this scenario resolve over the next few days before trying to trade the next trend move. Everyone makes money in a trending move but majority give back during this congested times. So, I will stand aside and give time to markets .
Read 5 tweets
Nov 27, 2021
Some excellent responses to this thread on how people manage risk. Let me outline my process. I will write it step by step, break it down and explain my logic. Not necessarily these are iron rules, feel free to understand and then add/modify what suits you.
So let's repeat the scenario again. You are with an overnight position, the market opens huge against you ( long or short does not matter). What do you do then?
Step 1 : start the relaxation technique as outlined in earlier thread.
Now these are your choices :
1. Double the position, averaging with hope that a slight favourable move will reduce your losses
2. Totally reverse the position, say from long to short
3. Cut the full position
4. Cut half ( "when in doubt, cut half position ")
5. Keep holding
Read 19 tweets

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