“scores of war games & my own experience as US nat’l intel officer for Europe suggest…there are really only two paths toward ending the war: one, continued escalation potentially across nuclear threshold; other, a bitter peace imposed on defeated Ukraine” theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
“Scores of war games carried out by the United States and its allies in the wake of Russia’s 2014 invasion of Ukraine make it clear that Putin would probably use a nuclear weapon if he concludes that his regime is threatened” theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
.@CChivvis: “Based on war games I ran in the wake of Putin’s 2014 invasion, a more likely option would be a sudden nuclear test or a high-altitude nuclear detonation that damages the electrical grid over a major Ukrainian or even Nato city.” theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
I’d be interested in hearing from expert Indian and Chinese voices on likely responses from those countries to Russian limited nuclear use in Ukraine or elsewhere, including demonstration strikes. Diplomatic game-changer?
https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1501286412427137042
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