Garry Kasparov Profile picture
Mar 10 4 tweets 1 min read
Is there a reason Burns still has his job? Either Putin's invasion was one of the worst intel failures of all time, or he was fooled and made a terrible call. Or there are deals they care about more than Ukraine. He met with Patrushev in November, what did they talk about?
Being a diplomat, even a Russia expert, may not be of much use during a war, when Putin sees any lifeline of communication as a sign of weakness. Is he still giving orders after being so catastrophically wrong?
If US intel was sure Putin was going to invade, as it seemed to be, why didn't they arm the hell out of Ukraine and implement sanctions immediately, as I and others implored at the time? Not to "provoke" Putin when he was already set on war? Makes no sense.
This is another reason I suspect Ukraine is just another chip on the table for the US with Russia. Putin knew the US wanted other things re Iran or whatever John Kerry is doing, and strung them along until tanks were rolling. Crucial weeks to prepare Ukraine were lost.

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More from @Kasparov63

Mar 12
Indeed. Zelensky, under siege and outgunned, channels Churchill. Biden, in command of the most powerful military in the history of the world, channels Chamberlain. Why this perverse urge to take things off the table?
Biden told Putin, "We shall NOT fight on the beaches, we shall NOT fight on the landing grounds, we shall NOT fight in the fields..." That Putin can reduce Ukraine to dust by any means and boxing himself in for no reason. Madness.
This isn't new. We know what happens when hostile dictators are appeased. Chamberlain didn't know. We are repeating the mistake not only from 1938, but from 2008 & 2014 with Putin.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 11
Why are we always hearing about what the US and NATO won't do and never about what they will do? It's been one green light after another for Putin. Now Syria and Belarus are invited to slaughter Ukrainians in Ukraine.
Stop telling me NATO isn't obliged to defend Ukraine from Putin's war crimes. The obligation is moral. The rationale is strategic. You aren't obliged to spout Kremlin talking points on social media, but you're doing it anyway.
We heard all these same arguments about how any intervention in Ukraine would lead to war in 2014. Now war has come anyway and we have the blood of tens of thousands of innocents on our hands and a stain on our soul.
Read 8 tweets
Mar 10
Another day, a million more refugees, dozens more innocent Ukrainian civilians murdered intentionally by Putin's military. Another set of strange excuses for not sending air power so Ukraine can defend itself. 1/8
Feel free to call me a paranoid Russian, but US statements combined with what I'm hearing leave an unpleasant picture of American priorities regarding Putin and the future of Ukraine. It seems they are still trying to make deals with a mass murderer. 2/8
Bennett's shuttle diplomacy, Russia still at the Iran deal table, public bickering with Poland over jets - all with no explanation of the White House's aims or rationales. Is Putin to be cut off or bargained with? It cannot be both, not while his genocide accelerates. 3/8
Read 8 tweets
Mar 9
Again we must ask why the US is dragging its feet, and NATO's, on giving Ukraine the airpower it needs. It's been two weeks. If they wanted it to happen, it would. Putin knows this, too. Are they still looking for some deal with this mass murderer?
How can they be worried about "provoking" Putin when he's bombarding civilians? This is war, this is a slaughter, and leaving all escalation to Putin only encourages him to escalate further. Has the lesson since 2014 not sunk in that you cannot meet power with weakness?
I've been reserved in my criticism of the White House because they have taken some long overdue action. But this strange dance over jets smells. They need to stop covering their ass and start covering Ukrainian civilians from the bombs Putin built with Western money.
Read 5 tweets
Mar 8
Years of hearing that no action could be taken against Putin's propaganda outlets in the West, all for what? To wait for him to launch all-out war and kick you out anyway. As with many companies setting up there, handing Putin hostages he could use for leverage.
I can't count how many times the biggest tech & social media companies have told us they couldn't "take a side" or "criticize Russia" because it would put their employees there at risk. Mostly that meant their profits, of course.
Even good-faith engagement becomes appeasement and collaboration as corruption spreads. As I wrote in Winter Is Coming, the road to Hell may be paved with good intentions, but compromises on principle are the streetlights.
Read 8 tweets
Mar 7
Of course regime change is a goal in Russia, whether Blinken can say it or not! Putin is the source, the disease of a thousand symptoms. You don't compromise with cancer, you cut it out.
Putin won't believe the united front isolating him and Russia will hold thanks to comments like this, continued negotiations with Russia on the Iran deal, Scholz saying the EU will keep buying Russian energy, etc. He has waited the West out before, many times.
This is why institutional continuity has always been critical to deterrence. Put Putin's isolation into law, the default—make it permanent so his mafia and Russians know there is no way back with Putin.
Read 4 tweets

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