Alright, a few Mud, Road & Truck maintenance observations here.🧵
The BTR-82 tire treads in this video are the same as those on several Russian trucks captured with sh--ty tires by Ukraine. They may have the same flawed Chinese tire issues.
Next, look at the road under the
1/
The BTR-82 tire treads in this video are the same as those on several Russian trucks captured with sh--ty tires by Ukraine. They may have the same flawed Chinese tire issues.
Next, look at the road under the
1/
https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1502227878410440707
...burned out 'Rys'.
That piece of pavement is so heat damaged it's going to crack and throw pot holes from day night heat cycles and precipitation, let alone any military truck traffic. The road is in none too good a shape to start with.
This sort of 'pavement attrition"
2/
That piece of pavement is so heat damaged it's going to crack and throw pot holes from day night heat cycles and precipitation, let alone any military truck traffic. The road is in none too good a shape to start with.
This sort of 'pavement attrition"
2/
...is happening everywhere the Ukrainians and Russians destroy combat & support vehicles on Ukrainian roads
The end result is what's called "Friction" in war. It takes more and more effort to do the simple things
Destroyed roads like this are a cascading systems malfunction
3/
The end result is what's called "Friction" in war. It takes more and more effort to do the simple things
Destroyed roads like this are a cascading systems malfunction
3/
in the Russian Army logistical system.
Russian trucks travel at slower speeds because of these battle damage caused road obstacles.
Slow convoy speeds reduce the amount of material moved per truck per day.
4/
Russian trucks travel at slower speeds because of these battle damage caused road obstacles.
Slow convoy speeds reduce the amount of material moved per truck per day.
4/
Because Russian supply truck convoys are going slower. There is more time for Ukrainian intelligence to detect truck movements.
Then direct TB2 drone or punisher drone strikes
5/
dronedj.com/2022/03/08/ukr…
Then direct TB2 drone or punisher drone strikes
5/
dronedj.com/2022/03/08/ukr…
to his the priority Fuel Trucks.
And then call in local Ukrainian Spetsnaz kill teams embedded with the Ukrainian territorials to finish off the convoy
If the Russian conscripts are wise to this. They will abandon the Trucks after the drone strike to go into the countryside
6/
And then call in local Ukrainian Spetsnaz kill teams embedded with the Ukrainian territorials to finish off the convoy
If the Russian conscripts are wise to this. They will abandon the Trucks after the drone strike to go into the countryside
6/
So then the "Ukrainian John Deere Brigade" can steal any usable abandoned vehicle.
7/
7/
https://twitter.com/olex_scherba/status/1499020763185221633
It is this attritional death spiral in Russian truck & road logistics that makes a long war to Ukraine's advantage.
Russia is losing the ability to project ground mechanized combat power more than 100 km into Ukraine.
Watch Kharkiv and Mariupol.
8/
Russia is losing the ability to project ground mechanized combat power more than 100 km into Ukraine.
Watch Kharkiv and Mariupol.
8/
Putin will take his frustrations out with Ukraine there because those Ukrainian cities are within combat vehicle reach of Russian railheads.
They will get the full Grozny/Aleppo treatment, which is the signature of Putin's way of war.
9/End
They will get the full Grozny/Aleppo treatment, which is the signature of Putin's way of war.
9/End
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