Alright, Mud, Road & Truck logistics thread🧵

This Russian media still & Drone video piece has a lot of "Admissions against self-interest."

I would like people to look at the Ukrainian roads and what this Russian Army convoy has to do to get around
1/
these destroyed Ukrainian vehicles.

First, undestroyed Ukrainian roads suck.

2nd the Russians are using bigger truck convoys. This is a tactical improvement in that there are fewer targets for Ukrainian Territorial "Road Burning Sweeps" or Spetsnaz kill teams.
2/
3rd, the Russians haven't put _ANY_ combat or civil engineering efforts to clear wrecks and open lanes for their trucks.

Heck, a T-72 tank with a bulldozer blade could have cleared those wrecks in 30 minutes so the convoy didn't have to slow down past that bottle neck.

3/
The Russians didn't even police up the missiles.

IOW, that was Ukrainian "Indian country" where the Russians didn't want to risk E.O.D. or engineering assets.

4th, the roads under those destroyed Ukrainian trucks are done. Even if cleared, they will fall apart with less
4/
...than 25 military truck transits.

This is an important visual demonstration of "Friction" in war.

Road/Truck lines of communication require a lot of engineering effort just to keep from falling apart in war.

The Russian Army is not even trying in this part of Ukraine.

5/
So the Russian Army's lines of communication are are simply getting longer as burnt out wrecks with unexploded ordnance increasingly clog the lanes of the none to good to start with Ukrainian roads in mud season.

6/End

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More from @TrentTelenko

Mar 14
This is the single most important logistical map for this latest Russian invasion of Ukraine.

If other Ukraine military situation maps do not include rail lines like this.

They are misinforming you.
When the Ukrainians announced the destruction of a Russian force of 200 vehicles and he destruction of a headquarters in Melitopol.

It means the rail head at Melitopol and those Russian advanced lines going north & east from there are in grave peril
2/
Image
...because a Ukrainian Army unit of at least Brigade size is sitting on their lines of communications.

Kyiv _IS NOT_ cut off from rail resupply from NATO.

The Ukrainian forces at the Donbas _ARE NOT_ cut off from major resupply.
3/ Image
Read 7 tweets
Mar 13
Since I'm seeing a lot of misinformation surfacing about the Ukrainian logistical posture. It is time for a thread🧵on planes, trains and automobiles in the Ukraine war in relation to NATO Lend Lease.

Where are the Russian red arrows compared to the Ukrainian train tracks?
1/ ImageImage
None of those red arrows cut off rail lines going to Kyiv, Odessa & deeply into the East Ukraine right up to the Donbas battle area.

The Eastern 1/3 of Ukraine is under UAF air superiority. Putin cannot shut down Ukrainian trains filled with East European ammo & EU fuel
2/ Image
...provided for free.

This is why you are seeing lines of Ukrainian infantry with anti-tank rockets for a 1/2 dozen NATO states so quickly on the battle line.
3/
Read 18 tweets
Mar 12
Something you should look for is the faces of the Ukrainian troops.

Mariupol is surrounded and besieged.

The appearance of these marines- glee and joy - this is like watching a Viking berserkergang live & in the 21st Century.

I expected to see this. Long🧵
1/
Because I saw it in 2015 and wrote about just this in relation to the Ukrainian VDV "Cyborgs" fight for the Donetsk Airport Terminal building from July 2014 until 22 January 2015.

Ukraine’s Viking Revival
January 29, 2015
chicagoboyz.net/archives/47214…
2/
This Ukrainian propaganda video gives you a visual/cultural/musical feel for what is going on in the hearts and minds of Ukrainians.

3/
Read 21 tweets
Mar 12
This thread 🧵shows Ukrainian Territorials playing the same role as US Revolutionary militia in filling the battle space between formed armies like the latter did against the British Army in Philadelphia.

Only formed Russian BTG can bull through these people.

1/
Non-BTG Russian convoys are getting shot up like the American relief convoy was in the Movie BlackHawk Down.

But they lack the professional soldiers & aerial recon that let American navigate Mogadishu

We are seeing Ukrainians do the the Finnish Motti
2/
...across a battle space the size of Texas.

Putin lost this war the day he decided to invade in exactly the same wat Hitler lost WW2 the day he decided to invade Russia.

Karma is a b--ch.
3/End
Read 4 tweets
Mar 11
Alright, a few Mud, Road & Truck maintenance observations here.🧵

The BTR-82 tire treads in this video are the same as those on several Russian trucks captured with sh--ty tires by Ukraine. They may have the same flawed Chinese tire issues.

Next, look at the road under the
1/
...burned out 'Rys'.

That piece of pavement is so heat damaged it's going to crack and throw pot holes from day night heat cycles and precipitation, let alone any military truck traffic. The road is in none too good a shape to start with.

This sort of 'pavement attrition"
2/
...is happening everywhere the Ukrainians and Russians destroy combat & support vehicles on Ukrainian roads

The end result is what's called "Friction" in war. It takes more and more effort to do the simple things

Destroyed roads like this are a cascading systems malfunction
3/
Read 9 tweets
Mar 10
This is a quick thread on Russian plans, maps, and trucks.🧵

We are going to start with Ukraine & explain.
1/
Most people have no clue as to how truely large Ukraine is. So, to cure that, I have gone to the thetruesize.com appin order to educate people.

In this case by laying the US state of Texas over Ukraine. The Texas-Louisiana border to El Paso is roughly the distance
2/
between Ukraine's Russian & Polish borders.

The distance of Kyiv from the Belarus border to be about that of the Oklahoma border to Dallas, Texas.

The tip of Crimea to the Ukraine-Belarus border is roughly from Brownsville Tx to the Red River border w/Oklahoma.
3/
Read 21 tweets

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