[2] Recently my @DUCIGS Space Diplomacy Lab Co-Director Prof Giovanni Zanalda & I hosted a roundtable focused on space issues posed by 🇷🇺‘s war on 🇺🇦 & long-term space security challenges w/ space media leaders @LorenGrush, @RaminSkibba & @Jeff_Foust:
👇👇
[3]🚀Recall in Nov, during Russia’s military buildup around Ukraine, the Russian military launched a reckless direct-ascent anti-satellite test, that created a major space debris event & endangered US, EU & Russian personnel on International Space Station
[4] My @DukeU teammate Amb. Bob Pearson & I wrote about it in @ForeignPolicy, & it’s connection to Russia’s then potential invasion of Ukraine, 🇷🇺’s weaponization of space, energy, corruption, etc & called for a global Summit for Space Security in 2022:
[5] I also wrote about the Russian military’s direct-ascent anti-satellite weapons test in the context of Russia’s behavior endangering norms for the peaceful use of outer space & Moscow’s disinfo claiming “🇷🇺 not engaged in militarizing space” for @CEPA:
[6] Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine began last month, space diplomacy issues have been on full display, from President Biden deploying sanctions aimed at “degrading” the Russian space program:
[8] To @SpaceX@elonmusk opening Starlink satellites for urgent use by the Ukrainian government & people including continued delivery of ground based terminals to help ensure internet coverage to 🇺🇦 during 🇷🇺’s invasion of the country:
[9] More broadly, Space Diplomacy Lab will contextualize space issues from the daily news cycle in terms of long-term, anticipatory diplomatic strategies aimed at achieving confidence-building measures needed to avoid future conflict in space.
[10] Space Diplomacy Lab will focus on an array of global space security challenges, includ. from Moscow & Beijing, & diplomatic solutions for:
🚀Space Weapons & Debris
🚀Greater private access to earth orbit
🚀Satellite Mega-constellations
🚀Deep space extractive industries
[11] As a new era of human space activity is unfolding every day before our eyes, Space Diplomacy Lab will continue to host events and publish analysis building on work already started under the @DUCIGS “Rethinking Diplomacy” framework, including:
[12] Last April, @DukeU Amb Bob Pearson and I wrote for @ForeignPolicy about the need for urgent anticipatory diplomacy to address vital space security issues, the need for which was sharpened by Beijing’s uncontrolled reentry of its Long March 5B rocket:
[13] Last November, I wrote an analysis for @CEPA of the national security dangers and challenges of space debris in low earth orbit, and the need for global cooperation by policymakers on the scale of climate responses to address the threat:
[14] Last June, I also wrote for @CEPA about the state of the Russian space program Roscosmos, and toll that US #SpaceTech sanctions already in place against Russia following its 2014 invasion of Ukraine had been taking on Roscosmos’ capabilities:
[15] In November, our team was joined by @ProfHughLewis in an event entitled “That's No Moon: Technical & Diplomatic Solutions to the Space Debris Challenge” joined by Space Diplomacy Lab affiliate Prof @BrittLundgren@newsUNCA & Prof Laura Newburgh @Yale
[16] Last June, we also held a webinar with Amb Bob Pearson, Prof @BrittLundgren, Prof Giovanni Zanalda, and myself in partnership with @DukeinDC discussing the urgent need to develop international norms to avoid a future crisis in space:
[17] We will announce more programming soon for upcoming events and partnerships, including a space debris hackathon with @scipolnetwork, and our team speaking at the annual @MeridianIntl Diplomacy Forum in April in Washington focused on space security:
[18] For more on the full range of @DUCIGS Space Diplomacy Lab analysis and programming, please check out our new website below. We look forward to welcoming you to further space policy programs in the future…until then:
[1] 🚨THREAD🚨 According to @NesteGlobal, Russian Urals crude oil continues to crater in price compared to the Brent crude benchmark. Trading at -$5.65 per barrel on 5 day average.
What does this mean? And how can corporate responsibility urgently support Ukraine? Please read👇
[2] Energy traders still assess sanctions & reputational risk of importing Russian oil, & are avoiding oil tanker calls at Baltic & Black Sea Russian ports due to security & sanctions risk.
Turkish owned ship was struck by a shell in Black Sea today.
[3] This has led Russian Urals oil price per barrel to hit “lowest ever level relative to Brent” at -$11.23 per barrel as of a few hours ago according to S&P Global Platts:
[1] 🇺🇸🇩🇪🇪🇺🇺🇦 Germany’s announcement it has suspended certification of Kremlin’s #NordStream2 pipeline was an urgently needed step given Russia’s overt invasion of Ukraine’s Donbas region. Welcome & long overdue.
[2] Suspending the certification process for #NordStream2 should be seen as a first step by Berlin in deterring further Russian military action against Ukraine, followed by further action to block the pipeline for good.
[3] Berlin should next seek sanctions at the EU level ensuring that the Kremlin-backed #NordStream2 can never come online and be allowed to do lasting harm to European energy security and Ukrainian national security interests in the process.
🇺🇸🇪🇺 [1] With Washington once again focusing on policy options to stop the Kremlin-backed NordStream2 pipeline this week, my attempt at a (hopefully thoughtful) thread to help provide context:
[2] The framing of NordStream2 sanctions has suddenly (and unfortunately) become partisan, but in fact, opposition to NS2 has been bipartisan since 2015, and support for sanctions has been led by Democrats and Republicans since 2017.
[3] The US has opposed #NordStream2 on bipartisan basis since 2015. Congress has passed both discretionary (2017 CAATSA) & mandatory (2019 & 2020 NDAA) sanctions to stop #NS2 on near unanimous basis. In 2016, VP Biden was first prominent senior official to publicly oppose NS2.