Dan Lamothe Profile picture
Mar 10 13 tweets 2 min read
The Thursday background briefing at the Pentagon about the war in Ukraine has concluded. It’s Day 15.

Some takeaways:
Yesterday, there was a great deal of focus on the U.S. scuttling a Polish proposal to send MiG-29 jets to Ukraine via U.S. officials in exchange for the United State sending Poland some F-16s. It’s seen as high-risk with limited value in the Pentagon’s eyes.
Today, the senior U.S. defense official briefing reporters said the U.S. *is* considering sending other sophisticated weapons, including air-defense weapons that are more significant than MANPADS. That means something better than a Stinger missile.
The senior defense official declined to say what that more sophisticated system could be. One option might be the S-300, an air defense system the Ukrainians have in limited quantities. Some NATO countries, such as Bulgaria, have it available.
Some troubling battlefield updates: Chernihiv is now assessed to be isolated, joining Mariupol in that regard. Bombardment and ground battles continue in numerous locations.
The front of the long-stalled Russian military convoy north of Kyiv has made incremental progress, moving from about 20 km outside the city center to 15 km away. That's a new development.
Another advance on Kyiv is now 40 km to the east of the city, the senior U.S. defense official says.
U.S. has made weapons deliveries to the Ukrainians within the last 24 hours, with more planned within the day. Plan is to get them “as much and as fast as we can, for as long as we can.” No transfer has been interrupted by the Russians – “yet,” the senior defense official says.
Pentagon now assesses that 775 missiles have now been launched at Ukraine during the invasion. That number continues to rise by a few dozen per day.
Pentagon throws cold water on any proposal to send Patriot missiles to Ukraine. Ukrainians are not familiar with it, so doing so would requiring U.S. troops in Ukraine, senior defense official says.
U.S. does not have an assessment for what kind of weapon was used on the hospital in Mariupol.

“It’s entirely possible that we will never know that,” the senior U.S. defense official says, acknowledging the vast destruction caused.
Pentagon also attempts again to stamp out conspiracy theories that there are U.S. bioweapon labs in Ukraine.

"We're doing this because the Russians and Chinese thought it was important to put out a bunch of lies," the senior defense official says. "They just flat-out lie."
Update this morning: Our story today about American veterans joining the war effort in Ukraine in a variety of capacities.

washingtonpost.com/national-secur…

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More from @DanLamothe

Mar 11
A Friday background briefing at the Pentagon about the war on Ukraine has concluded.

Some notable details ahead:
First, going to flag two stories I'm involved in that we published this morning.

The first explores the scenario under which Americans are going to join the Ukrainian war effort:

washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
The second details Russian military losses to the extent we can, and what it all means:

washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
Read 15 tweets
Mar 11
Despite risks, U.S. veterans reckon with joining Ukrainian war effort

In which me, @AlexHortonTX @phscoop and @JHBaran put heads together and try to make sense of who's among the Americans heading to the war against Russia without U.S. approval.

washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
We found several kinds of participants. Many want nothing to do with combat in this war, but want to help. Others are spoiling to join the Ukrainians in taking on the Russians directly.
One of the individuals we talked to is Angel Raymond Luna, 30, arrested late last month in D.C. outside the Ukrainian embassy with weapons. He'd draped himself in the American flag and stood at attention outside in his body armor. Drew police attention nearly immediately.
Read 6 tweets
Mar 10
Wednesday thread on the war in Ukraine. Usually get to this earlier in the day, but had competing assignments today.

Major takeaways from a couple of Pentagon briefings:
In a morning background briefing, a senior U.S. defense official said the Pentagon now assesses that Russia is using "dumb bombs." It marks another example of how they're indiscriminately attacking people in Ukraine.
Right on cue, the images of today's hospital bombing in Mariupol flashed. The senior defense official said they did not yet have an assessment.
Read 9 tweets
Mar 8
Today's Ukraine thread begins w/ a story: A U.S. general assessed today that 2,000 to 4,000 Russian soldiers have died since the invasion of Ukraine began.

That came up a bit later during background briefing w/ a senior U.S. defense official.

Takeaways:

washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
The number is based on imperfect information, prompting Lt. Gen. Berrier, the director at DIA, to say he has "low confidence" in the number. Still, it's the best estimate the U.S. appears to have.

The senior U.S. defense official said Berrier did "the best he could" to answer.
In today's Pentagon briefing, many details sound reasonably stagnant. Bombardments continue. The convoy north of Kyiv is still stalled beginning at Hostomel airport. And the Russians continue to have a bit more success in southern Ukraine.
Read 15 tweets
Mar 7
A background briefing with a senior U.S. defense official for Monday about the war in Ukraine has concluded.

Some takeaways:
The Pentagon has seen evidence that Russia is trying to recruit Syrians to fight on their behalf in Ukraine, senior U.S. defense official says. That matches a @WSJ scoop from last night.
The Pentagon now assesses that nearly 100 percent of the Russian combat power prestaged at the Ukrainian border are now committed to the fight, a senior U.S. defense official says.
Read 11 tweets
Mar 6
A senior U.S. defense official just released an updated assessment of the war in Ukraine as of early Sunday evening in Washington. Basic updates:
"We’ve observed limited changes on the ground over the past day. Russian forces continued efforts to advance and isolate Kyiv, Kharkhiv and Chernihiv across the north and east are being met with strong Ukrainian resistance."
"There does not appear to be any significant movement along the Russian axes. Leading elements remain outside these city centers. We cannot give specific distances today.

"The convoy continues to be stalled."
Read 18 tweets

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