WTI is down ~30% the past week, but the supply / demand thesis remains intact:
- Drawing from inventories every week
- OPEC continues to miss output targets
- Global demand rising
- Rig count lagging
- Multiple risks to supply still on the table
Alright, this one’s for all of the price chasers out there that are wondering what’s been happening with the Energy industry.
Here’s the story.
🧵🪡
Let’s start in 2014.
After rising over 10% in the first half of the year, oversupply caused petroleum prices to slip in July. With growing production from both the Permian and abroad, the crude index continued to fall, down 51% by January 2015.
In the years that followed, many people’s attention turned to climate change. The idea of peak oil consumption & society becoming carbon neutral caught on fast.
While spot prices went sideways, the rotation out of energy companies continued.