2/10 Slides 3 & 4: Wastewater signal isn’t dropping anymore. Ontario is probably seeing 15,000 to 20,000 new infections every day. #COVID19ON
3/10 Slides 5 & 6: Test positivity has also stopped dropping and in some populations is growing a bit. #COVID19ON
4/10 Slide 7: Poor neighbourhoods are still hardest hit, as they have been since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic. #COVID19ON
5/10 Slide 8: Ontarians have already started moving around more – a sign of more contacts. #COVID19ON
6/10 Slides 9 & 10: Nonetheless, we’re likely to see less of an increase in hospitalizations than in January. We can keep it low by getting vaccinated, wearing good masks when inside, and increasing contacts only moderately. #COVID19ON
7/10 Slides 11, 12 & 13: Third doses (not to mention first & second) are as critical as they have ever been. But they’ve plateaued – and are especially low among poorer Ontarians. #COVID19ON
8/10 Slide 14, 15: Immunity is Ontario’s best protection against a future variant. And masks are still key to reducing spread. #COVID19ON
9/10 Slide 16: We can’t forget what we learned during the emergency, & we need to maintain the tools we’ve built. #COVID19ON
1/7 New slide deck released today “Ask Ontario’s Science Table: Omicron Edition” covid19-sciencetable.ca/sciencebrief/a… which answers questions on how to stay safe and protect our communities this holiday season. Share, screenshot & print.
2/7 Given sharply increasing case counts and the transmissibility of Omicron, consider postponing gatherings, moving them outdoors or virtual. If you do gather, keep it as small as possible and use multiple layers of protection to stay safe.
3/7 Think of these layers of protection as slices of Swiss cheese. No single action is perfectly safe, there are holes. But like Swiss cheese, more layers means fewer holes.
1/10 Today's Omicron briefing . A 5-pt plan to blunt Omicron (slide 16): (1) Cut contacts by 50%; (2) acc boosters to HCW & vulnerable; (3) masking, distancing & ventilation (4) put treatments where they are most needed; (5) act now. #COVID19ONcovid19-sciencetable.ca/sciencebrief/u…
3/10 Slide 6 & 7: South Africa itself – sometimes cited as evidence of O’s slower severity -- is now seeing hospitalizations rise with Omicron. But the rise in death there is less steep than in previous waves. #COVID19ONcovid19-sciencetable.ca/sciencebrief/u…
1/4 Pls take note: Omicron Rt is now 4.29. Every person with Omicron is infecting more than four other people. By comparison, anyone with Delta in Ontario currently infects only 1 other person. #COVID19ONcovid19-sciencetable.ca/ontario-dashbo…
3 / 4 Time to accelerate boosters (that yellow line at the bottom). Boosters won’t stop Ontario’s 5th wave right now; they take time to protect a population. But they WILL protect you. Book one as soon as you can, six months after your 2nd shot. #COVID19ONcovid19-sciencetable.ca/ontario-dashbo…
Omicron is here 1/5 We’re now following Omicron closely on our dashboard. Some key figures: Rt for Omicron is 3.32 (!!!), compared to 1.27 for all variants combined…. #COVID19ONcovid19-sciencetable.ca/ontario-dashbo…
Slides 3/4/5: We’re walking a narrow ledge. Positivity down but not consistently across ages & 19/34 PHUs have growing cases. We’re ok for now, but we have no wiggle room. #COVID19ONcovid19-sciencetable.ca/sciencebrief/u…
Slides 6 & 7: Vaccines are our most important weapon & we have to reach more Ontarians. But until vaxx rates are much higher, the combo of current vaxx rates & public health measures are helping to control cases. #COVID19ONcovid19-sciencetable.ca/sciencebrief/u…
There appear to be some rumours that the Science Advisory Table is withholding a consensus model of COVID-19 in the Fall. To be absolutely clear, that is not true. Pls read thread 1/4
We are now working to understand how COVID-19 may affect Ontario in coming months. As always, that means integrating the views arising from *many* models done by *many* teams and reviewing those results *across* teams until we generate a reasonable, scientific consensus. 2/4
Anything less is not rigorous science, and risks either underestimating or overestimating the real dangers we may face. A lot of mathematical and scientific work goes into generating a modelling consensus that Ontarians can count on; we move quickly, but not prematurely. 3/4