Rick Wilson Profile picture
Mar 19 7 tweets 2 min read
1/ History doesn't rhyme, but it does have a beat you can dance to:

On Dec 21, 1989 Romanian dictator Nicolae Ceaușescu demanded a massive rally in Bucharest in response to unrest.

bit.ly/3qjWUd3
2/ For Bucharest at the time, 100,000 was a massive rally by any standard.

It didn't go well.

After 25 years of dictatorship under NC and his wife Melania, communism's end was coming.

Shots (possible fireworks) rang out, and Ceaușescu desperately tried to regain control.
3/ The day before, NC and his wife held the country in an iron grip. He had declared martial law a few days before. His security service was feared by all.

But as rally became protest, they fled.

The country was inflamed. Ready for change.
4/ The security services struck, hard. It was as brutal as you can imaginable.

NC struggled to hold on to control. On the 22nd, his iron control broke, and he, his wife, and a handful of aides fled by helicopter.

Caught after near-comical escape attempts, they were trapped...
5/ ...in a storage room by a bike repairman.

They were turned over to the provisional government. The trail was over in 2 hours.

The once all-powerful couple were dragged against a wall and shot.

Dictators rarely die in bed.
6/ The perception of invulnerability, once cracked, is never the same.

So, when you think no one can get to Putin, think again.

When you think he can't be shoved against a wall when his government falls, a last look of confusion and shock on his face, think again.
7/ Good book on this period is "The Romanian Revolution of December 1989" by Nicolai Sanai Davis.

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More from @TheRickWilson

Feb 27
1/ Why is Putin rattling the Last Saber and putting Russian nuclear forces on alert?

First, it's because he is losing. He's losing in Ukraine. He's losing as the world unifies against him. He's losing in the mysterious noumenon the Russian political power. He's losing money.
2/ Putin is in the mouth now of the crocodile, if I may slightly modernize Victor Rezun's formulation of how Soviet-era power worked.

He has to win and keep winning to survive.
3/ The Russian nuclear capacity is real-ish (control for Russian systems being, well, Russian), and could make millions of Americans or so have a really bad day requiring the proverbial SPF 25 million sunscreen.

But the klept has been dreading this moment.
Read 10 tweets
Feb 26
1/ I have a modest proposal in which the US and allies (or hell, some smart private company) at low cost and risk.

Identify Russian armor and aircraft positions in real-time (or near real time) and pipe the information to Telegram, Twitter, and other platforms.
2/ Several benefits: first, it will give UA defense forces better awareness than the Russians have of their own positions.

Second, it will give civilian defenders both warning and targeting.

Third, it's a record for the war crimes tribunals later.
3/ It will also get out to the Russian forces that those UA fuckers with Javelins and TOWs and Stingers know where they are, when they're coming and will whack them.

Objections will come from State (you're escalating) and IC (our secret sauce is too secret).
Read 8 tweets
Feb 21
1/ Putin's show today -- all the dog and pony, dog-whistle, golden-oldies from K-Tel's Greatest Hits of the Soviet Era -- is an invitation to the West to stand up, take action, and crush his global klept in a sweeping asymmetric tide of lawfare and financial actions.
2/ Putin and his cronies care about hard power and hard cash. Chaos and division here at home (looking at the vast right-wing media apparatus) are Putin strengths.

The same instinct that led the Russian klept to move their assets overseas...
3/ …to nations with the rule of law, economic stability, and better schools, shopping, restaurants, housing, and quality of life is also a massive strategic weakness for Putin now.

The West can and should make this hurt.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 17
1/ We launched a new ad campaign this week that means a lot as Russia provokes a needless war and challenges the Ukraine, NATO, and the international order.

bit.ly/3GT0Y9D

Here's why we want to push it far and wide...
2/ Democracy will be challenged in Ukraine on the battlefield. Here, so far at least, it's being challenged in elections and state legislatures.

The steady erosion of democratic norms across the world and at home aren't disparate events. They're part of a plan and a pattern.
3/ Sometimes, you have to point to the way it can and should be to block out the static and noise and agitprop.

American Presidents from Truman to Ike to JFK to Nixon to Reagan to George HW Bush shared a commitment opposing Soviet oppression.

Full stop.
Read 12 tweets
Jan 24
1/ I took a light weekend on the social media front, but let me say a few words about Newt's not-so-subtle threats this weekend.

He's right.

He's just saying the quiet part out loud.
2/ We've been warning you all along that this election isn't about BBB or prescription drugs or guns or climate or anything else in the policy domain.

It's about the emergent authoritarian state shambling its way toward the end of small-d democratic politics.
3/ Speaker Jordan (and no, Kevin, he didn't take your deal and he is going to shank you) and the MAGAe will comprise a clear majority of the GOP caucus in 2022 and they are Trump's political vergeltungswaffe.

They don't care about policy. They care about power.
Read 12 tweets
Jan 6
1/ A year ago this morning the plan was in place. The conspiracy was in action. The players knew their lines and marks.

They had worked for weeks to contrive a ludicrous legal argument based on specious reasoning to retain Trump's hold on office.
2/ It ran deep, far across the entire right-wing ecosystem. Near the center was a putrid slurry of Trump, his crime family, his goon squad sycophants, cosplay lawyers, leathery degenerate Roger Stone...
3/ ...pernicious little ratfuckers like Ali Alexander, conspiracy loons like Alex Jones, and of course the throbbing, cancerous gristle of Steve Bannon.
Read 23 tweets

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