Samuel Ramani Profile picture
Mar 24 6 tweets 1 min read
Leonid Slutsky from Putin's negotiating team made some alarming comments on Telegram, which tell us a lot about the evolving Russian disinformation narrative on biological weapons. Some key points /1
Slutsky accused the US of becoming curators of biolabs that created vaccine and antibiotic resistant pathogens, and also tested pathogens on the "local genotype (Slavic)" /2
Slutsky also cited the resurgence of infectious diseases in Ukraine as proof of these biolab operations. Measles, cholera and hemorrhagic pneumonia surfaced in Ukraine after the mid-2000s /3
Slutsky saw hemorrhagic pneumonia as especially intriguing, as it previously was confined to "equatorial Africa" but entered Europe via Ukraine /4
Slutsky justifies pre-emptive war in Ukraine as these biolabs were in Russia's vicinity.

And ends with an ominous warning: "Our duty is not to let it be silenced, not to let Washington get out of this criminal adventure for the entire Slavic world unpunished again" /5
These narratives should be heeded as they could encourage Russia to carry out a WMD response (most likely chemical) or create a biological false flag attack that justifies further escalations of the war in Ukraine /6

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More from @SamRamani2

Mar 25
Dmitry Medvedev's latest commentary on Telegram provides a chilling and revealing depiction how the Kremlin views the United States and US policy towards Russia. Some more details /1
Medvedev attributes the current crisis in US-Russia relations to poor US strategic thinking after World War II

As America was flush with money, vassals and weapons, it engaged in senseless devastating wars /2
Medvedev attributes this short-termism to Americans' general lack of concern about the future, aside from personal plans and incomes.

He recounts an exchange with a US diplomat in the Middle East, who said "But we don't think so far. Too long!" when speaking about a crisis /3
Read 7 tweets
Mar 25
Sergei Rudskoi from the Russian Armed Forces just released a potentially transformative statement about Russia's objectives in Ukraine. Some more details /1
Rudskoi defined the mission in Ukraine to be the "liberation of Donbas" rather than "demilitarization and denazification"

This aligns with Russia's recent focus on military efforts in eastern Ukraine and suggests that Russia has temporarily shelved its goal of regime change /2
According to Rudskoi, the "liberation of Donbas" is going well

The Luhansk People's Republic controls 93% of Luhansk, while the Donetsk People's Republic controls 54% of Donetsk

Russia also just created a land bridge between Crimea and Donetsk /3
Read 7 tweets
Mar 25
Russia's fixation on US biological weapons facilities in Ukraine has sparked fears that Russia could use WMDs.

The Kremlin is also using the biological weapons threat to rally Russians around the war in Ukraine. Some more details /1
The Kremlin is framing US biolabs as an existential danger to Russia's security.

This reinforces the existential struggle narratives advanced by Putin's chief negotiator Vladimir Medinsky and Sergei Lavrov, who described the war in Ukraine as a "hybrid, total war" /2
Russia links its efforts to destroy US bioweapons to Pan-Slavism

Leonid Slutsky warned that US bioweapons in Ukraine targeted the "Slavic genotype."

The coincidence between this rhetoric and the anniversary of NATO's bombing of Serbia, which fuelled Pan-Slavism is striking /3
Read 7 tweets
Mar 24
Putin's chief negotiator Vladimir Medinsky and foreign intelligence chief Sergei Naryshkin just made fiery speeches to rally Russians around the Ukraine war.

Their rhetoric provided an alarming window into Russia's totalitarian tilt. Some more details /1
The overarching theme was that Russia is facing an existential crisis

Medinsky said it bluntly: "Russia's very existence is at stake today"

This appeals to long-standing conspiracies about Western efforts to dismember Russia, which gained popularity in the late 1990s /2
In a striking parallel to Soviet-era allegations of "revisionism," deviations from the Kremlin's version of Russian history were described as acts of treason

Medinsky accused those who "vilify Russian history in works of culture" are "worse than traitors" /3
Read 7 tweets
Mar 14
The US has warned that China could militarily aid Russia in Ukraine. Sharing my thoughts in a short thread /1
China has endorsed Russia's rationales for intervention in Ukraine (violent extremism in 2014 and NATO expansion in 2022) but has never directly supported Moscow's decision to use force

Aiding Russia militarily would represent a radical overhaul in Chinese policy /2
The war could disrupt Russian arms deals, as US secondary sanctions will be enforced

Unlike Syria, the Ukraine war has showed inadequacies in Russian technology

Therefore, Chinese defence companies have new opportunities and won't risk sanctions by supplying Russia /3
Read 7 tweets
Mar 14
Israel is assuming a high-profile diplomatic role in Ukraine and is now supporting Western sanctions

Some thoughts on these developments /1
Israel's willingness to vote against Russia in the UNGA and take a firm stance over its invasion of Ukraine is a major shift

Ariel Sharon was critical of the NATO bombing of Serbia in 1999 and Israel did not condemn Russia's annexation of Crimea /2
Volodymyr Zelensky tried to court Israel from the start of his presidency

Zelensky praised Israeli support for Ukraine on Crimea in 2019, even though Israel had not taken Ukraine's side /3
Read 8 tweets

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