Putin's chief negotiator Vladimir Medinsky and foreign intelligence chief Sergei Naryshkin just made fiery speeches to rally Russians around the Ukraine war.
Their rhetoric provided an alarming window into Russia's totalitarian tilt. Some more details /1
The overarching theme was that Russia is facing an existential crisis
Medinsky said it bluntly: "Russia's very existence is at stake today"
This appeals to long-standing conspiracies about Western efforts to dismember Russia, which gained popularity in the late 1990s /2
In a striking parallel to Soviet-era allegations of "revisionism," deviations from the Kremlin's version of Russian history were described as acts of treason
Medinsky accused those who "vilify Russian history in works of culture" are "worse than traitors" /3
Themes from Putin's recent "scum and traitors" speech were also invoked, as warnings of fifth columns inside Russia abounded
Medinsky stated that he was unable to completely purge traitors from the Ministry of Culture. This opens the door for more crackdowns /4
Russia was also presented as a country that was under attack from hostile ideologies
Naryshkin warned that Russia was in a struggle against "totalitarian liberal regimes supported by the West"
Anti-war protests will no doubt be framed as unpatriotic stooges of the West /5
Naryshkin also justified military force as an acceptable means of preserving Russia's great power status
Naryshkin praised those who chose military service to prevent the West from consigning Russia to the "sidelines of world history" /6
The Kremlin is justifying the Ukraine war to its own people by linking it to patriotic values (conservatism and illiberalism) and imperial nostalgia, and creating a siege mentality
History shows that this will keep Putin's base intact and lead to a new wave of repression /7
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Dmitry Medvedev's latest commentary on Telegram provides a chilling and revealing depiction how the Kremlin views the United States and US policy towards Russia. Some more details /1
Medvedev attributes the current crisis in US-Russia relations to poor US strategic thinking after World War II
As America was flush with money, vassals and weapons, it engaged in senseless devastating wars /2
Medvedev attributes this short-termism to Americans' general lack of concern about the future, aside from personal plans and incomes.
He recounts an exchange with a US diplomat in the Middle East, who said "But we don't think so far. Too long!" when speaking about a crisis /3
Sergei Rudskoi from the Russian Armed Forces just released a potentially transformative statement about Russia's objectives in Ukraine. Some more details /1
Rudskoi defined the mission in Ukraine to be the "liberation of Donbas" rather than "demilitarization and denazification"
This aligns with Russia's recent focus on military efforts in eastern Ukraine and suggests that Russia has temporarily shelved its goal of regime change /2
According to Rudskoi, the "liberation of Donbas" is going well
The Luhansk People's Republic controls 93% of Luhansk, while the Donetsk People's Republic controls 54% of Donetsk
Russia also just created a land bridge between Crimea and Donetsk /3
Russia's fixation on US biological weapons facilities in Ukraine has sparked fears that Russia could use WMDs.
The Kremlin is also using the biological weapons threat to rally Russians around the war in Ukraine. Some more details /1
The Kremlin is framing US biolabs as an existential danger to Russia's security.
This reinforces the existential struggle narratives advanced by Putin's chief negotiator Vladimir Medinsky and Sergei Lavrov, who described the war in Ukraine as a "hybrid, total war" /2
Russia links its efforts to destroy US bioweapons to Pan-Slavism
Leonid Slutsky warned that US bioweapons in Ukraine targeted the "Slavic genotype."
The coincidence between this rhetoric and the anniversary of NATO's bombing of Serbia, which fuelled Pan-Slavism is striking /3
Leonid Slutsky from Putin's negotiating team made some alarming comments on Telegram, which tell us a lot about the evolving Russian disinformation narrative on biological weapons. Some key points /1
Slutsky accused the US of becoming curators of biolabs that created vaccine and antibiotic resistant pathogens, and also tested pathogens on the "local genotype (Slavic)" /2
Slutsky also cited the resurgence of infectious diseases in Ukraine as proof of these biolab operations. Measles, cholera and hemorrhagic pneumonia surfaced in Ukraine after the mid-2000s /3
The US has warned that China could militarily aid Russia in Ukraine. Sharing my thoughts in a short thread /1
China has endorsed Russia's rationales for intervention in Ukraine (violent extremism in 2014 and NATO expansion in 2022) but has never directly supported Moscow's decision to use force
Aiding Russia militarily would represent a radical overhaul in Chinese policy /2
The war could disrupt Russian arms deals, as US secondary sanctions will be enforced
Unlike Syria, the Ukraine war has showed inadequacies in Russian technology
Therefore, Chinese defence companies have new opportunities and won't risk sanctions by supplying Russia /3