It’s a chance if not a pledge for NATO’s future security, to revisit the “red lines” of their military reactions to Russia.
Putin’s been preparing for war with NATO more than with Ukraine. NATO is rigid, bureaucratic and devoid of real military experience. Predictable.
Russia thought Ukraine will be an easy win and then will be able to move on.
A takeaway for NATO from the past month is that the Kremlin cannot be stopped from using conventional weapons at scale by NATO’s current posture or sanctions. The genocide will continue.
The worst thing I see about it is that the longer it will go on - the more ostracized Ukrainian people will feel. The more room for ambiguous interpretation it will leave in the history books.
However long this lasts and whatever will happen next - people won’t forget how Pentagon expected Ukrainians to drop their weapons and run, how Hungary sabotaged sanctions, and how Germany, in all seriousness used “moral debt to Russia” as a reason to withhold military aid.
The conclusion in #Brussels today must be that it’s not possible to stop Russia from starting more conventional wars on European border and across the globe, while nibbling away at world’s democracies. NATO needs to send a clear message that it has overcome its fears.
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To mark 30 days of the re-invasion here’s my TOP 10 online nonsense I had to deal with in the past 4 weeks:
1️⃣ Azov nazis control Ukraine
2️⃣ Navalny is a hero
3️⃣ It’s not Russians, it’s Putin
4️⃣ US favors Ukrainian refugees
5️⃣ Ukrainians have blond hair and blue eyes
6️⃣ White-blue-white flag
7️⃣ Russian celebrities and journalists are against war
8️⃣ Ukraine didn’t try hard enough to join NATO
9️⃣ Russia and Ukraine are brotherly nations
🔟 Putin’s gonna nuke us all
+B-side content: my lazy one-tweet retorts and sources 💁♀️⬇️
Seriously, there has to be something that can be legally done against people who openly support war crimes?
If you’re Ukrainian (or a frinend of 🇺🇦) abroad - please see to it. The task is not to educate these people or send them to 🇷🇺 but to silence glorification of violence.
It’s not “free speech”. Support of any form of war and genocide is a dangerous step to enabling murders and dictators to conduct more crimes. They will think that by killing people they’re doing something right, as there’s people who’re willing to vocally back them.
Putin miscalculated about Ukraine- because he was certain that there’s nothing to calculate.
But he didn’t miscalculate about the west.
🧵👇
It’s been a solid month and we see one thing - Putin doesn’t understand how to “war”. You didn’t think he would have to. Russian typical arrogance played a cruel joke with them; no war recorded by humans has an example where terror strategy would have worked.
So what’s next?
Putin leverages things he knows better than war: manipulation and intimidation.
If there’s one thing he got right about west is that it suffers different degrees of cowardice. No need to be a big KGB brainer:
Uneasy feeling about Germany today. The majority of German population & the main decision-makers have their perception of the world fogged. Their mentality hosts a superficial concept of “goodness” and an alarming lack of sensitivity.
Malfunctioning the algorithm is, more data training it needs. (C)
My previous tweet was not hate speech. It’s my right to express pain and existential fear and warn off people who wish me death.
But there’s a bigger absurdity to denote:
Russia is abusing human rights in every way imaginable.
Russians, who live abroad and enjoy the western values system demand their rights — the very rights Putin wants to destroy — to do or say whatever they want be defended.
Fascinating, evil paradox.
While supporting a tyrant hellbent on genocide, Russians in western countries use their civil rights to silence criticism to their criminal position.
Protection against hate speech is a golden ticket to gaslighting and avoiding the much needed pushback and accountability.
Germany is the only country today who’s withholding c-300 weapons (“until USA swaps them for something better”) and struggling to disconnect from Sberbank and is STILL on full Russian gas life support.