This very interesting @France24 #F24Debate show was just broadcast live here in France and provides a fascinating insight into just how much of a global energy and financial crisis the #RussiaUkraineWar has now become.
This @StateDept briefing has just finished. First substantive questions (not addressing the readout address in international response specifically #Quad member India (from @apdiplowriter) and the US's UAE and Saudi allies (@AndreaMitchell of @CNN)
. @StateDeptSpox does his best to remain bullish on Russian isolation, but it is far from convincing. No doubt there will be more calls from sanction hawk Senators & Representatives for secondary sanctions.
He doesn't really answer questions about the imminent European energy crisis if Russia turns off European Oil and Gas supplies.
Earlier he spoke about U.S. prescience in relation to the beginning of the war, casting unjustified shade on @APDiploWriter, but the absence of prescience about the cascading economic impacts of the sanctions, and potential world order changing consequences of sanctions busting..
@APDiploWriter ... does not appear to be something the US @statedept is keen to address.

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More from @althecat

Apr 1
@CrisisGroup needs to get rid of @wdavison10. New podcast just dropped full of TPLF propaganda.

I can’t even. #AfarAttackDefensive #ShireArmsFlights #TigrayBlockade all the talking points.

podcasts.apple.com/fr/podcast/hol…
It even begins with an intro which misses out the TPLF attack on the #NorthernCommand which started the war calls from Davison for #WesternTigray to be returned.

If @EroComfort wants to be taken seriously @Willdavison10 and his baggage needs to removed from the theatre.
What @CrisisGroup needs to understand is that Will’s reckons are not even close to fair and balanced. Haven’t been for months, and perhaps that’s the reason they haven’t published anything for months.
Read 16 tweets
Mar 31
Vladimir Putin says he is going to cut off gas to Europe, complaining that its European customers have bought oil and gas in Europe and paid for them in frozen Euros.

Possibly starting tomorrow.

Putin says EU gas buyers will need ruble accounts in Russia
Meanwhile there is also speculation that India could play an intermediary role to facilitate trade in Russian oil and gas and/or play a role in peace mediation. Not that Indian commentators think this is very likely mind.
Across the pond the US President has announced that it will tap its strategic oil reserve, albeit only to provide relief for Americans over gas prices - which he is calling the "Putin price-hike", and a return to American energy independence. (17 mins in)
Read 5 tweets
Mar 31
The west is rash to assume the world is on its side over Ukraine - Financial Times.

@EdwardGLuce⁩ of ⁦@Morning_Joe⁩ fame. ⁦Methinks @morningmika⁩ may have some issues with this take. ft.com/content/d7baed…
And I think Ed may have overshot. The issue is not about being on one side or another so much is it is about being against chaos.

People are on the side of:
1. Peace in Ukraine
2. Lower fuel prices
3. Less inflation
4. No food crisis
5. No financial warfare
6. No nuclear war
People are scared and frightened with good reason and politicians are a) people and b) aware of the dangers of heightened fear and anxiety politically.

I expect a poll would find 99.99%+ of the human population wants this war to end as soon as possible.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 30
Well if the TPLF’s inner core bought and paid for propagandists are complaining, @CrisisGroup must be doing at least a half decent job.

@EroComfort @wdavison10

Meron Elias gets two thumbs up.
This tweet is one of two citations in @TghatMedia’s open letter of supposed “evidence” adduced against @Meron_El

Compiled by @zeaxumawit who is affiliated with @OmnaTigray the outfit that spearheaded the information operations for TPLF at the outset of the war.
Read 5 tweets
Mar 30
The latest developments in the #UkraineRussiaWar peace talks appear to be developing rapidly. And on two tracks.

The European track suggests that the deal could progress. The U.S. track as expressed via media channels not so much.
Peace tends to come out of compromise, not chest thumping, when both sides want to avoid further escalation.

The talks on Tuesday ended with positive remarks from the Russian side which is why there was initial optimism. bbc.com/news/world-eur…
This was welcomed in early reports from BBC Wednesday morning out of Kyiv but dampened when attacks resumed around midday, then this evening reports are once again positive. The story arc can be followed here…. Via the @Guardian. amp.theguardian.com/world/live/202…
Read 14 tweets
Mar 30
Agreed...

@WDavison10's views on this remain very TPLF oriented which is far from surprising. The situation in Afar is not complicated.... but perhaps should be spelled out clearly by the Govt to help TPLF and Davison.

TPLF needs to withdraw forces from Afar if they want aid.
Its crazy for TPLF to assert that they should be allowed to continue their invasion of Afar and receive humanitarian aid. But it is clear from @reda_getachew and @ProfKindeya's tweets, that this is what TPLF thinks should happen.

IMO It is not reasonable, and it won't happen.
@reda_getachew @ProfKindeya For obvious reasons.

1. You can't invade a neighbouring region, destroy infrastructure and kill civilians and then expect humanitarian aid convoys to be provided to you via the route that you are occupying.
Read 5 tweets

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