Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Apr 1 5 tweets 4 min read
After a lengthy period of relative quiet @wdavison10 has popped up in a new and truly terrible #HoldYourFire podcast on the conflict in Northern Ethiopia hosted the usually insightful @atwoodr, one which reflects very poorly on @CrisisGroup.
The podcast comes just 2 days after TPLF conducted an online campaign against @CrisisGroup’s @Meron_El issuing an open letter to raise their grievances.
Whilst we can’t necessarily connect these two events, the podcast is not up to @atwoodr’s usual standards and is a bit loose and stream of consciousness at times.

It’s also incendiary in the context of current domestic politics in Ethiopia. An odd approach to peace building.
In particular it’s content (a lot of it questionable) will undermine Ethiopian public support for the fragile ceasefire which has just resulted in the first aid convoy reaching Tigray in some time which @crisis group claims to be “cautiously optimistic” about.
And this takes place in the context of a concerted effort in the U.S. Congress to sanction the Govt of Ethiopia #s1399 #hr6600 (neither mentioned in the podcast) supported by a significant increase in TPLF information warfare.

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More from @althecat

Apr 3
With development underway of another potential cyclone near New Caledonia, NZ may get yet another #ExtremeWeather tropical driven weather event this cyclone season.

This animation shows a 10 day rain forecast with the impact of the potential storm arriving at the end on 13/4.
Here's a 24 satellite loop of the storm in question (currently Invest #99p) which has been meandering north of New Caledonia, and becoming increasingly organised.
Another view of the storm this time of IR satellite imagery which shows convective bands developing around the rotation.
Read 8 tweets
Apr 1
@CrisisGroup needs to get rid of @wdavison10. New podcast just dropped full of TPLF propaganda.

I can’t even. #AfarAttackDefensive #ShireArmsFlights #TigrayBlockade all the talking points.

podcasts.apple.com/fr/podcast/hol…
It even begins with an intro which misses out the TPLF attack on the #NorthernCommand which started the war calls from Davison for #WesternTigray to be returned.

If @EroComfort wants to be taken seriously @WillDavison10 and his baggage needs to removed from the theatre.
What @CrisisGroup needs to understand is that Will’s reckons are not even close to fair and balanced. Haven’t been for months, and perhaps that’s the reason they haven’t published anything for months.
Read 16 tweets
Mar 31
This very interesting @France24 #F24Debate show was just broadcast live here in France and provides a fascinating insight into just how much of a global energy and financial crisis the #RussiaUkraineWar has now become.
This @StateDept briefing has just finished. First substantive questions (not addressing the readout address in international response specifically #Quad member India (from @apdiplowriter) and the US's UAE and Saudi allies (@AndreaMitchell of @CNN)
. @StateDeptSpox does his best to remain bullish on Russian isolation, but it is far from convincing. No doubt there will be more calls from sanction hawk Senators & Representatives for secondary sanctions.
Read 6 tweets
Mar 31
Vladimir Putin says he is going to cut off gas to Europe, complaining that its European customers have bought oil and gas in Europe and paid for them in frozen Euros.

Possibly starting tomorrow.

Putin says EU gas buyers will need ruble accounts in Russia
Meanwhile there is also speculation that India could play an intermediary role to facilitate trade in Russian oil and gas and/or play a role in peace mediation. Not that Indian commentators think this is very likely mind.
Across the pond the US President has announced that it will tap its strategic oil reserve, albeit only to provide relief for Americans over gas prices - which he is calling the "Putin price-hike", and a return to American energy independence. (17 mins in)
Read 5 tweets
Mar 31
The west is rash to assume the world is on its side over Ukraine - Financial Times.

@EdwardGLuce⁩ of ⁦@Morning_Joe⁩ fame. ⁦Methinks @morningmika⁩ may have some issues with this take. ft.com/content/d7baed…
And I think Ed may have overshot. The issue is not about being on one side or another so much is it is about being against chaos.

People are on the side of:
1. Peace in Ukraine
2. Lower fuel prices
3. Less inflation
4. No food crisis
5. No financial warfare
6. No nuclear war
People are scared and frightened with good reason and politicians are a) people and b) aware of the dangers of heightened fear and anxiety politically.

I expect a poll would find 99.99%+ of the human population wants this war to end as soon as possible.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 30
Well if the TPLF’s inner core bought and paid for propagandists are complaining, @CrisisGroup must be doing at least a half decent job.

@EroComfort @wdavison10

Meron Elias gets two thumbs up.
This tweet is one of two citations in @TghatMedia’s open letter of supposed “evidence” adduced against @Meron_El

Compiled by @zeaxumawit who is affiliated with @OmnaTigray the outfit that spearheaded the information operations for TPLF at the outset of the war.
Read 5 tweets

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