1- My current take on whether anti-amyloid therapies are likely to have meaningful impact on cognition, functioning & quality of life of people living w/ #dementia due to #Alzheimers disease:
Not likely.
For details, based on my recent Grand Rounds at Penn St, read on.
2- History:
After finding that active immunization with Abeta42 in mice that overexpressed APP resulted in virtual elimination of amyloid deposits, there was great enthusiasm for anti-amyloid therapies - and for the amyloid hypothesis.
6- But aducanumab had very little effect on cognition.
In ENGAGE, no sign of benefit relative to placebo.
There was slight benefit w/ high-dose aducanumab in EMERGE, though as @LonSchneiderMD pointed out, this could be due to cognition worsening more in placebo group.
7- There is reason to be skeptical of the hypothesis that reducing amyloid results in improved cognition.
To wit, this systematic review & meta-analysis found very weak correlation between amyloid reduction & improved cognition across 17 MAB studies:
7b - Take another look at this scatter plot. If you throw out the apparent outlier in the bottom left, do you think there would be any correlation between amyloid reduction & cognitive improvement?
8- Back to aducanumab studies.
How representative were the 3000+ subjects wrt race & ethnicity?
Not at all.
That's both a scientific problem (how generalizable are these results or, for that matter, the amyloid hypothesis?) and a problem of health equity (how did this happen?)
9- Then there are side effects, esp amyloid-related imaging abnormalities (ARIA).
31% of aducanumab subjects got ARIA-E (edema), more if higher dose or if apoE e4+.
It's usually mild & reverses w/ discontinuation. But, still, it's brain edema. And it requires MRI monitoring.
9b - 18% of aducanumab subjects got ARIA-H (hemorrhage), with significant overlap with ARIA-E.
Usually asymptomatic. But, again, we will increase the risk of brain bleeding.
We will need to be very mindful of contraindications: being on blood thinner, h/o CNS bleed or stroke.
10- Of course, there's the cost. The drug itself will be $28,000 per year.
But a recent analysis found that aducanumab would need to be < $3000/y to be cost effective.
@LonSchneiderMD 2- Note that the assn. between amyloid reduction & cognition goes in opposite directions in the 2 studies:
"High dose aducanumab was about as cognitively impairing in ENGAGE as it was beneficial in EMERGE [despite] both trials showing similar, substantial reductions in plaque."
3- It's also possible that the slight cognitive improvement found with high-dose aducanumab in EMERGE was due in part to the greater worsening of cognition in the placebo group of EMERGE compared with the placebo group of ENGAGE.