New leaked data from @ICIJorg provide more evidence how financial secrecy allows Russian elites to evade sanctions - and how prestigeous Western advisors enable this fraud.

Hello, #PandoraPapers: Russia.

A thread 🧵:

icij.org/investigations…
For background on Russian wealth offshore and prior investigative journalism, check out my previous thread:

The new leaks, from Alpha Consulting, an offshore services provider based in the Seychelles, confirm several trends we already knew:
1) Russian elites rely heavily on the opacity, and favourable tax rules, provided by company structures in Cyprus and the British Virgin Islands (alongside other jurisdictions) to conduct their 'offshore affairs'
2) Russian elites - just like other elites - have the help of prestigeous Western advisors in taking advantage of financial secrecy and favourable tax rules. PwC, EY, RBS, a host of well-known law firms, feature centrally here.

icij.org/investigations…
And that's important: This is *not* something that happens on far-off sandy beaches alone. These abuse are enabled, front and center, by power brokers in London, New York, Singapore etc.
Research on these "enablers" clearly shows their global reach, strong presence in secrecy jurisdictions, and yet centralised control - such as in this great mapping from @RichardJMurphy and @thesailaway_CPH:

openaccess.city.ac.uk/id/eprint/2006…
.@EBHarrington's research on the offshore wealth advisory world has shown how these advisors play an ever-more-intricate "cat and mouse" game with authorities, all in the name of wealth preservation for global elites:

hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?is…
These are the same professionals, by the way, that play a crucial role in shaping global tax and financial transparency rules in the first place:

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.11…
This is a key "double role" - professionals shaping globalization in their own interests *and* for the elites they serve. They are the "Lords of the Dance":

academic.oup.com/jpo/article-ab…
3) Financial secrecy is exploited *specifically* to avoid sanctions

Shuffling around company structures through shell companies, opaque ownership, makes it hard/impossible for authorities to identify true ownership of assets.

icij.org/investigations…
That's why discussion of radical new asset ownership transparency is now emerging. Otherwise, our current sanctions - like other regulation (e.g. tax) - will remain highly ineffective.

US: thehill.com/policy/finance…

EU: euractiv.com/section/econom…

/ends

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More from @phdskat

Feb 27
What has the last decade of tax haven leaks revealed about Russian offshore wealth?

A comprehensive 🧵:
Before we begin, it must be said that Russian elites are not alone in hiding wealth offshore. Offshore wealth is a prevalent, global phenomenon, estimated in the magnitude of 10% of global GDP - per @annette_als @gabriel_zucman and N. Johannesen:

sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
But Russian offshore wealth does have particular features - in scale and nature.

For one, Russian elites hide significant larger proportions of their wealth offshore than large Western states.

sciencedirect.com/science/articl… Image
Read 26 tweets
Oct 4, 2021
In this thread, I'll be collecting resources that can help us understand the just-leaked #PandoraPapers, including on the underlying dynamics and what we might do in response:
1. First, what are the #PandoraPapers anyway?

A massive trope of leaked from offshore service provides from several countries - the Seychelles, Panama, Hong Kong, Belize, BVI, Cyprus, Switzerland and Dubai

The organising @ICIJorg set it out here: icij.org/investigations…
2. What are the main stories?

More like the #PanamaPapers than the #ParadisePapers, the #PandoraPapers reveal offshore investments and ownership structures of wealthy individuals, high-profile politicians and celebrities.

Key stories here: icij.org/investigations…
Read 23 tweets
Jul 2, 2021
Logan Wort talks about US pressure for mandatory binding arbitration in the new global tax deal (which will be elective for countries with low capacity):

"That is not the best situation, but that was the best we could get out of it."
Wort says at least 15 countries expressed reservations at the end of yesterday's meeting for their agreement to the solution announced by the OECD.
Some great quotes on the pragmatic impacts of Africa's involvement in the OECD Inclusive Framework discussions:

"Did Africa get everything we wanted? No. Was it worth participating in this process? Yes."
Read 6 tweets
Jul 2, 2021
I understand why some NGOs and critical commentators have framed the new OECD Inclusive Framework deal as a disappointment and a shameless revenue grab by rich countries.

But I think there's some risks to that framing. 🧵...
Oxfam describe the deal as "history repeating itself", and as "economic colonialism".

oxfam.org/en/press-relea…

ICRICT say the deal "only serves the interests of a handful of countries, the richest"

icrict.com/press-release/…
There is certainly some truth to that: The revenue impacts of the reforms are skewed in the favour of (some) rich countries (because more power was exercised on behalf of their interests than of e.g. lower-income countries, undoubtedly).

oecd.org/tax/beps/tax-c…
Read 17 tweets
Jul 1, 2021
130 countries just agreed a *historic* (yes, actually!) two-pillar global tax reform with a global minimum tax of at least 15% and reallocation of taxing rights to market countries:

oecd.org/tax/beps/130-c…
Going to collect assorted initial thoughts in this thread (probably).
As per my heavy rotation the last month: It won't get as much press as the June G7 communique, but this is much more significant, both for its more developed technical details and the much stronger political power behind it.
Read 13 tweets
Jul 1, 2021
This is obviously an important political result for Rishi Sunak, and the narrative will easily be one of hypocrisy - but there are some principled reasons financial services could/should be carved out from the deal

on.ft.com/361Omxb
The architect behind the policy design has discussed it here:

oxfordtax.sbs.ox.ac.uk/article/financ…
And exempting financial services has been the assumed plan for years - as laid out here in the policy blueprint from last year:

oecd.org/tax/beps/tax-c…
Read 4 tweets

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