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Alastair Thompson Profile picture
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Apr 12 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
So when is this @amnesty @hrw @twitterspace being held on their atrociously flawed report into Wolkayit being released.

I would like to listen and need the link.
Ok… here it is. I would encourage followers to submit questions asking them about their flawed methodology, poor background research, dodgy conclusions, absurd findings on #MaikadraMassacre and nonsense numbers wrt displaced Tegaru.
It starts in an hour and a half it seems.
Link to join the space here… [thank you @BeZyee]
While we are waiting for this to begin. I would encourage everyone who is interested in the real story/history of Wolkayit to watch the new interview with @PushStartMedia1 and @JemalCountess by ETV.

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More from @althecat

Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Apr 13
Thank you for this amazing edit @UnitedHoA_!

I conducted this interview 9th April via Zoom - just before @JemalCountess left the country following his visit to Gondar with @PushStartMedia1 and @AnnGarrison. Nobody including me had managed to get much sleep for a few days.
This is a teaser video for the main video. Which is intended to be shared with a link to the main video for promo purposes.
And the full video - which runs to close to an hour is here >>

If it feels a bit raw, that is the way everybody was feeling at the time. Sheba and Jemal had been on their field trip with no internet coverage while Ann attended the press conf.
Read 4 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Apr 13
Thread with a series of animations showing development of rains over the Horn of Africa since early April.

April 2nd:
High resolution satellite images April 8th showing water transport from central Africa north east over Ethiopia & Yemen towards India. ImageImageImage
Going back we can see some of the drivers of this. Here on March 31 we can see a large Amazon driven atmospheric river crossing the Sahara, rain over East Africa was still relatively minor at that point.
Read 17 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Apr 13
#Ethiopia #NorthAfrica #MiddleEast long rang rainfall forecast bulletin 2022 - #1

Around this time last year I began posting rainfall forecasts for East Africa & Horn of Africa. These expanded to include North Africa & ME.

I am restarting them today.
Image
The big picture. The West African Monsoon is undergoing an intense period and significant amounts of atmospheric is transiting the Sahara bringing clouds & rain to the Middle East.

Rain forecasts for East Africa show significant rain over the coming fortnight. Image
Sub thread: Covers the past two weeks as West African Monsoon was building. Interestingly the rains appear to be arriving in the Horn and East Africa at roughly the same time, and at similar intensity to last year.
Read 26 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Apr 13
Question is what are these @StateDept emissaries here to discuss?

Ethiopians will be wary about @paytonknopf being part of this delegation. Payton is well known in Ethiopia from his involvement in the USIP Horn of Africa policy paper. Unlocking his twitter account might help. ImageImage
@StateDept @paytonknopf The USIP policy paper is here >> usip.org/programs/red-s…

It appears that #S3199 has been rewritten >> govtrack.us/congress/bills… but it remains inherently imperialist in nature, giving Congress significant leverage over the future of Ethiopia via legislated sanctions powers.
Meanwhile yesterday @SecBlinken made a point of mentioning Ethiopia in his brief remarks to launch the 2022 @StateDept country reports. Ethiopia's report can be found here >> state.gov/reports/2021-c…

Full report as PDF >> state.gov/wp-content/upl…
Read 14 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Apr 12
A series of animations showing the development of Cyclone Fili, and its transition shortly after into an extratropical cyclone.

April 6th - starts looking organised.
Also April 6th - initial computer modelling of the storm complex which is now Cyclone Fili.
Those are actually both April 3rd ^^ 10 days ago, shows how good these computer models are now at long range large scale dynamic modelling of water/energy.

Here's a 10 day rainfall forecast from April 3rd which is pretty close too.
Read 11 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Apr 12
One of the most striking recent developments in French politics is the apparent destruction of the great 5th Republic Socialist and Republican parties - the parties of Mitterand & Chirac - the last 2 2-term Presidents.
In NZ political terms - this would be like Labour and National becoming political minnows and the big political contest being between NZ First and ACT.
In the interview I incorrectly included the Greens as one of the parties in this analogy, but that is clearly wrong. . Left wing French voters - probably a growing majority - are being asked to chose between two candidates that they do not like or despise.
Read 5 tweets

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