Gallopin is now talking about the bodies in the Tekeze river. I.E. the Lucy Kassa Nima Elbagir "bodies in the river" stories.
& now talking about a 4th wave of violence against.
This introduction is entirely about crimes committed against Tegaru.
. @astroehlein has just asked if there was any coordination of the "war crimes" and "ethnic cleansing" activities.
. As evidence of coordination Gallopin 1st referred to meetings being held + pamphlets then moved to the claims made at the December UNHRC meeting r.e. Humera.
I'm starting to think that @jbgallopin is actually the person responsible for producing this report. The two other experts @LaetitiaBader and @FissehaTekle are both in management.
Next question to @FissehaTekle addressing the issue of methodology. Which he says is the main question raised in listener questions.
Unfortunately he has a terrible line - high pitched buzzing noise - then dropped.
.@LaetitiaBader is asked "who are we asking to do what?"
Answer: We have immediate concerns about the possibly 1000s of men and boys in detention in Western Tigray. Amnesty was recently documenting lots of cases of people dying in detention.
She says that the Federal Govt, FANO and administrators have to be removed from their positions so they cannot keep up with their abuses. Earlier @jbgallopin named Demeke Zwede as one of the targets of the report.
Laetitia is now also talking about the three named individuals against whom action she is demanding ought to be taken by the Federal Govt.
She says that it is not possible for people to return, yet. And so they are not asking for that yet. She says "hundreds of thousands" of people have been displaced (which is doubtful given the population number errors in the @Amnesty report).
She has repeated her call for an AU led international peacekeeping force to be deployed in Wolkayit. Another demand which seems unlikely to be agreed to.
We have @FissehaTekle back now. Talking on methodology.
"It was very difficult for us to come up with this report as we were not able to go to the ground." He says HRW and Amnesty both asked for access but were not granted it.
So far he has just repeated what is in the report. I.E. 427 reports mostly with Tegaru in Sudan and Shire + some remote telephone calls to Wolkaite including with Humera.
Phone and internet blackout posed problems. We have developed a methodology to make findings and corroborate without access.
Before publication Amnesty asked FDRE, TPLF and Amhara Regional Govt. Only Amhara responded - and they simply dismissed the report.
Back to Gallopin. Says that the main issue is that the perpetrators of the claimed abuses are in control of the area.He says the AU should take action and UN should support. (i.e. repeating what Bader said earlier.)
[This would be better if they had allowed actual questions.]
Now we have a TPLF question: Why is this called "Ethnic Cleansing" and not called "Genocide." @FissehaTekle replies. Says that the purpose of the abuses was to drive people out. Hence "Ethnic Cleansing."
@FissehaTekle says they have not ruled out "Genocide", but more research will be needed.
Do the organisations not believe there is a significant conflict of interest having @FissehaTekle, a TPLF associate & an active Tigrayan government supporter, leading this investigation?
@LaetitiaBader@jbgallopin@astroehlein@FissehaTekle Fisseha is now acknowledging that the FDRE / ENDF has prosecuted some ENDF military for crimes, but says that as the courts are close military courts this is not transparent.
.@LaetitiaBader concluding remarks - it is incredibly important that there be a concerted regional and international response to their report.
And its a wrap.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
I conducted this interview 9th April via Zoom - just before @JemalCountess left the country following his visit to Gondar with @PushStartMedia1 and @AnnGarrison. Nobody including me had managed to get much sleep for a few days.
And the full video - which runs to close to an hour is here >>
If it feels a bit raw, that is the way everybody was feeling at the time. Sheba and Jemal had been on their field trip with no internet coverage while Ann attended the press conf.
Going back we can see some of the drivers of this. Here on March 31 we can see a large Amazon driven atmospheric river crossing the Sahara, rain over East Africa was still relatively minor at that point.
The big picture. The West African Monsoon is undergoing an intense period and significant amounts of atmospheric is transiting the Sahara bringing clouds & rain to the Middle East.
Rain forecasts for East Africa show significant rain over the coming fortnight.
Sub thread: Covers the past two weeks as West African Monsoon was building. Interestingly the rains appear to be arriving in the Horn and East Africa at roughly the same time, and at similar intensity to last year.
Question is what are these @StateDept emissaries here to discuss?
Ethiopians will be wary about @paytonknopf being part of this delegation. Payton is well known in Ethiopia from his involvement in the USIP Horn of Africa policy paper. Unlocking his twitter account might help.
It appears that #S3199 has been rewritten >> govtrack.us/congress/bills… but it remains inherently imperialist in nature, giving Congress significant leverage over the future of Ethiopia via legislated sanctions powers.
Meanwhile yesterday @SecBlinken made a point of mentioning Ethiopia in his brief remarks to launch the 2022 @StateDept country reports. Ethiopia's report can be found here >> state.gov/reports/2021-c…
A series of animations showing the development of Cyclone Fili, and its transition shortly after into an extratropical cyclone.
April 6th - starts looking organised.
Also April 6th - initial computer modelling of the storm complex which is now Cyclone Fili.
Those are actually both April 3rd ^^ 10 days ago, shows how good these computer models are now at long range large scale dynamic modelling of water/energy.
Here's a 10 day rainfall forecast from April 3rd which is pretty close too.
One of the most striking recent developments in French politics is the apparent destruction of the great 5th Republic Socialist and Republican parties - the parties of Mitterand & Chirac - the last 2 2-term Presidents.
In NZ political terms - this would be like Labour and National becoming political minnows and the big political contest being between NZ First and ACT.
In the interview I incorrectly included the Greens as one of the parties in this analogy, but that is clearly wrong. . Left wing French voters - probably a growing majority - are being asked to chose between two candidates that they do not like or despise.