Duo Nine ⚡ YCC Profile picture
Apr 15, 2022 18 tweets 11 min read Read on X
1/ Time to look at the main stablecoins, including people's favorite #UST which looks rather weak.

There is one undisputed winner, despite any criticism.

The reason? Adoption, liquidity, and volume.

The rest are kings in their niche. A thread 👇

#USDT #USDC #BUSD #DAI #UST Image
2/ Ranking by market cap is easy (see pic), but that barely says anything.

What is more important is volume and where this volume comes from!

Let's do a ranking by 7-day volume divided by mcap.

See next tweet for the results. 👇 Image
3/ WoW look at that #UST adoption... barely any. Even DAI looks better.

1. #USDT = 4.78 (392 bil volume / 82 bil mcap)
2. #BUSD = 1.59 (27 / 17)
3. #USDC = 0.58 (29 / 50)
4. #DAI = 0.28 (2.5 / 9)
5. #UST = 0.20 (3.4 / 17)

Clearly, USDT and BUSD are in their own class.

Why? 👇
4/ Binance, the largest exchange in the world, drives most volume for USDT & BUSD (their own stable).

Binance listed UST. Yet, KuCoin drives more volume. Seems people are not that interested.

But what about... DeFI for UST?

As a decentralized stable volume is there right? 👇 Image
5/ The largest DEX on Terra pulls $100 mil volume per day on the Luna/UST pair (pic).

Not bad, yet DAI also pulls similar numbers across Uniswap (70 mil) + Curve where fees are much higher since they use the ETH network (pic).

Remember, DAI market cap is HALF of UST!

Huh? 👇 ImageImage
6/ Of the five stablescoins we have, UST is the weakest.

Its market cap (17 bil) is inflated and sits in Anchor doing nothing (over 70%).

In contrast, BUSD, with a similar mcap pulls over 3 bil in volume per day!

UST? 400 mil / day. But at least UST is decentralized, right? 👇
7/ Not when 12 bil in UST (out of 17 bil) sits in Anchor protocol. That is not decentralization, sorry.

UST = king in Terra ecosystem. But that's it.

So what is the alternative and who's the real winner here?

Let's look at DAI and work ourselves up to USDT. 👇 Image
8/ #DAI is a decentralized and overcollateralized stablecoin (pic)

Most of its volume is from Binance + Coinbase + DEXes like Uniswap

A nice balance

Yet, it has two shortcomings: it can't scale easily (depends on borrow demand) + is capital inefficient (collateral needed). 👇 Image
9/ But at least DAI is a sound & proven stablecoin that can back up its mcap with real collateral in times of need (pic).

You can't say that about UST! Got to be careful there.

DAI = king on DEXes as a decentralized stable

Now let's look at centralized stables. 👇 Image
10/ #BUSD is basically PAX Dollar (#USDP) with a different name. Binance used PAX to issue it.

It's centralized and 90% of the volume is on Binance.

BUSD = king on Binance, nowhere else

That is it. PAX is a proven name in crypto, so should be safe.

USDC next 👇 Image
11/ #USDC is issued by Circle and most recently BlackRock announced they will manage USDC!

BlackRock is the largest asset manager in the world with $10 trillion in assets under management (AUM).

If there is a stablecoin challenging the top spot, this is it.

Can it flip USDT? Image
12/ It's only a matter of time. USDC is positioned to become the de-facto digital dollar.

Plus, USDC has massive adoption in DeFI (ironic as it may sound) and centralized exchanges.

See that pic? Uniswap DEX has 3 spots in top 10 for USDC, plus Binance and Coinbase.

But... 👇 Image
13/ No matter how you look at USDC, it remains a centralized, censor-prone stablecoin.

This means your USDC in your own private wallet can be frozen = your address on the network can be blacklisted together with all your USDC.

So you go back to... DAI? Think twice 👇 Image
14/ For decentralization maxis, DAI has too much exposure to USDC as backing.

Check the pic, 51% in DAI is backed by USDC.

However, you can now tell there is a 'special' synergy between USDC & DAI. Indeed.

They are the best stablecoins, centralized & decentralized.

Hmmm 👇 Image
15/ USDC is positioned to be the top stablecoin & its use cases will equally be applied in decentralized + traditional finance (DeFI/TradFI).

USDC at 50 bil will soon catch up on USDT at 82 bil which does not enjoy the same trust in DeFI.

USDC = king of stables

So USDT? 👇
16/ #USDT continues to pull the highest volume + liquidity across centralized exchanges, but not on Coinbase (which focuses on USDC)

Nor will you see any DEXes using it

Clearly, USDT is on borrowed time as the top stablecoin

USDT = king on (some) centralized exchanges

Next 👇 Image
17/ Plus, Tether has major trust issues as it was very obtuse about its backing for USDT in the past

Audits are scarce and even so, people don't trust those numbers.

Why use USDT when you can use USDC?

There is only one place at the top & BlackRock is the top.

Tick, tock. 👇 Image
18/ If you liked this thread, #retweet the first post to get more of this content in the future! 😍

Stay in touch + follow @DU09BTC:

Discord: bit.ly/3n2gng0
TradingView: bit.ly/3FUjwHj
YouTube: bit.ly/3p8vPdf
Newsletter: bit.ly/3BuXf13

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More from @DU09BTC

Nov 16
How to find the top in this cycle. A thread.

When you see these 10 signals flashing, it's time to bail. Signal 9 will tell you when to sell altcoins.

Bookmark this thread! Let's go. 1/12 🧵 Image
2/ Signal 1: Terminal Price

Bitcoin price hits the red line? Sell hard.

Current terminal price is 170k.

This accounts for the movement of Bitcoin on-chain. @_Checkmatey_ invented this indicator. Image
3/ Signal 2: Stock-to-Flow Model

Start selling whenever the price moves above the stock/flow line.

That's above 150k today. Will be 200k later.

Either way, early 2025 looks like a prime period to sell. Image
Read 12 tweets
Oct 27
Bitcoin is in trouble.

If nothing changes soon, things won’t be pretty.

I’m not talking about the halving schedule or block rewards, it’s much more serious than that.

A thread 1/17 🧵 Image
2/ As Bitcoin goes mainstream, fees to transact on its network will replace block rewards.

This will be gradual and take place over decades. However, a new problem is starting to emerge.

It was harder to predict this, but now it’s here. Image
3/ The first incentive is to buy and hold Bitcoin. Nothing new so far.

However, we now have a bigger incentive. It has to do with you NOT using the real Bitcoin.

Intrigued?

Let’s look at the facts next and follow @DU09BTC before we continue.
Read 17 tweets
Oct 11
If you hold Ethereum, you are in trouble.

Uniswap, an ETH dApp generating $500 mil / year in fees, just created its own L2. Now, those fees are reduced by 100x and go into Uniswap pocket.

Multiply this by 100x with other dApps and ETH's price will go to zero. A thread 1/12 🧵
2/ The reason Ethereum has value is because of its fees that generate demand for its native token.

At the time of this post, it costs over $10 for a simple token swap.

ETH is on borrowed time as users are rightfully ditching this expensive chain. Who's to blame? Image
3/ Vitalik and his team.

They decided to scale Ethereum via L2s, but in the process they are losing their users. A bit ironic considering L2s were meant to fix ETH's scaling problem.

As L2s proliferate and users move out, Ethereum faces an even bigger problem. Image
Read 12 tweets
Oct 5
It took me 10 years in crypto to learn this - PART 3!

I'm offering you a shortcut so you don't have to wait that long.

The cycles repeat, but they are not the same.

Here's Part 3. A thread. (1/11) 🧵 Image
2/ Since I started in 2014, I made many mistakes, but nothing compares to this one.

Buying altcoins.

But what did I know back then? Nothing. If you're new to crypto, learn from this thread.

What's my lost profit over the years thanks to alts?
3/ Over $1 million had I put that money in BTC and held. There is a reason I say this.

Altcoins are a losers game over time.

Bitcoin is a winners game over time.

Which game do you want to play? My next point will help sway you in the right direction.
Read 11 tweets
Oct 1
Last night I was the victim of one of the most complex social engineering scams I've ever seen impersonating @paraficapital staff.

If you're in crypto, you are a target.

This thread will show you how they did it and if they succeeded. Time to find out - 1/15 🧵 Image
2/ If you have any following they will target you. Their account will look spotless, clean text + X verified.

Ryan is a Principal of a billion dollar crypto company and sends you a DM on X, then he moves you to TG.

Your first priority is to confirm credentials. How? Image
3/ Ask a DM from their company X account or to send you an email using their official domain name.

Ryan was frustrated with my request, so he told me I need to do proper DD and see he's followed by almost all his Parafi team.

Instant red flag, but I decided to play ball. Image
Read 15 tweets
Sep 29
It took me 10 years in crypto to learn this - PART 2!

I'm offering you a shortcut so you don't have to wait that long.

The cycles repeat, but they are not the same.

Here's Part 2. A thread. (1/12) 🧵 Image
2/ Altcoins are highly extractive.

VCs print tokens from thin air with a cost basis of ZERO.

When there is any demand for their token, they sell and absorb that demand. This is how they take your money, legally.

This is also why your blue chip alt didn't make a new ATH. Image
3/ VCs don't care about their token price!

As long as there is any retail demand, they can sell into it at a profit. That includes tokens down by 90% to 99%.

Remember, their cost base is ZERO! While retail waits for new highs or buys "discounts", VCs laugh at you. See XRP. Image
Read 12 tweets

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