Altcoin Sherpa Profile picture
Apr 20, 2022 15 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Some overall market thoughts on $BTC and #Altcoins. Cliffs: I still think market is going up over the next few weeks and we're going to see 55k+ and alts will follow. After that, I have no clue. #Bitcoin $ETH
#Bitcoin is still in a bullish market structure IMO. I still think we're ok and have higher highs/higher lows. I'll change my bias if the $BTC low at 37k gets taken out on high time frame charts or we print some sort of lower high (48k>) on this next move.
I'm personally just thinking about this consolidation as a big range; the last move was a deviation and not the true break given the volume/lack of follow up. Ofc its easy to say this in hindsight but it's ok, more chop = stronger explosion out of the break.
Target is around 55-60k, it's a high volume node and S/R level. I expect btc to move up there when it finally breaks out of this range.
How are alts going to do? $ETH should follow $BTC for the most part. low 4ks should be about right if btc goes to 55k.
Now, in terms of altcoins to buy: it will ALWAYS depend on your strategy. There are some great coins to scalp and some great coins to swing and great coins to just longer term hodl and then dump later.
I think a lot of coins are accumulating rn. They never look like it when they are doing it but they are there and there are many coins like this.

Coins I like scalping due to volatility and liquidity: $GMT $APE $KNC

This doesnt mean long or short, just means trade your strategy. Im not really scalping rn.
Coins I like swing trading: Long $LOOKS $ZIL $NEAR

I think these move strongly in the next week or so
Coins that are slower trades/investments/hodl for a few weeks and then dump are $SHIB $AVAX $SAND $DAO $MC and many many others. These are not good active trades though IMO. Better to just DCA in and sit on it I think.
We'll see if this overall idea is correct on my end. I'm positioned and exposed now to a lot of stuff (btc/eth/shib/near are my biggest bags with some AVAX too). I still think that Layer 1s are mostly the best bets but there are going to be new narratives popping up in 2022.
move to earn was one sector that recently moved hard but I havent seen many totally new concepts recently.

Thus far, 2022 has been hard to trade in and I've mostly been inactive the last few weeks due to traveling. IMO you need to find the investment/trade that fits your overall time horizon and risk profile. I'm still mostly doing passive investing over the next few weeks.
My current bags are:
$BTC
$ETH
$NEAR
$AVAX
$SHIB

I have some smaller cap coins too but those are more holds I'll do for a while.
Let's see if I'm right or wrong!! Positioned accordingly and will be selling my bags as btc gets near 55k. Where the following low is printed will determine my next move.

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More from @AltcoinSherpa

Feb 25
What if that was the bottom and Alts start to run?

I'm being serious.

August 5th 2024 check $BTC nuking and everyone saying it's over Image
Now check a bunch of altcoin charts:

$WIF

$BNB

$OP Image
Image
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More random shitcoins

$LINK

$PENDLE Image
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Read 5 tweets
Jan 9
AI big caps that got listed on Binance: Some random notes on #ZEREBRO #aixbt #VIRTUAL and others....

-Generally perps only listing = death for these coins. Why? Probably a few different things: whales building shorts and unloading, carry trade where MMs own spot and short perps Image
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-This is seen in moodeng, chillguy, pnut, and other big caps. Anything big that got listed perps only got fucking destroyed the last few weeks.

-At first I thought virtuals and aixbt were going to be immune bc they were listed on base and those are less pvp than the sol ones..
..but I think it's shown that nothing can escape the overall market structure of these coins: perps only is death in these current market conditions and we should just stay with that mentality until shown otherwise.

-Are these coins still good? I think so. AI x Crypto still...
Read 10 tweets
Jan 4
Over the next few weeks / months:

-consolidate and lower the number of your bags; trim on the way up

-Don't increase your risk, size down as the cycle goes on

-Learn to sell and learn to sell into more stable assets such as cash or $BTC
-Still stay fluid and be ready to ape new narratives, this is where cash helps

-Target total macro tops, not necessarily individual targets (ie. say i'm selling bc btc is looking heavy, not bc you're up 3x on your bag)

-barbell strategy usually good, high fdv and low fdv, not mid
-don't forecast too far into the future, we dont know what it holds

-btc supercycle may be true but alts will still get clobbered and go down 75%+

-market average is probably 2-5x for most shitcoins from here; true leaders will likely do 10x+
Read 6 tweets
Jan 2
I own both #ai16z and #Zerebro and they'll be listed on Binance futures. Recent history shows that this is NOT a bullish event and you can generally expect anywhere from -50% retrace ( #FARTCOIN) as the best case scenario or much worse (GOAT Chillguy Pnut moodeng) Image
A few arguments as to why you should hodl instead of sell:

-both of those coins already dumped a bit already onchain; if you weren't around for the dump then it might be a bit late

-some AI agents/infra did well post binance aka virtual and aixbt. Now, the base memes are more collaborative than SOL but still
-AI still a pretty hot sector overall and I believe both of those should be much higher in the coming weeks/months

-FARTCOIN has shown incredible strength; retracing and then now at all time highs.
Read 11 tweets
Dec 21, 2024
I've been thinking a lot about big cap memes lately.

I've long held the idea that these would do pretty well and outperform many other regular coins for this later part of the cycle. Mostly talking about the ones like $PEPE and $WIF type of coins.

Some random thoughts: Image
Image
-I don't necessarily put DOGE in this category; I think that's its own thing. DOGE is the most recognizable meme and elon's going to continue w. that.

-People clearly have demand for memes hence why they performed so well in Q1 this year. This was a regime change from utility
-We saw insane meme action across the board and across all sectors; be it with viral tik tok stuff (chillguy), animals (moodeng), presidents (trump), dead animals (pnut), AI agents (GOAT), and way more. I still expect this to continue for a bit

-Big memes have struggled tho...
Read 11 tweets
Dec 18, 2024
You get no do-overs the next time

What I mean by that is you had a 2nd chance w. your shitcoins from winter 2023 -spring 2024 and then alts went -80%+ down

Then we were saved by $BTC ripping

The next bear market that eventually comes (idk when), I don't expect this to rebound
tl;dr cliffs:
I'm saying that we saw a great altcoin recovery in 2024 so far and many shitcoins mooned at the start of the year, died in the middle, and then now are going to have a big surge.

But after that, it's unlikely they bounce back so quickly. The next bear wont be like summer 2024
To be clear, I'm not saying we're in a bear market now at all. In fact, I think we're on the precipice of an incredible altcoin run. I have 99% exposure to the market and am max long.

I think we're going to do several x on our networths in the coming months and I'm excited
Read 19 tweets

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