Thread by @sovereignorigin

Short update on #SuperHodl, the automated savings algo based on Zero loans by @SovrynBTC. Still alive & still sim. only:
- data analysis: the algo vs price trajectories (#bitcoin & alts backtests, forecasting)
- algorithm improvements (liquidation likelihood vs mean gain)
🧵👇

#bitcoin is a good coin. Like, statistically and historically, it has performed very well on the algorithm.
We have now ran the algo on DOGE, BSV, MIOTA and XRP. The algorithm survives none of the pump 'n dump schemes that these coins represent.
No surprise here :-)

The algorithm shows, in price forecasting, that Zero-loan liquidation is possible if average daily price drops are large enough (for long enough periods of time). In backtesting, it's all good.
The algorithm cannot do magic. Several safety mechanisms have improved the resilience.

A few ways were found that increase mean gains at the cost of slightly reduced likelihood of being able to "exit" (pay back the loan) at a particular day.
I think it's reasonable for people with a long time preference. HODL a bit longer and you're fine again if it would happen.

Tagging @AlexanderKalian @10Suf_Ali @EdanYago

#HOLD on !