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Katherine Hersch

May 1 • 7 tweets • 9 min read

There have been numerous reports today of one or more ammunition depot #fires in the #Belgorod, #Russia area. Locations for the fire(s) that have been mentioned include: #Kozychevo (below), #Tomarovka, and #Borisovka. A 🧵for updates & clarifications. 1/

Some reports regarding the ammunition depot #fire(s) in the #Belgorod, #Russia area indicate that they first saw air defense activity, followed by #explosions on the ground, fire, and then further explosions as, apparently, ammunition detonated. 2/

This video of a potential ammunition #depot #fire near #Belgorod, #Russia was posted on social media with information indicating the fire is in the vicinity of #Tomarovka. 3/

Additional video of the potential ammunition #depot #fire near #Belgorod, #Russia. The location information that accompanied this video was not very precise. Notice the secondary explosions and additional fire to the left. 4/

Further video of the possible military #depot #fire near #Belgorod, #Russia. (Once again -- unfortunately -- poor location data for the fire.) 5/

These maps show locations that have been mentioned in regard to the ammunition depot #fire today in the #Belgorod, #Russia area: #Borisovka, #Tomarovka and #Kozychevo. My guess is that it's a single fire between Kozychevo and Tomarovka. 6/

The Russian news service RIA Novosti is reporting on the ammunition depot #fire near #Belgorod. It suggests the fire on the "territory of one of the facilities of the Ministry of Defense" is in #Tomarovka. 7/
ria.ru/20220501/minob…

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More from @ThatKHersch

Katherine Hersch

@ThatKHersch

May 3

There's a large #fire tonight (May 2-3) in a #warehouse distribution center east of #Moscow, Russia, about 25 miles (40 km) from the city center. The fire is reported to cover an area of 34,000 square meters, or 8.5 acres. A🧵for updates & clarifications. 1/

The #warehouse #fire near #Moscow, #Russia already has been geolocated. It is at a large distribution center called "Atlant Park." Coordinates:
55.82513603752637, 38.24975883473289
2/

The state-owned TASS news service is reporting on the #fire outside of #Moscow, saying it "arose in a #warehouse with textbooks and other printing." 3/
tass.ru/proisshestviya…

Read 6 tweets

Katherine Hersch

@ThatKHersch

May 2

@TheStudyofWar

The May 2 edition of @TheStudyofWar and @criticalthreats Ukraine war update is out. Here's a link to it. The rest of this thread includes the key takeaways from the update, verbatim from the report. 1/
understandingwar.org/backgrounder/r…

@TheStudyofWar

@TheStudyofWar @criticalthreats Key Takeaways (verbatim from report):

1. "Russian forces did not conduct any confirmed ground attacks along any axes of advance and instead shelled Ukrainian positions on the frontlines." 2/

Key Takeaways (contd.):

2. "The April 30 Ukrainian artillery strike on Russian command headquarters near Izyum likely disrupted Russian operations on the Izyum axis and may hinder Russian offensives from Izyum for the next few days." 3/

Read 4 tweets

Katherine Hersch

@ThatKHersch

May 2

@JackDetsch

Another briefing with a "senior U.S. defense official" is going on at the Pentagon. @JackDetsch is tweeting highlights, and I'll string all of them together into a single (long) 🧵 for easy reference. I'll also append any summaries Jack shares later.

@JackDetsch

@JackDetsch

https://twitter.com/JackDetsch/status/1521159287246049283

https://twitter.com/JackDetsch/status/1521159513042259975

https://twitter.com/JackDetsch/status/1521159513042259975

Read 27 tweets

Katherine Hersch

@ThatKHersch

May 2

There was an #explosion yesterday at a munitions factory in #Perm, central #Russia, which manufactures charges used in Grad and Smerch missile systems. There were at least two deaths. The link below is to a local news article about the explosion. 🧵 1/
echoperm.ru/news/261/16936…

Note this unusual information from the first news article about the explosion in #Perm, #Russia: "comments and photos [about] the explosion began to appear in social networks in the evening, May 1, but the administrators of the groups for an unknown reason deleted everything." 2/

A subsequent local news article about the #Perm, #Russia #explosion states that the cause of the explosion is still under investigation. 3/
echoperm.ru/news/261/16936…

Read 5 tweets

Katherine Hersch

@ThatKHersch

May 2

Ukraine has destroyed two Russian navy patrol boats near Snake Island in the Black Sea. The Raptor patrol, which are 55 feet (17 m) in length, were attacked by drone. Each boat can carry up to 20 marines and a crew of three. 1/
defence-blog.com/ukraine-sank-t…

https://twitter.com/DefenceU/status/1521026579555569670

The Ukrainian drone attack on the Russian naval ships was carried out early this morning, local time, and announced by the Ukrainian defense ministry on social media. 2/

https://twitter.com/DefenceU/status/1521026579555569670

Ukraine damaged, and perhaps sank, another Raptor-class boat in early March. Russia had a total of 17 such boats in its navy, of which about 10 were in the Black Sea, prior to the start of the war in Ukraine in February. 3/

Read 4 tweets

Katherine Hersch

@ThatKHersch

May 2

There has been air activity over #Belgorod, #Russia tonight (May 1-2). At first it seemed to be just air defense measures or perhaps an air battle (see below). But now there are reports of explosions that sound like more than just sonic booms. 🧵 for updates & clarifications. 1/

Thus far, there have been reports of two #explosions overnight in #Belgorod, #Russia, occurring during or after air activity also was visible. This video records one of the explosions. 2/