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Charles Gaba ✡️ Profile picture
@charles_gaba
May 5, 2022 • 60 tweets • 19 min read • Read on X
Scrolly
⚠️ TRIGGER WARNING: W/the impending repeal of #RoevWade and the GOP licking their chops at the thought of criminalizing abortion, possibly preventing pregnant women from crossing state lines & w/out exceptions for rape, incest or the health of the mother, it's time once again...
...to go down memory lane with 50 actual statements/actions by Republican elected officials & high-profile GOP members on opining on the topics of rape & abortion.

Sources & links for each of these can be found at goprapeadvisorychart.com. 2/
1988: Republican State Representative Stephen Freind of Pennsylvania. 3/
1990: Republican Gubernatorial candidate Clayton Williams of Texas: 4/
1995: Republican state representative Henry Aldridge of North Carolina. 5/
1998: Republican state Senator & U.S. Senate candidate Fay Boozman of Arkansas. 6/
2002: Republican state senate candidate Dick Black of Virginia. 7/
2003: Republican Governor Jen Bush of Florida. 8/
2005: Republican state representative Mark Anderson of Arizona. 9/
2005: Republican state representative Wards Nichols of Arizona. 10/
2006: Republican Senate candidate Ken Buck of Colorado. 11/
2006: Republican state representative Bill Napoli of South Dakota. 12/
2008: Republican state representative Jonathan Strickland of Texas. 13/
2010: Republican Senate candidate Sharron Angle of Nevada. 14/
2010: Republican Congressman Steve King of Iowa. 15/
2011: Republican state representative Kathleen Passidomo of Florida. 16/

(oh yeah...she's still in office...as a FL State SENATOR now.)
2011: Republican state senator Brent Crane of Idaho. 17/
2011: Republican state representative Pete DeGraaf of Kansas. 18/
2011: Republican Governor and Presidential candidate Bobby Jindal of Louisiana. 19/
2011: Republican state representative Roger Rivard of Wisconsin. 20/
2012: Republican state representative John Ragan of Tennessee. 21/
2012: Republican Senator and Presidential candidate Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania. 22/
2012: Republican Congressman and Presidential candidate Ron Paul of Texas. 23/
2012: Republican state Senator Chuck Winder of Idaho. 24/
2012: Republican Senate candidate Tom Smith of Pennsylvania. 25/
2012: Republican Congressman and Senate candidate Todd Akin of Missouri (the "inspiration" for my decision to start tracking these statements). 26/
2012: Republican former Governor and Presidential candidate Mike Huckabee of Arkansas. 27/
Halfway through the list; we're only up to 2012.

Taking a short break to try and let the bile subside for a bit. Back soon with entries #26 - 50.
During this intermission, here's some links to help reduce the number of elected Republicans who say & do these horrific things:

--U.S. Senate:
secure.actblue.com/donate/senateb…
--U.S. House (AL - MN):
secure.actblue.com/donate/housebl…
--U.S. House (MS - WY):
secure.actblue.com/donate/housebl…
--Governors:
secure.actblue.com/donate/govblue…
--Secretaries of State:
secure.actblue.com/donate/sosblue…
--Attorneys General:
secure.actblue.com/donate/agsblue…
--Michigan House:
secure.actblue.com/donate/bluemi2…
--Michigan Senate:
secure.actblue.com/donate/misenat…
--Pennsylvania Legislature:
secure.actblue.com/donate/pablue22
⚠️ OK, I'm back for Phase 2...

2012: Republican former Congressman, Vice-Presidential nominee & Speaker of the House Paul Ryan of Wisconsin. 28/
2012: Republican Congressman and U.S. Senate candidate Rick Berg of North Dakota. 29/
2012: U.S. Senate candidate Linda McMahon of Connecticut. 30/
2012: Republican state Treasurer and U.S. Senate candidate Richard Mourdock of Indiana. 31/
2012: Republican former state Supreme Court Justice and current U.S. Senator John Cornyn of Texas. 32/
2012: Republican disgraced former Speaker of the House and Presidential candidate Newt Gingrich of Georgia. 33/
2012: Republican Congressional candidate John Koster of Washington State. 34/
2012: Republican U.S. Senator and former Presidential candidate Ted Cruz of Texas. 35/
2012: "Conservative" (presumably Republican) talk show host Michael Graham.

From what I can tell, this prediction (which Obama didn't actually make, but probably should have) was only off by 10 years. 36/
2013: Republcian U.S. Congressman Phil Gingey of Georgia. 37/
2013: Republican State Representative Cathrynn Brown of New Mexico. 38/
2013: Republican campaign manager, pollster and eventual White House advisor/spokesperson to...Donald Trump...@KellyannePolls. 39/
2013: Republican state Assembly president Celeste Greig of California.

FWIW, an estimated 25,000 - 32,000 pregnancies are caused by rape in the U.S. every year.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pregnancy… 40/
2013: FOX News contributor (presumably Republican) Steven Crowder. 41/
2013: Republican State Representative Andy Holt of Tennessee. 42/
2013: Republican strategist Brad Blakeman, referring to President Obama. 43/
2013: MI Right to Life president Barbara Listing of Michigan. 44/
2013: Republican U.S. Senator Saxby Chambliss of Georgia. 45/
2013: Republican former Congressman Allen West of Florida. 46/
2013: Oh, look...it's @KellyannePolls again! 47/
2013: Republican U.S. Congressman Trent Franks of Arizona.

Oh yeah...Franks resigned in disgrace in 2017 after being busted sexually harassing his staff while offering one of them $5 million to be a surrogate mother for his sperm. 48/
2013: Republican U.S. Congressman Michael Burgess of Texas. 49/

Yes, this is an actual quote from him.
2013: Republican state Representative Jodie Laubenberg of Texas. 50/
2013: Republican County Party Chair Robert J. Kearns of Pennsylvania. 51/
2013: Republican Governor Rick Perry of Texas. 52/
There you have it: 50 entries.

Even more jaw-dropping: This only gets us through 2013.

There's another ~50 entries from 2014 - 2016 here: goprapeadvisorychart.com

I stopped updating it after Donald Trump was elected because, honestly, I didn't see the point after that. 53/
ONCE AGAIN, here's some links to help reduce the number of elected Republicans who say & do these horrific things:

--U.S. Senate:
secure.actblue.com/donate/senateb…
--U.S. House (AL - MN):
secure.actblue.com/donate/housebl…
--U.S. House (MS - WY):
secure.actblue.com/donate/housebl…
--Governors:
secure.actblue.com/donate/govblue…
--Secretaries of State:
secure.actblue.com/donate/sosblue…
--Attorneys General:
secure.actblue.com/donate/agsblue…
--Michigan House:
secure.actblue.com/donate/bluemi2…
--Michigan Senate:
secure.actblue.com/donate/misenat…
--Pennsylvania Legislature:
secure.actblue.com/donate/pablue22
And yes, THIS is what's coming next in some states if the GOP takes or remains in power.
#GOPHandmaidsTale
And now, as a palette cleanser after all that ugliness, here’s a beautiful song:

• • •

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More from @charles_gaba

Charles Gaba ✡️ Profile picture
Nov 10
Here's an updated version of my "Dem Stop the Steal!" conspiracy theory thread which hopefully is less scattershot.

There's 3 main claims:

1. "How could there be 20M fewer voters than in 2020 w/"record-breaking turnout?"

2. "How could 15M fewer voter for Harris vs. Biden?"
3. "How could so many swing state voters vote for the Dem for Senate but not for Harris for POTUS?"

There's a few others, but these are the biggest ones, so let's tackle them first:
1. There weren't 20M fewer voters.

I've been compiling the data as it's being updated by CNN's tracking center via a Google spreadsheet. As of this writing, total POTUS turnout is ~147.6M, or ~10.8M lower than 2020's 158.4M.

cnn.com/election/2024/…

docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Read 46 tweets
Charles Gaba ✡️ Profile picture
Nov 8
Yesterday I posted a thread digging into the actual data behind the "20M missing votes!" and "15M fewer than Biden!" conspiracy theories being tossed around the past few days.

I've updated my spreadsheet using the latest data from CNN:
cnn.com/election/2024/…Image
Short Version:

Via CNN, as of this writing, total 2024 POTUS votes are only down 13.9 million vs. 2020...with a likely 11.5 - 12.0 million ballots still to be counted across 30 states.

Total 2024 turnout will likely be ~156M or so...just a couple million fewer than 2020.
Again, using CNN's data & estimates, once every legitimate ballot has been counted, Trump will likely have around ~78 million votes to Harris' 75-76 million.

That'd mean he added ~4 million vs 2020 while she lost ~5-6 million.

Both of these would still suck, of course.
Read 14 tweets
Charles Gaba ✡️ Profile picture
Nov 3
As the guy who obsessed over precisely this data for nearly 3 years, let me address this:

My best estimate is that around 150,000 more Trump 2020 voters than Biden 2020 voters died between Nov. 2020 & Nov. 2022.

That's a lot of people. HOWEVER... 1/

acasignups.net/22/09/17/eleph…
...the vast majority of this discrepancy happened in districts/counties which were heavily red to begin with, which is why the MAGA COVID Death Cult factor only ended up making a decisive difference in exactly one statewide race: Arizona Attorney General:
acasignups.net/22/12/29/updat…
At the House district level it didn't make a decisive difference in any races at all. To understand why, let's look at two extreme examples...

acasignups.net/22/12/13/updat…
Read 10 tweets
Charles Gaba ✡️ Profile picture
Oct 31
People have started asking why I'm still pushing fundraising for Dems just 5 days before Election Day. All the ad time has been purchased & the lit pieces printed & mailed out already, right?

There's several reasons: 1/
1. For state legislative races in particular, a last-minute cash infusion of even $50 can mean an extra few pizzas for tired & hungry canvassers or an extra burner phone for phone banking.

Blue24.org/state-leg
2. After the polls close, there's going to no doubt be some races which require recounts...which may or may not have to be paid for by the campaign requesting it, depending on the state and the margin. That's gonna cost money.

Blue24.org/endgame
Read 4 tweets
Charles Gaba ✡️ Profile picture
Oct 31
🧵THE DEAD POOL: Since @MikeJohnson and @JDVance are promising to Concentrate folks w/pre-existing conditions into separate Camps, let's talk about that. 1/
acasignups.net/24/10/04/dead-…
Let's go back to the pre-ACA healthcare landscape. This is what it looked like in 2012...*before* the ACA's major provisions went into effect.

Half the US had employer coverage. Another third had Medicare or Medicaid. ~11M had "individual" insurance; ~48M had nothing at all. 2/ Image
The ACA had 2 main goals:

1. Reduce the number of uninsured Americans as much as possible by making coverage more affordable & accessible;

2. Provide protections from insurance industry abuses, *especially* for the individual market where the abuses were the most blatant. 3/
Read 40 tweets
Charles Gaba ✡️ Profile picture
Oct 6
(sigh) OK, here we go again: Trump's Butler, PA rally crowd size.

Here's the best aerial view shot I've seen of the crowd at its peak. (the arrow shows the stage). 1/ Image
A standard dry U.S. trailer van is around 53' long. 2/
schneiderjobs.com/blog/semi-truc…
As it happens, the aerial shot shows several presumably standard trailer vans lined up neatly in a row just outside the perimeter in the lower right.

By copying & pasting one of them, it looks like the venue runs around 7 trailer vans x 4 trailer vans. 3/ Image
Read 9 tweets

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