Antoine FLAHAULT Profile picture
May 16 9 tweets 4 min read
1/9 - “Unexplained severe acute hepatitis cases among children continue to emerge in Canada and around the world, and while health officials desperately search for a cause of the mysterious illness, researchers are pointing to a possible link to #COVID19.”
cbc.ca/news/health/se…
2/9 - “The World Health Organization (WHO) said Tuesday there are now at least 348 probable cases of severe acute hepatitis —  or inflammation of the liver — in children under investigation worldwide, which aren't caused by the usual hepatitis viruses or any other clear source.”
3/9 - “While an early line of investigation from U.K. health officials emphasized possible links to adenovirus, a family of viruses typically known for causing flu-like illness, global teams are also zeroing in on potential impacts from #SARSCoV2, the virus behind #COVID19 .”
4/9 - “An Indian research team analyzed 475 children from throughout India who had tested positive for #COVID19 — 47 of whom presented with severe hepatitis. 10 had MIS-C and were ruled out, while the 37 classified as #COVID19 Associated Hepatitis.”
medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
5/9 - “The Indian researchers looked for other common causes behind the 37 cases of severe acute hepatitis — everything from hepatitis A, C, E and others like varicella-zoster virus, herpes and cytomegalovirus (CMV) — but found nothing that could explain the symptoms.”
6/9 - “To prove that the #COVID19 itself is causing this hepatitis it will require a lot more effort. One significant hint was that hepatitis cases seemed to drop off when #COVID19 stopped circulating widely in the region, but picked up again when cases were high.”
7/9 - “For one thing, there's "no evidence" of a link between #COVID19 vaccination and these cases of acute hepatitis, the UKHSA has said, noting there were no vaccinations recorded in patients under five — the age group making up more than three-quarters of the cases.”
8/9 - “Some media outlets also latched on to survey data showing a high rate of exposure to dogs, but UKHSA epidemiologist Kall said that the hypothesis is far fetched given how common dog ownership is in the UK, and was included in the latest briefing note for transparency.”
9/9 - "Why is it that these certain kids are getting sick and the vast majority are not? Is it something about the kids? Is it something about the virus? Is it something in the environment, that these kids are doing, that may have changed the course of their infection?"

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More from @FLAHAULT

May 16
1/9 - May 16 to May 22 -
"Around the #COVID19 World in 80 Seconds"!

Daily epidemic 7-day forecasting for 300+ countries/ territories on our dashboard:
tinyurl.com/COVIDdashb

Data source: coronavirus.jhu.edu & ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/9 - Western Europe
#COVID19 cases are either surging again or improving at slower pace:
- Surge in [PT (R-eff=1.27); IRL=1.30]; ICL=1.24, low [high ]mortality;
- Plateau in SP=0.99;UK=0.97;
- (Slow) landing: (NL=0.94; LUX=0.92); NO; AU; IT; FR; CH; DK; DE; BE; FL.
3/9 - East-Central Europe
- (Slow) landing towards their #COVID19 safety zones in (Greece); Croatia; Slovenia; Slovakia, Hungary; Latvia; Estonia;
- Safe elsewhere.
No report from Ukraine since Feb 24.
Read 11 tweets
May 16
1/4 - France (R-eff=0.88) is landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone, with medium mortality. 81.1% > 1 dose.
26,032 cases and 69 deaths/day to be reported by May 22, if at same pace.
Forecast for May 16 to May 19:
tinyurl.com/COVIDfrance
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/4 - Two mainland Régions are now slowly landing towards their #COVID19 safety zone, with medium mortality:
Hauts-de-France (R-eff=0.93);
Ile-de-France=0.90.

Note: Large underreporting in the whole country.
3/4 - Eleven mainland Régions are landing towards their #COVID19 safety zone, medium [high] mort:
AURA (R-eff=0.85);
Bourg-Franche-Comté=0.78;
Bretagne=0.88;
Centre-VdL=0.89;
[Corse=0.71];
Grand-Est=0.84;
Normandie=0.89;
Nouv-Aquitaine=0.84;
Occ=0.77;
Pays-Loire=0.89;
PACA=0.85.
Read 6 tweets
May 15
1/8 - “Decision-makers discussing landmark agreements on health and biodiversity must include four actions to reduce the risk of animals and people exchanging viruses.”
nature.com/articles/d4158…
2/8 - “First, tropical and subtropical forests must be protected. Various studies show that changes in the way land is used, particularly tropical and subtropical forests, might be the largest driver of emerging infectious diseases of zoonotic origin globally.”
3/8 - “Second, commercial markets and trade of live wild animals that pose a public-health risk must be banned or strictly regulated, both domestically and internationally.”
Read 8 tweets
May 15
1/9 - “In early March truck drivers at Suto Logistics were ferrying 1,000 tonnes of goods every day in and out of Shanghai, China’s most important economic hub and the world’s busiest port...”
ft.com/content/9318db…
2/9 - “By the end of Apr, 5 weeks after authorities had forced factories to close and residents to isolate in their homes, just one or two trucks were being dispatched daily,. And even they were delivering“livelihood supplies” — groceries to sustain the city’s 26mn residents.”
3/9 - “The repercussions have rippled across the globe, with multinationals from Apple, Tesla and General Electric, to Amazon, Adidas and Estée Lauder warning of disruption to their supply chains due to the lockdown of a city that handles 20% of China’s international trade.”
Read 9 tweets
May 15
1/9 - May 15 to May 21 -
"Around the #COVID19 World in 80 Seconds"!

Daily epidemic 7-day forecasting for 300+ countries/ territories on our dashboard:
tinyurl.com/COVIDdashb

Data source: coronavirus.jhu.edu & ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/9 - Western Europe
#COVID19 cases are either surging again or improving at slower pace:
- Surge in [PT (R-eff=1.27); IRL=1.31]; ICL=1.24, low [high ]mortality;
- Plateau in SP=0.99;
- (Slow) landing: (UK=0.94; NL=0.93; LUX=0.92); NO; AU; IT; FR; CH; DK; DE; BE; FL.
3/9 - East-Central Europe
- Landing towards their #COVID19 safety zones in Croatia; Greece; Serbia; Slovenia; Slovakia, Hungary; Latvia; Estonia;
- Safe elsewhere.
No report from Ukraine since Feb 24.
Read 11 tweets
May 15
1/4 - France (R-eff=0.88) is landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone, with medium mortality. 81.1% > 1 dose.
26,866 cases and 69 deaths/day to be reported by May 21, if at same pace.
Forecast for May 15 to May 18:
tinyurl.com/COVIDfrance
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/4 - One mainland Région is now slowly landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone, with medium mortality:
Bretagne (R-eff=0.91).

Note: Large underreporting in the whole country.
3/4 - Twelve mainland Régions are landing towards their #COVID19 safety zone, medium [high] mort:
AURA (R-eff=0.79);
Bourg-Franche-Comté=0.76;
Centre-VdL=0.85;
[Corse=0.70];
Gd-Est=0.83;
Hauts-dFr=0.90;
Ile-de-Fr=0.87;
Norm=0.85;
Nouv-Aq=0.81;
Occ=0.74;
P-d-Loire=0.88;
PACA=0.82.
Read 6 tweets

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