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Anton Gerashchenko Profile picture
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May 18 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
1/4 🧵Putin is not ready for negotiations. The only way to end this - is the 🇷🇺 army defeat. As for when they will be ready to accept it - I think, we need a few more months.
#UkraineUnderAttaсk
2/4 Every week the desire to support the "special operation" among russians is going down. No one wants to die for Putin's insane ideas. The rupture in perception among the russians will come in July-August when the number of dead 🇷🇺 troops exceeds 50,000.
3/4 Sanctions against 🇷🇺 must get stronger. One of the ideas - to sanction Yedinaya Rossia (United Russia) members, recognize the party a criminal organization & ban all of its 144 members [in 🇷🇺Duma] from entering civilized world.
4/4 #Crimea is better to return diplomatically, but the Ukrainian defenders are so eager to de-occupy Ukrainian lands that it will be hard to stop them at the border.
#StandWithUkraine️

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More from @Gerashchenko_en

Anton Gerashchenko Profile picture
May 19
Testimony and video obtained by @nytimes show Russian paratroopers executing at least eight Ukrainians in #Bucha on March 4.

#RussianWarCrimes #UkraineUnderAttack m
nytimes.com/2022/05/19/wor…
A photograph taken on April 3 showed the scene where Russian forces executed eight men at 144 Yablunska Street, #Bucha

Vadim Ghirda/Associated Press Image
Read 5 tweets
Anton Gerashchenko Profile picture
May 19
1/4Yesterday 🇷🇺 announced that #Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant would be rerouted to supply energy to russia, and Ukraine could buy energy from it if we wanted.
#UkraineUnderAttack Image
2/4 This power plant is largest in Europe, and supplies 20% of Ukrainian electricity. Russia's statements are a continuation of energy war.
3/4 Ukrenergo, regulating body in this area, replied that:

- The plant is in 🇺🇦 network and under control of 🇺🇦 specialists.

- UA energy system doesn't have physical connection with RU energy system, so no electricity supplies over there are physically possible at the moment
Read 4 tweets
Anton Gerashchenko Profile picture
May 17
Chargé d’Affaires at @USEmbassyKyiv, Kristina A. Kvien gave an interview to a Ukrainian news website. Some key points from it:
#StandWithUkraine
#UkraineUnderAttaсk
#StopRussiaNOW Image
1. Ukraine must win but Ukraine should define the contours of this victory, not the US. Government and people should decide which outcome of war they wll accept. We will support this decision.
2. We always acknowedged Crimea as Ukraine. But the decision to liberate occupied territories, including Crimea, lies with Ukraine. We want Ukraine to win this war.
Read 8 tweets
Anton Gerashchenko Profile picture
May 17
Some thoughts from an article "Why russia Will Lose the War" by Oleksander Shcherba @olex_scherba, Chief Advisor to Naftogaz CEO, diplomat.
1. putin has been preparing for this war for years. He wanted to make conquering Ukraine his main triumph. He amassed capital, raised hatred and chauvinism in russians and built up beliefs that Ukraine is waiting to be conquered.
2. When russians saw that Ukraine didn't want to be "liberated" and would put up a fight, they became disappointed and furious. This is why Bucha massacre happened, among many others.
Read 9 tweets
Anton Gerashchenko Profile picture
May 16
1. "It will be difficult for Ukrainian economy to withstand a long war," - Finance Minister Serhiy Marchenko.
Ukrainian GDP will shrink by almost half in 2022, by current estimates. We need about $5 billion each month to sustain expenses - supplied by other countries.
2. If war lasts more than another three or four months, very painful measures will need to be taken (drastic tax increases, spending cuts, maybe a wave of nationalization). This will undermine all the progress Ukraine has achieved in recent years in modernizing its economy.
3. There is a huge problem with transportation of crops. Ports are blocked, railroads and trucks cannot manage such a large amount for transportation. Each EU country must allow free access of UA trucks onto their territory or food shortages will become reality.
Read 4 tweets
Anton Gerashchenko Profile picture
May 16
1/4 Transnistria is a Moldovan territory which has been occupied by russia for 30 years. But UN has officially recognized it as such on 15th March 2022, after russian full scale invasion to Ukraine.
#UkraineRussianWar #UkraineUnderAttaсk
2/4 🇷🇺 is currently trying to "heat up" atmosphere in Transnistria, threatening with alleged 🇺🇦 attacks (which, in fact, would be carried out by 🇷🇺 secret services) to justify military actions over there. 🇷🇺 ultimate goal is to cut off south of Odesa region from 🇺🇦 control.
3/4 Trasnistrian military formations are not very numerous, don't have a lot of weapons and experience. There is also a 🇷🇺 military group of up to 2,500 people who are guarding weapons warehouse. Men are fearing mobilization, so large numbers of people are now leaving the region
Read 5 tweets

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