🧵 The Basic Plan from here ❗️

Bear market, sideways chop, recovery run to ATH then the mother of all crashes… doesn’t matter which.

If you’re down or new, start prepping for the next cycle

$BTC dominance is on the ascent, the basics until we get to the next big bull run…
Step 1. Start averaging into the market

Start with #Bitcoin it is the de-facto lowest risk asset, the reserve currency of the space & can be traded into the majority or cryptos

It is reclaiming market dominance > means it will do better than majority of the market next 6 months
Step 2: When #Ethereum hits it’s bottom vs $BTC start slowly siphoning off small amounts of Bitcoin into $ETH

“But when bottom” doesn’t need to be perfect, 50%+ from it’s ATH vs Bitcoin valuation, start the process slowly.

Bitcoin runs first when hype returns followed by Eth
Step 3: Beyond this, alts are risky. Select a few decent alts.

When Ethereum is starting it’s uptrend against Bitcoin slowly scale a portion of your $ETH into your favourite alts

Throughout this entire process when in profit, set a rule… 50% stable 50% into the asset
Step 4: Take profits from your alts when they run against Bitcoin or Eth making new ATH

Don’t ignore USD value but their BTC/ETH valuations are a very good at pin pointing their fomo runs.

That is when you take the profits when it’s outpacing the biggest 2 cryptos
Step 5: Hodl your stablecoins or cash

You can return to BTC but ideally only in a black swan event or bear market

Do not start ape-ing into loads of random projects. Hodl and be happy with your profits. Overrule the greed and denial emotions
This process so far has proved to be the case with crypto

Still an immature market. Each cycle including ourselves this time “it’s completely different, super cycle coming”

No the basic game is still being played, those who recognise it will do better than those who don’t ✅
None of this is financial advice

It’s based on research of previous cycles, the experience of this cycle and is for learning purposes only… to help you think more about the market itself, rather than any one project or coin

Majority of ppl entered near top of bull market 📈

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More from @21blacky

May 17
Technical Analysis - so subjective and so many indicators

Anyone can find an indicator to go with their bias

The trick is to select only a handful of indicators you like and find most useful

Keep it basic, the more simple the better. Some of the ones I prefer:
Besides the moving averages which aren’t brilliant but can sometimes be useful I like a combination of:
- Stochastic RSI
- RSI
- OBV
- VPVR
Every-time you look at the graph, look at it without bias.

What is it telling you without considering a bull or bear market expectation

Practice without putting money on first, then once comfortable practice with spot and try to trade within price structures
Read 6 tweets
May 14
‼️Leveraged Loans ‼️

Simply beautiful when they go to plan, outright destructive when it goes totally wrong.

There is one simple rule to avoid disaster when using these loans, but I will share a few things to consider.

The first rule…
If you take a loan for $20k with $80k backed collateral (25% LTV) you must ensure you actually already have $20k of stables

Why not just use your stables? Because you are taking a risk to potentially make more.

So rule No 1 = always have stables to cover the cost of loan ready
2 - Timing

Majority of the crypto and financial markets timing is everything

Taking loans near the top of the bull market where momentum has ran out, or against an asset which looks to have popped it’s 🫧 infers great risk

Best time when the bull market is warming up
Read 9 tweets
May 12
❗️❗️❗️ $BTC Dominance ❗️❗️❗️

Fully believe BTC dominance structure will dictate the market bottom OR the entrance into a sustained Bear market.

Said a week or two ago I expected BTC to dump for dominance to hit the resistance. It just happened.

This means... Image
1) The market bottom is in, or atleast the market bottom is dictated by the resitance against $BTC's dominance. BTC at $25k made the contact.
2) Flipping the resistance to support means breaking to the upside and creating a new structure... this would mean a sustained bear market
Now I honestly can't tell you which one it is. Have to plan for both eventualities.

My heart says we are at max pain and hysteria and what follows next is a bull run.

However if you zoom out to the monthly... the macro looks terrible, we have several points of interest...
Read 6 tweets

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