On #Ethereum, @CurveFinance acts as a DeFi lynchpin w/20+ protocols that are built ontop of or around $CRV.
On #Arbitrum, I see @GMX_IO as an evolving defi primitive that will act as a base layer as well. 10+ protocols are building ontop of it w/more every day. 👀
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IMO, we're going to s👀n start seeing a @cosmos -like effect begin to develop on the #ETH L2s: Modularity at its finest.
Microcosms of dApp communities will evolve on specific rollups: #Arbitrium for DeFi, @polygonhermeztr for GameFi, @starkware for centralized services, etc
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Among the present rollups, #Arbitrum is uniquely positioned to take avg of alt L1 volume moving back to the safety of #Ethereum.
Degens who have gotten used to cheap fees & fast txns will benefit greatly from @OffchainLabs's Nitro w/fees now $0.25-$0.50...ideal for DeFI
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Perhaps the great feature of #Arbitrum's DeFi ecosystem is its composability.
Protocols like $UMAMI, $DPX, $JONES, $TCR are all working synergistically to create new defi primitives built upon @GMX_IO w/yield earned in native $ETH rather than a 💩coin.
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A native token for #Arbitrum is likely to incentivize TVL to the rollup via both airdrop hunters & yield farmers alike. @DefiLlama demos TVL to be $1.7B. At first glance, this is not impressive. However, bc of the recent 🐻market, TVL is N🚫T useful to measure adoption.
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Using @nansen_ai, we can monitor #Arbitrum adoption in the 🐻 market by looking at the # of unique addresses holding $WETH (L) & $USDC (R) as well as the # of txns on #Arbitrum vs #Ethereum. All 3 metrics support evidence of rapidly growing adoption even during recent 📉.
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As MORE users migrate from L1 to L2 #Arbitrum, the interest in for ⬆️ yield & delta neutral strategies will exponentially grow.
IMO, the success of $GMX can partly be attributed to moving away from yield based, native token inflation to yield based on ACTUAL income.
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The growth & revenue of $GMX is undeniable. Even in a 🐻 market, more unique users are interacting w/the platform even if they are placing smaller perp bets.
Degens will degen & composability w/@dopex_io Atlantics & $UMAMI's ERC4626 vaults will likely ⬆️⬆️ TVL on $GMX & $GLP.
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Greater TVL in the @GMX_IO index will transiently result in yield dilution for $GLP holders. HOWEVER, the rise of $DPX Atlantics will permit insurance for perps that is ALSO likely to increase $GMX trading fees.
A larger $GLP index fund means:
⬆️ leverage = ⬆️ perp bets =💰💰
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@GMX is not as lg as @dYdX & they do not offer as many trading pairs or as much leverage...but only bc they lack collateralization at this early stage of the platform.
Tokenomics are 🔥, UI is clean & composability w/other ecosystem partners is 🔑 to eating $DYDX's lunch.
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TLDR: As growing #Arbitrum TVL + token brings new degen DeFI users, expect $GMX to become increasingly important for yield farming, perp trades, 0 slippage swaps, MEV revenue & the creation of new/evolving DeFi primitives. 🍌
Full Disclosure:
I hold the Arbitrum ecosystem tokens $GMX, $UMAMI.
I have never been & never will be, compensated for my tweets; opinions are my own. This 🧵 is meant to be educational. As always, DYOR to be safe. NFA.
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Someone asked me today what I look for in a 🌱seed project & how much is too little/too much to invest...it made me realize there just isnt enough info out there for the avg degen to consider if you want to angel/seed invest.
My take might not be popular: but its honest 🤷♀️
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Rule #1: Try NOT do seeds/angel investments.
Why? Well, the honest trust is that $ETH will likely 3-5x ROI in the next 2yr by simply hodling
OR, u can give 💰 to a start-up that wont show ROI for >2 years + risks exploits, irrelevance, forking/copy-cats & lack of a value moat.
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@tbr90 touched on this back in Jan when he noted it is often better to be the 2nd 🐭.
I have used the metaphor of the 2nd mouse in relation to seed investments several times since. The ref relates to a clip in Catch me if You Can w/Christopher Walken:
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On request from @ani578 & @VirtualCD_CTEn,
here are some indicators I've documented w/@irncrypt to monitor for oversold vs overbought conditions.
As always, this is NFA, all indicators should be considered in context of broader macro/market conditions.
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1) @GCRClassic was the first big CT account to note : Volume traded > market cap is suggestive of a potential top as this is often indicative of high turn over in the circulating supply. @Asymmetry_Fi also had a good commentary on this recently as well and is worth a follow.
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2) Clean wallet funding is bullish for whatever token they're buying in context of fund accumulation vs P&D buying. I monitor for clean wallet accumulation from @ElBarto_Crypto amazing free dash, Block 119, block119.io/dashboard
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Is @Ninjascalp's Binance Cartel real?
TLDR: YES
Let's take a look.
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I used @DeBankDeFi Time Machine to look at the @binance hot wallet, 0x28c6c06298d514db089934071355e5743bf21d60 on 3/12/23...the day before @cz_binance announced his $1b liquidity purchase.
On this day, the hot wallet held $157m $BUSD.
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On 3/13/23, @cz_binance announced a plan to swap the Binance Recovery Foundation wallet funds into crypto.
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Everyone is talking about Mt Gox & Shanghai...but no one is talking about one of the OTHER biggest stories of April 2023: @amazon's NFT marketplace GALLERY
Let's dive in bc it's something worth watching 👀
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Reported 1st by @michael_bodley, @amazon will be launching a NFT marketplace on/around April 24th.
The (nft) GALLERY reportedly will:
✅Feature famous web3 nfts
✅Permit sale/resale of NFT gift cards + subscriptions
✅Host minted content tied to real world tokenized assets
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Wen researching tokens & fee revenue, you REALLY need to pay attention to sources.
Just bc someone claims to have data supporting their conclusions...trust but verify.
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The most easily accessible source of fee revenue is @tokenterminal. This is unfortunate because they tend to have institutional subscriptions & funds+researchers who ACTUALLY believe their data wo questioning it. 🎗️Remember: easy != accurate
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Case in point: there has recently been a CT discussion regarding @QuickswapDEX vs @traderjoe_xyz revenues.
Both are gud projects from @0xPolygon & @avalancheavax respectively. However, TT does NOT represent a comparison of their fee revenue accurately.
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