THREAD
@TheEconomist seems to claim we are 'post-truth' in Myanmar becayse local and social media are overhyping successes of resistance
This seems like a straw man and is deeply misleading about the situation on the ground
#WhatsHappeningInMyanmar
economist.com/asia/2022/05/1…
@TheEconomist seems to claim we are 'post-truth' in Myanmar becayse local and social media are overhyping successes of resistance
This seems like a straw man and is deeply misleading about the situation on the ground
#WhatsHappeningInMyanmar
economist.com/asia/2022/05/1…
Firstly, local media and Myanmar Twitter/Facebook are constantly reporting on:
- Funerals of resistance fighters
- Desperate lack of weapons
- Lack of effective leadership
- Capture, torture, burnings of fighters & civilians believed to support resistance
What is being ignored?
- Funerals of resistance fighters
- Desperate lack of weapons
- Lack of effective leadership
- Capture, torture, burnings of fighters & civilians believed to support resistance
What is being ignored?
There are indeed reports of the very real and historic losses that the Myanmar military faces on all fronts.
The following are happening every week
- Attacks on mil bases
- Losses of whole platoons
- SAC retreats from roads
- Defections
- Admin abandoning entire areas
The following are happening every week
- Attacks on mil bases
- Losses of whole platoons
- SAC retreats from roads
- Defections
- Admin abandoning entire areas
These events have been extremely rare in ERO conflict areas for decades.
The only comparable period was the AA in Rakhine State in '18-20. The AA now controls about half the state.
This is now happening across the country.
Daily updates: mizzima.com/article/spring…
The only comparable period was the AA in Rakhine State in '18-20. The AA now controls about half the state.
This is now happening across the country.
Daily updates: mizzima.com/article/spring…
Right now resistance in Sagaing and Magwe are facing a total onslaught from the military, causing huge casualties on all sides and great human suffering.
The real concern is humanitarian.
But the SAC is indisputably losing ground month on month. It is not gaining anywhere.
The real concern is humanitarian.
But the SAC is indisputably losing ground month on month. It is not gaining anywhere.
Meanwhile, the SAC losses in Karen, Kachin, Karenni and Chin are astonishing.
SAC administration is basically gone and the only thing in the way of it being replaced by EROs and allies are resource constraints and concern of backlash against local people.
The shift is huge
SAC administration is basically gone and the only thing in the way of it being replaced by EROs and allies are resource constraints and concern of backlash against local people.
The shift is huge
Any social media account claiming SAC is on verge of defeat (the @TheEconomist doesn't link to any) should obvs not be trusted.
That is total hyperbol. Unfollow anyone who says that
But strawmanning all "Myanmar rebels" and all "local media" without references is just weird.
That is total hyperbol. Unfollow anyone who says that
But strawmanning all "Myanmar rebels" and all "local media" without references is just weird.
Ultimately this all comes down to where you choose to set the goalposts to measure victory.
Between '88-21, the military strengthened its grip on power year-on-year.
It is now weaker than it has been at any time since 1962.
The SAC is not going to be able to reverse this
Between '88-21, the military strengthened its grip on power year-on-year.
It is now weaker than it has been at any time since 1962.
The SAC is not going to be able to reverse this
Any sober analysis of the situation should conclude that this is going to keep going for a while and the trajectory is overwhemingly in favour of the resistance.
Gains at the tactical level are unprecedented
Consolidating those victories depends on strategy and politics.
Gains at the tactical level are unprecedented
Consolidating those victories depends on strategy and politics.
While @TheEconomist snears at Myanmar's revolutionaries for "retreating" when the enemy advances
Millions of people across Myanmar are still giving all their savings, property, sons and daughters up for a better future.
They have not "drunk kool aid". They are making progress
Millions of people across Myanmar are still giving all their savings, property, sons and daughters up for a better future.
They have not "drunk kool aid". They are making progress
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