Faisal Islam Profile picture
May 26, 2022 11 tweets 7 min read Read on X
NEW

UK-EU trade war would be “shocking” & “unnecessary” Taoiseach Micheál Martin tells BBC at #WEF22 saying he did not want to detail and “hopefully” will not have to contemplate EU tariffs against UK exports… urging negotiators to “get in the tunnel” bbc.co.uk/news/business-…
NEW

Full excl @BBCNewsnight interview with Taoiseach @MichealMartinTD at 2230 on @BBCTwo … sneak preview…

On who is threatening a trade war
Why object to red-green channel
On what is responsible for fall in GB-Ireland trade
& “enormous help” of a veterinary agreement #WEF2022
NEW: @MichealMartinTD says to me on @bbcnewsnight
“hasn't been engagement by UK on the detail…ECJ wasn't, or isn't core issue in terms of unionism”
Red & Green channels sound plausible?
“get involved in discussions. you can't, ignore and not reciprocate (sefcovic plans)”
Taoiseach:
“Britain signed up to this deal…”
But you knew that it wouldn’t be acceptable to unionism?
“There are mechanisms in the Protocol to resolve issues that haven’t been fully used, and if they had we might not be in this situation” #newsnight
“regret to say, I'm not so sure people thought through implications for Good Friday Agreement when Brexit was put forward”
But net result of these threats is that unionism might be turned away from GFA & Protocol?
“only threat here” is the UK one to tear up an international deal
Taoiseach: “Nobody wants a trade war… it would be shocking and totally unnecessary”
But what are we talking about? The EU targeting politically sensitive UK exports?
“Im not going to get into the detail of that” hopefully won’t have to contemplate… #newsnight
Martin: “get down there & negotiate..get trade people involved”
Think UK Govt playing fair?
“I don’t. I don’t think this is fair. Unilateral legislation not correct behaviour. When countries sign an international treaty it should mean something” not discarded in “cavalier manner”
Taoiseach: “I told Uk PM, leaders of France & Germany don’t want minute checks on everything going into NI, want to resolve this”

“We’re not overplaying our hand, hardly playing our hand.

Britain our closest neighbour and friend… no agenda in Ireland, to pick a row with UK”
Me: GB-ROI trade has been hit

Taoiseach:
“has been hit a bit somewhat. And I think that's because …the UK perhaps was not as well prepared for it.”

So you’re blaming that on Britain?
“not all of it, but it's just a fact Brexit means the disruption of trade” #Newsnight
Taoiseach: “we should work out a veterinary agreement that would help enormously. there are ways of solving this. no doubt about that. I've been at pains to say this to my good friends of the British government that there are ways to solve this, if the will is there to solve it.”
NEW Taoiseach @MichealMartinTD : “I haven't been clear that the will is actually there to resolve this [from UK]. And as I say, we're not clear on the landing zone in terms of what would satisfy the UK Government in the end.”
#Newsnight

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Faisal Islam

Faisal Islam Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @faisalislam

Jul 21
Shadow Chancellor Jeremy Hunt acknowledges to @bbclaurak when asked if Conservatives had won whether there would have been tax cuts in Autumn that “we wouldn’t have been able to do it immediately, no”

most notable thing re: Chancellor interview with Laura is this unusual Treasury analysis due in next fortnight which will “look at the state of the public services, the state of the public finances…public spending pressures we are under”

Q: why isnt the OBR doing this?
While fiscally eventful, it is not going to be a “fiscal event”… when first announced by Chancellor on her first Monday in office it sounded more like an audit of stalled spending and impact on public services, than an audit of the public finances…
Read 6 tweets
Jul 9
Reassuringly, @demishassabis tells Blair at the @InstituteGC conference that Artificial Intelligence is only at the IQ level of a cat right now.. [although that is changing rapidly - surely will exceed humans in many tasks in this Parliament] 🐈‍⬛
Interesting to think Blair as PM famously never used his computer, or rarely did so…

Also has the scars, as it were, from that failed NHS IT contract… if only that had succeeded…

Interesting to know if this Govt is conscious of the ghosts of that and of botched PFI deals.
Chancellor’s Mais lecture did have sense of learning from some setbacks during the Blair era … havent seen a good analysis tho of where eg record on PFI and the NHS IT contract [perhaps Horizon too] forms part of this govt’s memory.

Nothing is entirely new in politics, ever.
Read 16 tweets
Jun 5
Coutinho co-opting the Treasury Permanent Secretary into backing idea that Labour will raise taxes by thousands…

All this arises because the OBR (unlike its equivalent in Ireland, Australia the US, the CBO) is prevented from doing comparable truly independent costings…
This whole “debate” is, for now, rather absurd, as next week we will get the actual policies in manifestos, the parties’ own assumptions and separate truly independent numbers on the implications for tax, spend & borrowing from the likes of the IFS & Niesr.
The Treasury Permanent Secretary who Coutinho deployed this morning to defend the £38bn/ £2k claim wrote to the Opposition to say it “should not be presented as having been produced by civil service”… this could be problematic…
Read 6 tweets
May 20
Looks like a major “announcement” on energy bills is imminent … another @politicalpics long lens scoop… Big Six have been briefed … something to do with the energy price cap adjustment (cut) from July (coming by Friday), further policy on smart meters (rollout has stalled)
”Note we do not necessarily want their advocacy as consumer trust is so low in suppliers that if a package of this kind is backed by them then consumers will instinctively regard it as not in their best interests” the memo says of the Big Six energy providers
Logically, some sort of announcement that builds on the inflation fall (energy driven) on Wednesday and the further fall in the cap on Friday, to promote the idea that the cost of living crisis is behind us, but something not all the energy companies will back - perhaps rolling back some of the green additions ???
Read 6 tweets
Mar 8
1 in 4 Scottish adults on anti-depressants doctor just told Amol on @BBCr4today re inactivity…

Can’t find directly comparable England stat … but NHS England business data says there were 8.6m patients prescribed antidepressants in 22/23 (up from 6.8m in 2015)… 19% of adults
Thanks followers - the doc did say 1 in 5, and the fact is here from NHS business data … 8.6m antidepressant prescriptions out of an adult population of 45 million… 5.6m women, 2.9m men. Up from 2015 6.8m prescriptions/ 43m population… (1 in 6)

these numbers seem astonishing. Image
By age
English children on prescribed antidepressants, including a handful of toddlers - big spike up is for teenage girls… Image
Read 5 tweets
Jan 19
Epic Davos buzz thread -

1. Leading African figures told me privately that Kagame’s clear frustration with the UK-Rwanda deal, communicated to me “it’s UK’s problem” & “have money back” also reflect eyebrows being raised in other African nations about general look for a man who likes to be seen as the modern leader of a confident Africa, and who may have clocked that it may be reversing his considerable investments in nation-branding (sponsoring PL footy teams) etc. Watch this space. Here’s my iPhone video…
2. Remember, there are two sides to this deal:

I got a note from a very connected commentator after my doorstep: “It's a really bad look for him. He knows that the whole point of this policy is to make the UK govt look tough on migrants, on the grounds that Rwanda is presumptively a terrible place to be sent to. It puts the Rwanda country brand back like 20 years. … the only thing people associate with the country is "the worst place the Brits can think to send people"….
Context here - some real buzz about Africa jumping value chains, not just producing minerals but the finished products the world needs and doing so within a massive new free trade area…Image
3. Heard an interesting theory from business leader Brits out here… the autumn election promise is a feint, and earlier (May?) will happen as a result of the “shock” of the ECHR (possibly?) quashing the Rwanda policy and fought on that basis, with an attempt to reenergise Brexit vibes… if that’s even half true… then worth noting that Ireland has just formally lodged its ECHR case against the UK on Troubles Legacy Act… oh… and coming up imminently on @BBCNews is my interview with the Taoiseach covering this topic…Image
Read 8 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(