Biotech2k Profile picture
May 28 8 tweets 2 min read
#Fintech upadate:

I went through $SQ, $COIN, $HOOD, $PYPL, $AFRM and $SOFI. I looked at what each company offers as services. I listened to the Q1 calls to see if the management seems to be competent.
My rankings after stage 1 was

1. $SQ
2. $PYPL
3. $COIN
4. $AFRM
5. $SOFI
6. $HOOD
Then I went through the valuation, future potential and risks. I crossed off $PYPL on lack of future growth potential. They are already at $30 billion sales only growing about 13% a year.
I crossed off $COIN based on the risk of having too much crypto since I already have a crypto portfolio of my own. I really liked the management, but I wanted more diversification.
I really liked the $ARFM story and management. They are a bit more expensive then the rest, but they also have more growth than the rest. I moved them up to number 2 after cut $PYPL and $COIN.
I think $SOFI and $HOOD was a bit more difficult. I opted to go with $SOFI as they have only about 5 million accounts when big banks can have upward of 60 million. There is a lot of room for expansion.
I crossed off $HOOD even though it was really cheap. They have a shrinking business right now as all those pandemic traders abandon the market. They may never come back. Their management didn't give me the confidence they would handle the "shrink to grow" strategy.
My 3 picks here are $SQ, $AFRM and $SOFI. I still have to go over the 10Q's to ensure there is no big scary problems hiding in there.

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More from @Biotech2k1

May 29
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This part covers Allogeneic CAR-T.
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May 28
1/ My notes on #Fintech. My biggest concern with Fintech is so many of these companies are now highly linked to crypto. I have my own crypto portfolio and the biggest fear here is crypto turns out to be a fad and goes away.
2/ This means companies like $COIN who is 100% about crypto are highly levered to this risk. That is not my base case, but it is a risk I must diversify away from. I went through $COIN, $SQ and $HOOD.
3/ I will make $SQ my top pick in this space. It does have some risk with its big #Bitcoin segment, but its all about the electronic payments and cash app for me. I love those business and there seems to be little competition in the small business payments space.
Read 8 tweets
May 27
Building my Strategy Portfolio:

I funded it today and it will be just like I am starting out from scratch. I got $350 in it and plan to contribute about $200 to $250 each month. I went through much of my portfolio design which I will share so it might be educational.
1/ This portfolio will not be a buy and hold portfolio. It will shift and rotate based on where I think the Macro economy sits and where the best deals are in the market. That is the first thing I want to establish.
2/ I set a few rules so I buy 1 share at a time since there are zero fees. I plan to not pay up for stocks, but not sure if that will work once the bear market ends so its a guide not rule at the moment.
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May 24
I set up 2 trades today. I setup that Strategy account a few weeks ago with just $50 in it. I didn't want to contribute till the end of May. Then I used it to trade $MGTA and made a few bucks off of it. Now I am setting up a bid for $VERV. I know its only a few shares.
I figured a few shares is better than nothing and I could always buy more at the end of the month when I contribute to that Strategy account. I was very skeptical of the company because of the competition in Cholesterol space.
Now, I am betting on it down here on the management team. I have been impressed with them, and I am always willing to bet on good management. It doesn't hurt that its so cheap.
Read 6 tweets

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