#Ukraine: Recently, video has appeared purporting to show FGM-148 Javelin from Ukraine on sale in Idlib, Syria. This is blatant disinfo.
Instead, we see SMAW-D & APILAS launchers. Both of these have been documented as captured by the Assad regime- there is 0 proof of UA origin.
The man also mentions "mines" (Actually ammo boxes) & rifles that are also claimed to be from Ukraine. The rifles are FN FAL & apparent M16A2. Again, easily sourced locally in Syria- but never seen in UA. It is worth a note that the APILAS has so far never been seen in UA either.
Of course, smuggling from UA to MENA is possible and has occurred in the past. However, this is an example of an obvious fake by the Russia and Syrian regime, where most of the weapons shown were not even donated to UA. The original source is highly suspicious- see screenshots.
In the interests of clarity, we will add that there has been a single sighting of APILAS in Ukraine prior to the recent hostilities- Nov 2021 to be precise. As far as we are aware, a negligible quantities of launchers were left after NATO exercises.
#Ukraine: We obtained a image of a mysterious VTOL UAV, said to be used by the Ukrainian army. Whilst the precise ID is a mystery, it has features that are very similar to the extremely rare PHOLOS loitering munition developed by Overwatch Aerospace 🇬🇧 & Ascent Aerosystems 🇺🇸.
Whilst the unit seen is not identical to previous display models of the PHOLOS VTOL UAS- it does have multiple payload options. It is also known that it is capable to loiter for 45 minutes and features an onboard electro-optical infra-red camera.
We note that the UK has already committed to providing loitering munitions to the Ukrainian side back in April, and there has been several instances of Ukrainian strikes that are hard to attribute to a specific system. gov.uk/government/new…
#Ukraine: UA forces reportedly hit RU-controlled Novovoskresenske, Kherson Oblast with 2 9M27K3 cluster MLRS rockets- each containing 312 infamous PFM-1S land mines. Whilst being very small they leave horrible injuries, though this time they should at least self-destruct in time.
As we see, there is a bit of misunderstanding- we didn't state they were used against civilians- just landed there. We know that both sides possess such mines and we are thoroughly monitoring their use. So far the only reports with images are coming from the Russian side.
In this case we are using data from the Russian side- and the same approach would be applied to Ukrainian reports in similar cases on the opposite side of the conflict. The use of such munitions, especially close to populated areas, can be a serious issue for civilian safety.
#Ukraine: Apparently, we were right in asserting that Ukraine is receiving Iranian weapons seized from the Houthis by the United States - here we see a pristine Iranian mortar in the hands of the Ukrainian army.
The mortar itself is very interesting - it very closely resembles an Iranian HM-15 81mm mortar but as the source claims uses 82mm mortar bombs. The name of this particular variant is also stated - HM-19.
We have not encountered such a designation anywhere before, but we believe these mortars are produced specially for Houthis in Yemen, where 82mm mortar bombs of Warsaw Pact are pretty common.
#Ukraine: Today Russian sources claimed the shootdown of one more Ukrainian Bayraktar TB2 drone in #Kherson Oblast.
We believe it was staged using old wreckage.
The nature of the damage is absolutely identical to another drone which was previously shot down, presumably at the end of March in #Kherson Oblast also- the first photo from the crash site was published on April 2nd.
This is also the case with a MAM-L munition which was "found near the shot down drone"- exactly the same unit was already shown on March 29th with completely identical scratches.
#Russia: There are reports that "a mine" was found planted on a railway line in one of the villages of rural Bryansk Oblast.
We managed to identify the pictured "mine" - this is in fact a Soviet SZ-6 demolition charge. And most interestingly - it is inert (bottom line says ИНЕРТН); so not dangerous at all. The real one, however, consists of 5.9 kg of TNT.
Apparently, this is either a warning by the Ukrainian saboteurs, or someone's cruel joke.
#Russia: Early today, 2 oil storage depots (Civil & Military) were hit by explosions & subsequent large fires in #Bryansk. Some fires continue 12+ hours later.
Whilst officially unconfirmed, info we have reliably received states that they were caused by UA TB-2 drone strikes.
According to this account, both sites (One of which is related to a local Russian Military base, another is civilian but larger) were struck successfully by munitions fired by the TB-2. This is, of course, quite a notable blow ~100km deep into Russia.
Whilst all of this remains unconfirmed from any side (TB-2 usage has been under quite an embargo recently) it is bolstered by the fact that Ru sources show a TB-2 downed over #Kursk Oblast this AM.
Our UA sources claim it was taken down after the strike, on the way back to base.