Doug Lewin Profile picture
May 31, 2022 29 tweets 24 min read Read on X
@Tesla & @ERCOT_ISO are holding a workshop on changes proposed by Tesla to enable more local power sources to contribute to grid reliability & lower costs. @ArushiSF is kicking off the workshop w/ an overview of virtual power plants
#energytwitter #txlege
ercot.com/calendar/event…
Virtual power plants (or VPPs) are aggregations of distributed energy resources, or small energy sources close to or at homes and businesses. Take enough small storage or solar or reductions in demand and add them up and you can reach levels that add up to large power plants.
@ArushiSF says DERs are available today but are "unrealized dispatchable assets to ERCOT." @Tesla believes minor changes to existing practice could "immediately unlock grid reliability services from small DERs that can be dispatched as an 'aggregation'" #txlege #txenergy
She points to this article in @pvmagazine
pv-magazine-usa.com/2022/05/26/tes…
Tesla says they approached 200 customers and 64 signed up to participate in an aggregation. Saw "solid performance"
(Btw, @googlenest told the @PUCTX there are 1,000,000 smart themostats in Texas. <10% are in any kind of #demandresponse program. Potential is huge.)
#energytwitter Image
@Tesla shows that distributed systems can respond in minutes or even seconds (faster than most gas or coal power plants).
#energytwitter #txlege #txenergy Image
These aggregated resources (batteries in this case) could also provide primary frequence response. The response is "immediate and automatic" to stabilize the grid.

Hopefully @ERCOT_ISO and @PUCTX will embrace this. Could help significantly w/ reliability.
#txlege Image
Distributed batteries can provide other services beyond PFR including Reg-Up and Reg-Down and other ancillary services. cc: @xiaowang1984
#energytwitter #txenergy Image
Next speaker is Paul Wattles, ex-ERCOT staff, now consulting for Tesla. Paul is as smart as they come, especially on these issues. Was deeply involved in many previous efforts like Loads in SCED & Multi Interval Real Time Market.

Starts with this quote from Cmsr Glotfelty. Image
Wattles said this Other Binding Document Revision Request (OBDRR) started back in 2013 (!) but they didn't know then what distributed batteries could do.

The intent is to clarify how devices can participate and how they can be compensated for the value they bring to the grid. Image
These are the key elements of OBDRR041 which can be found here:
ercot.com/mktrules/issue…
#energytwitter Image
Wattles refers to a change coming at ERCOT where some loads (e.g. Bitcoin) will be settled nodally instead of zonally (to be discussed at Wholesale Markets Subcmte tmrw). This OBDRR wouldn't change that for these smaller loads & resources which would still be settled zonally.
@Tesla's @ArushiSF cites changes made by @californiapuc to pay customers for the value of their batteries. She also says Texas is behind many other markets and states with no long term plan to integrated local energy sources.
#energytwitter #txlege Image
A couple more slides about longer term solutions from @Tesla ImageImage
@James_McGinniss of @TheDavidEnergy is up next. This slide tells a very important story. The grid is changing rapidly, so rapidly it has our heads spinning. This is coming with each additional electric car and truck, solar panel, smart thermostat, etc.
#energytwitter #txlege Image
Shows a slide he think this is a conservative estimate of a 4x increase in connected devices in the next 3-4 years and 10x increase in 8 years, from 100m devices to 1 billion by 2030.
#txenergy Image
@TheDavidEnergy is a retail electric provider that moves loads to reduce costs and increase reliability. It's "more dependable" to aggregate these resources. Notes that the discussion has been about batteries but other resources can participate
#energytwitter ImageImage
@James_McGinniss says most #demandresponse has been focued on large businesses but there are large opportunities for residential and small businesses, too. Here are some of the brands like @Generac @googlenest @Ford etc. they are working with Image
McGinnis of @TheDavidEnergy points out the amount of non-spin reserve (NSRS) now being procured, and how his company uses these demand side aggregated resources as a physical hedge.
#energytwitter ImageImage
I'm now fully through the looking glass as I'm tweeting an image of my own tweet but it's in @James_McGinniss presentation! Thanks for the shout out.

And yes, large reserve margins don't mean a whole lot and virtual power plants can help w/reliability.
#txlege #txenergy Image
McGinnis says there are about 7GW of distributed resources (in perspective, Texas four nuke units are ~5GW) that are unused today.

#energytwitter Image
The existing programs barely provide any payment for the value these resources could deliver if used. Image
And lastly @James_McGinniss points to this project to put solar and storage at multifamily sites but without payment for the value brought to the grid, these projects likely won't scale.
#energytwitter
canarymedia.com/articles/solar… Image
Next presentation is from Jamie Charles of @Sunnova_Solar. Rhey have 207k custoemrs and in Q4 2021, 19% of solar installations had batteries. This slide shows how they integrate various energy resources in the home.
#energytwitter Image
Like @Tesla and @TheDavidEnergy and many other companies, @Sunnova_Solar is aggregating customer resources and selling them into grids around the country. This one company has 150MW bid and awarded into markets. ImageImage
@Sunnova_Solar cited the need for streamlined interconnection of distributed energy resources, something the @PUCTX has cited as a priority. This question is one of the questions the PUC asked in the DER docket. Comments due June 15. interchange.puc.texas.gov/Documents/5160…
#txlege #txenergy
The last presentation is from @Shell's Greg Thurner, another person who has been in these DER discussions at @ERCOT_ISO for a decade or more. He says data centers (and bitcoin miners) can provide lots of services but aggregations of smaller resources cannot.
#energytwitter Image
Thurner of @Shell lays out "the ask" & pays homage to the DREAM task force which he chaired years ago. (I wrote about it for @REWorld).

He says we should consier "system wide aggregations for ancillary services" to increase reliability and competition.

renewableenergyworld.com/solar/texas-gr… Image
Thurner challenges market participants to "raise the bar" and quotes @PUCTX Chairman Lake saying he "can't think of anything more important" for the development of #demandresponse than to "put a value on it.' Hear, hear. #txlege #energytwitter Image

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More from @douglewinenergy

Jul 29
The Senate Committee on hurricane preparedness & recovery is about to begin. Here's what I'm looking for today:
-is this a show trial or will they deal with deeper policy issues?
- will the cmte ask tough questions about the $800m (im)mobile generators? (cont.)
#txlege 1/🧵
-will any Senators join Mattress Mack's call for CenterPoint CEO Jason Wells to resign?
-will the Senators acknowledge their own role in the failures leading up to Hurricane Beryl (CenterPoint is a fully regulated monopoly utility, #txlege has lots of control)
#energytwitter 2/
- will Senators ask @PUCTX Chair Thomas Gleeson why the PUC hasn't moved a single dollar of the $900 million #txlege appropriated for microgrids?
- will anyone call for CenterPoint to refund the $50 million in profits they made from the (im)mobile generators? 3/
Read 110 tweets
Jul 17
"None of those generators have been put in service since CenterPoint first began renting them in 2021." There is a public comment period open now on these unusable $800 million generators. A public hearing will be held if requested by Thursday. #txlege 1/
houstonchronicle.com/news/investiga…
From the article: @CenterPoint told the Chronicle this week that they are “not for rapid response use” and “are not designed to be ‘mobile’,” even though it has repeatedly described them as “mobile” in news releases, regulatory filings and memos to investors. 2/
The docket in which Commission staff has published a proposal and seeks comment is below.

So much good could have been with that $800 million if it had been invested in actual resilience. This is wasteful spending not in the public interest.
#txenergy 3/
interchange.puc.texas.gov/Documents/5340…

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Read 12 tweets
May 7
ERCOT had a slide in which they claimed this was the reason for hot temperatures last summer. They did not cite climate change.
And here's the slide. "Why was 2023 so hot?" ERCOT is sometimes a parody of itself.
Read 4 tweets
Apr 29
Battery storage just passed 2,000 megawatts deployed for only the 2nd time in ERCOT, reaching a record of 4% of total load served. Prices briefly spiked near the max. No emergency declared despite 30,000 megawatts of gas & coal outages, most of which was unplanned. #txlege

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Peak load was only 51,000, nowhere near the April record of 62,000. Reserves briefly dipped below 4,000 nowhere, not particularly close to emergency conditions. To have an emergency, you generally need high demand, high thermal outages, and low wind & solar. Tonight had 2 of 3. Image
Interestingly, ERCOT posted a notice on Friday of possible tight conditions from Monday 8pm to Wednesday 9pm; the notice did not include tonight. It appears tonight was a bigger risk than the next three days though... Image
Read 6 tweets
Jan 15
Texans have set an all-time Jan. record w/ 70.9 gigawatts today; tomorrow will likely set the all-time winter record (74GW), except for Uri. ERCOT/PUC called for conservation tomorrow. Key times will be 7-9am Monday and Tuesday. (Note these forecasts bounce around a lot.) 1/🧵 Image
Four major factors contribute to the likelihood of rolling outages: demand, gas supply, gas & coal plant outages, & renewable output. So far, gas supply is down ~9%. It was down ~20% in Uri & about 18% in Elliott (Dec. ‘22) nationally (drops are usually larger in the Permian). 2/
Importantly, gas supply interuptions render gas power plants inoperable. This was one of the biggest problems during Uri & was again during Elliott when 127 gigawatts (!) of thermal generation was offline. This @EENewsUpdates piece is a must read. 3/ eenews.net/articles/flood…
Read 9 tweets
Nov 17, 2023
ERCOT asked for 3,000 megawatts ahead of winter and got bids for 11. Their RFP was ill-conceived & poorly designed. ERCOT & the PUCT have received 100s of comments detailing how to get demand reductions at peak times. It is doable. A quick🧵w/ more here: douglewin.com/p/ercot-calcul…
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ERCOT’s RFP asked for 6-hour duration demand response in the winter. Would you sign up to have your heat turned off for 6 hours in a winter storm? Yeah, me neither. If they want 6-hour demand reductions, they need energy efficiency. #txlege #txenergy 2/
douglewin.com/p/2022-cold-sn…
After the February winter storm caused outages during session, #txlege passed a bill to increase the energy efficiency goal...

...in 2011. (SB 1125)

Nothing in 2021 or 2023. (The Senate passed a bill to increase goals significantly in SB 258; the House did not advance it.) 3/
Read 10 tweets

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