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Trita Parsi Profile picture
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Jun 3 • 3 tweets • 1 min read
If oil prices are really the driving Biden's cave to MBS, then Biden should have just gone back into the #IranDeal by executive order, instead of — for all practical purposes — continuing Trump’s maximum pressure strategy.
>>

responsiblestatecraft.org/2022/06/03/bid…
The combination of Iranian oil coming back onto the market as well as the immediate influx of more than 50 million barrels of oil that Tehran has in storage but hasn’t been able to sell because of U.S. sanctions, would better push down oil prices. >>
All Biden needed to do is to go back to the deal his former boss Barack Obama already negotiated - instead of continuing Trump's maximum pressure strategy and shooting for a "longer and stronger" deal... //

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More from @tparsi

Trita Parsi Profile picture
Jun 2
🧵 Some thoughts on Biden's trip to Saudi and meeting with MBS

It is sadly akin to slapping a bargain bandaid on the gaping wound that the US-Saudi relationship has become. >>

nytimes.com/2022/06/02/us/…
2. Clearly, a healthy relationship with Saudi is important, but it isn’t possible UNLESS the US confronts the deep dysfunction at its core – the blind eye the US turns to Saudi’s support for terrorism, spread of Wahhabism, and its other destabilizing activities in the region. >>
3. Biden’s decision to meet with MBS without first having secured an end to Saudi’s many destabilizing activities in the region significantly weakens the United States’ hand. >>
Read 6 tweets
Trita Parsi Profile picture
May 22
🧵 My thread on the potential meaning of the assassination of an IRGC officer in Iran, similar to how Israel has killed Iranian scientists.

We don't know who did it yet. But if press speculation is true and Israel did it, what are its motives & goals? >>
washingtonpost.com/world/iran-rev…
2. First, few countries have the motivation and capacity to conduct assassinations in Iran. Israel does and has assassinated numerous Iranian scientists in the past. This is why suspicions point to Israel.

>>
3. The last high-profile assassination Israel conducted in Iran was that of Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, the head of Iran's atomic energy program. Israel killed him using a remote AI robot that was smuggled into Iran in pieces and assembled there. >>

Read 14 tweets
Trita Parsi Profile picture
May 21
Strong @nytimes editorial that calls for far greater realism in the US's approach to Ukraine:

'But as the war continues, Biden should also make clear to Zelensky that there is a limit to how far the US & NATO will go to confront Russia...' >>

nytimes.com/2022/05/19/opi…
"...and limits to the arms, money and political support they can muster. It is imperative that the Ukrainian government’s decisions be based on a realistic assessment of its means and how much more destruction Ukraine can sustain." >>
"Confronting this reality may be painful, but it is not appeasement. This is what governments are duty bound to do, not chase after an illusory “win.” Russia will be feeling the pain of isolation and debilitating economic sanctions for years to come..." >>
Read 4 tweets
Trita Parsi Profile picture
Mar 25
🧵Bewildering that both Iran and the US are - after having resolved 99% of the issues - willing to risk the entire deal over the IRGC's terror listing. Which ultimately is a symbolic issue whose value to either side is negligible compared to the deal itself. >>
2. On the US side, Biden appears singularly focused on the political cost of reaching a deal while neglecting the massively greater political cost he'll incur if there is no deal and Iran turns into a hot crisis alongside Ukraine. >>
3. From the outset, the two sides have suffered from the erroneous perception that striking a deal carries a greater political cost than failing to do so. >>
Read 7 tweets
Trita Parsi Profile picture
Mar 11
Quick 🧵 on Russia's sabotage of the #IranTalks in Vienna.

Though the JCPOA has not been killed by the Russian demands, Moscow does have the ability to harm the US by delaying the agreement at a crucial point of US vulnerability to high oil prices. >>
2. Russia can possibly also pull the plug on the agreement as a whole by triggering snap-back sanctions in the UN Security Council or preventing the Joint Commission to adopt the decision to bring the US back into the deal. >>
3. In retrospect, the parties were clearly mistaken in thinking that Russia would continue to compartmentalize the JCPOA talks from its tensions with the West. It remains unclear however if the Russian objective is to delay the deal or to scuttle the deal.
>>
Read 6 tweets
Trita Parsi Profile picture
Mar 9
🧵
The audacity of Saudi and UAE to publicly HUMILIATE America this way is stunning!

If you ever wanted evidence that the US's relationship with Saudi & UAE is designed to serve THEM and not the US, this is it.
#UkraineRussianWar
>>
wsj.com/articles/saudi…
2. After all the (erroneous) support the US has given Saudi as it bombs Yemen to pieces, KSA & UAE still refuse to stand with the US on Russia.

They do so because they CAN. Because there's never been a cost for them to undermine the US. >>
3. It is important to understand that this is NOT their fault.

This is OUR fault.

We allowed this relationship to become this one-sided.

And instead of being tough on Saudi, as Biden promised he would, he has shifted towards appeasement in the last few months. >>
Read 5 tweets

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