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ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ 🦠🤧🧬🥼🦟 Profile picture
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Jun 8 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
#Flu in #Queensland to 05May2022
😷Quite the incline.
WIll have to 👀 if that is a real peak
😷As those who have followed me for a while will know, the current data point often changes in the subsequent week as outstanding results are finalised and reported.
But a very clear sign of #flu impact here in the hospitalisation numbers.
😷And while there is no context, compare a low flu area to a high flu area to see that the number of #flu infections per 100,000 population is well above "normal" (which would normally be very low)
These graphs are lifted from the latest #Queensland Government #Flu surveillance report found here health.qld.gov.au/clinical-pract…
06JUN2022 - apologies

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More from @MackayIM

ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ 🦠🤧🧬🥼🦟 Profile picture
Jun 5
#SARSCoV2 positives go slowly down, as #flu positives go rapidly up in New Southe Wales, Australia.
No denominator here so no percentage positivity.
That comes from these graphs.
For #SARSCoV2 that rate is ~100/100,000 population for all age groups and very slowly decreasing while for #flu, it varies by age, up to ~40/100,00 for those aged 0-9 years, and rising
In terms of emergency department presentations, #flu is also still rising while #COVID19 presentations are slowly decreasing (but as for rates and cases, still above #flu levels so far).
Read 8 tweets
ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ 🦠🤧🧬🥼🦟 Profile picture
May 31
The world's best vaccines have given the impression that the perfect shot offers complete protection from infection. But what if that never was possible in the first place? @KatherineJWu investigates:
-From Sept 2021, but more need to read this
theatlantic.com/science/archiv…
Amen.
Measles. The one always held up as an example.
Read 4 tweets
ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ 🦠🤧🧬🥼🦟 Profile picture
May 29
Post-market review of antigen and rapid antigen tests
-18MAR2022
tga.gov.au/post-market-re…
"we find suboptimal test performance characteristics across a range of commercially available manufacturers, below WHO and MHRA pre-set sensitivity performance thresholds"
nature.com/articles/s4159…
Read 5 tweets
ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ 🦠🤧🧬🥼🦟 Profile picture
May 27
😷Australia National #Flu graph just out, up to 22MAY22.
🦠Early
🦠Steep
🦠Lots
🦠All over Image
To clarify again this fortnight.
Yes, there is undoubtedly more testing capacity in Aus after labs beefed up for the pandemic.
So how do we know this rise is real, & not just boffins getting bored with testing for SC2 & switching to flu virus testing? (LOL)
One approach to check this is a real rise in flu cases, not just over-testing is look at deaths, hospital beds, ICU beds with flu-confirmed patients.
🛏️there have been 3 lab-confirmed influenza deaths (+3 since last fortnight)
🛏️386 hospital admissions (+233)
🥽28 in ICU (+21)
Read 7 tweets
ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ 🦠🤧🧬🥼🦟 Profile picture
May 26
😷Latest excellent weekly report on respiratory virus detections from the Australian State of NSW from @NSWHealth, up to last Saturday (21st).
🤒Look at this for the *trends* not as a perfect capture of every case.
health.nsw.gov.au/Infectious/cov…
😷Of course, SARS-CoV-2 is a respiratory virus so I'm including it here.
🤒Its numbers dwarf all other viruses in this report sitting relatively stably, at 10,000 reported per day, with a steady majority being RATs, the rest PCRs. 86 deaths were reported. Image
😷#Flu lab detections have risen impressively fast. Of those typed, most are Flu A/H3N2 (red) viruses with some A/H1N1 (orange) viruses.
🤒No obvious visible sign of B/Yamagata or B/Victoria lineage viruses or their variants. Image
Read 8 tweets
ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ 🦠🤧🧬🥼🦟 Profile picture
May 24
Signs flu was stirring were evident back in October. Yet no planning, warning, mask education or preparation. So frikkin frustrating and tiring and boring and unimaginative and stupid.
I can't speak enough to the importance of imagination in horizon scanning.
Some of the poorly captured lives lost to flu in the coming weeks and months could have been saved.
We can do one thing at a time. Often poorly. Here we are knee deep in a flu season that will be over our heads this year, and the headlines exemplify surprise. Retelling the same old stories. Nothing new. Nothing about how to exert some control over our risks (masks).
Read 6 tweets

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