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ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ 🦠🤧🧬🥼🦟 Profile picture
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Jun 17 • 9 tweets • 5 min read
#Flu in #Queensland to 12JUN2022
😷three weeks showing a slowing.
🤧The current data point often changes in the subsequent week as outstanding results are finalised and reported-but this looks to be a trend.
😷The biggest per population infection impact is in the under 20-year-olds.
😷A new graph (👏). Percent positive with a moving average. This also shows a decline.
🤧Northern Queensland #flu numbers are slowing down.
😷A heat map with this week's #flu test-positive rates per 100,000 population
Estimated population numbers for those wondering.
From:statistics.qgso.qld.gov.au/qld-thematic-m…
😷A new table (👏) of hospitalisation numbers from #flu, broken up by region of Qld but also with some historical context.
Ian's take-home messages...
📢Get #flu vaccine if you haven't already
📢Flu seasons pass - wearing a P2/N95 mask indoors increases your chances of missing this one
📢Stay home if sick (=new: cough, sneezing, headache, fever, fatigue)
📢Stay away from the elderly if sick
These graphs & tables (except where noted) were lifted from the latest #Queensland Government #Flu surveillance report found here health.qld.gov.au/clinical-pract…
health.qld.gov.au/clinical-pract…

h/t @JimBusiness4

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More from @MackayIM

ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ 🦠🤧🧬🥼🦟 Profile picture
Jun 17
#Flu and #SARSCoV2 in New South Wales (NSW), Australia to week ending 11JUN2022.
😷 #SARSCoV2 positives go slowly down, as #flu positives still go up.
No denominator here so no percentage positivity.
😷That comes from these graphs.
For #SARSCoV2 that rate is ~100/100,000 population for all age groups and steady while for #flu, it varies by age, up to ~80/100,00 for those aged 0-9 years, and rising
In terms of emergency department presentations, #flu is also still rising (watch that hook next week) while #COVID19 presentations are slowly decreasing (at about #flu levels now).
Read 9 tweets
ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ 🦠🤧🧬🥼🦟 Profile picture
Jun 11
😷Australian National #Flu data up to 05JUN22.
🦠lab-confirmed total cases
www1.health.gov.au/internet/main/…
😷To clarify again this fortnight.
Yes, there is undoubtedly more testing capacity in Aus after labs beefed up PCR testing for the pandemic.
😷One way to check this is a real rise in #flu cases, not just over-testing is to look at deaths, hospital beds, ICU beds with flu-confirmed patients.
🛏️year to date (YTD from April 2022), 27 lab-confirmed influenza deaths (+24 since last fortnight)
Read 10 tweets
ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ 🦠🤧🧬🥼🦟 Profile picture
Jun 8
#Flu in #Queensland to 05May2022
😷Quite the incline.
WIll have to 👀 if that is a real peak
😷As those who have followed me for a while will know, the current data point often changes in the subsequent week as outstanding results are finalised and reported.
But a very clear sign of #flu impact here in the hospitalisation numbers.
😷And while there is no context, compare a low flu area to a high flu area to see that the number of #flu infections per 100,000 population is well above "normal" (which would normally be very low)
Read 5 tweets
ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ 🦠🤧🧬🥼🦟 Profile picture
Jun 5
#SARSCoV2 positives go slowly down, as #flu positives go rapidly up in New Southe Wales, Australia.
No denominator here so no percentage positivity.
That comes from these graphs.
For #SARSCoV2 that rate is ~100/100,000 population for all age groups and very slowly decreasing while for #flu, it varies by age, up to ~40/100,00 for those aged 0-9 years, and rising
In terms of emergency department presentations, #flu is also still rising while #COVID19 presentations are slowly decreasing (but as for rates and cases, still above #flu levels so far).
Read 8 tweets
ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ 🦠🤧🧬🥼🦟 Profile picture
May 31
The world's best vaccines have given the impression that the perfect shot offers complete protection from infection. But what if that never was possible in the first place? @KatherineJWu investigates:
-From Sept 2021, but more need to read this
theatlantic.com/science/archiv…
Amen.
Measles. The one always held up as an example.
Read 4 tweets
ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ 🦠🤧🧬🥼🦟 Profile picture
May 29
Post-market review of antigen and rapid antigen tests
-18MAR2022
tga.gov.au/post-market-re…
"we find suboptimal test performance characteristics across a range of commercially available manufacturers, below WHO and MHRA pre-set sensitivity performance thresholds"
nature.com/articles/s4159…
Read 5 tweets

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