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ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ 🦠🤧🧬🥼🦟 Profile picture
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Jun 22 • 7 tweets • 4 min read
And in news just in...#Flu says "haha, just kidding, still going", to Queensland.
#Flu in #Queensland to 19JUN2022
😷current data point(s) often changes in the subsequent week as outstanding results are finalised and reported
😷The biggest per population infection impact is in the under 20-year-olds.
😷Percent positive with a moving average. This also shows the rebound in the 20+ group.
😷Hospital admission numbers because of #flu, broken up by region of Qld but also with some historical context.
🤒Lots of sites above the 5 year-to-date mean figures
😷subtyping numbers are low. But the trends continue to point to A/H3N2 dominance. Little A/H1n1 or B.
😷Ian's take-home messages...
📢Get #flu vaccine if you haven't already
📢Flu seasons pass - wearing a P2/N95 mask indoors increases your chances of missing this one
📢Stay home if sick (=new: cough, sneezing, headache, fever, fatigue)
📢Stay away from the elderly if sick
😷These graphs & tables were screen-captured from the latest #Queensland Government #Flu surveillance report found here. Great work.
health.qld.gov.au/clinical-pract…

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More from @MackayIM

ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ 🦠🤧🧬🥼🦟 Profile picture
Jun 22
A thread I'll add to with reviews and studies I think convey the effectiveness of masks and masking, thanks to the hard work of others. Image
"Face masks and coverings cannot be seen in isolation but are part of ‘policy packages’"
"Consistent and effective public messaging is vital to public adherence of wearing face masks and coverings. Conflicting policy advice generates confusion"
ox.ac.uk/news/2020-07-0…
Read 5 tweets
ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ 🦠🤧🧬🥼🦟 Profile picture
Jun 20
In this video interview with Kary Mullis he (actually) says "with PCR you can find almost anything in anybody". Correct - 𝗮𝗹𝗺𝗼𝘀𝘁 but only 𝙞𝙛 the thing is there. PCR cannot find something not there. It also can't find it if present in v. low amounts
He also says..."I don't think you can misuse PCR". "It's [PCR] a really quantitative thing. It tells you something about nature and about what's there".
"That's not a misuse it's sort of a misinterpretation".
Full version of that video is here: archive.org/details/corpor… & archive.org/details/corpor…
It's enlightening for several reasons.
In taking apart his own Intro by Esai Morales (for being wrong), Mullis makes rambling note, "this is the way the news is" (while chewing on tree leaves).
Read 11 tweets
ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ 🦠🤧🧬🥼🦟 Profile picture
Jun 17
#Flu and #SARSCoV2 in New South Wales (NSW), Australia to week ending 11JUN2022.
😷 #SARSCoV2 positives go slowly down, as #flu positives still go up.
No denominator here so no percentage positivity.
😷That comes from these graphs.
For #SARSCoV2 that rate is ~100/100,000 population for all age groups and steady while for #flu, it varies by age, up to ~80/100,00 for those aged 0-9 years, and rising
In terms of emergency department presentations, #flu is also still rising (watch that hook next week) while #COVID19 presentations are slowly decreasing (at about #flu levels now).
Read 9 tweets
ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ 🦠🤧🧬🥼🦟 Profile picture
Jun 17
#Flu in #Queensland to 12JUN2022
😷three weeks showing a slowing.
🤧The current data point often changes in the subsequent week as outstanding results are finalised and reported-but this looks to be a trend.
😷The biggest per population infection impact is in the under 20-year-olds.
😷A new graph (👏). Percent positive with a moving average. This also shows a decline.
🤧Northern Queensland #flu numbers are slowing down.
Read 9 tweets
ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ 🦠🤧🧬🥼🦟 Profile picture
Jun 11
😷Australian National #Flu data up to 05JUN22.
🦠lab-confirmed total cases
www1.health.gov.au/internet/main/…
😷To clarify again this fortnight.
Yes, there is undoubtedly more testing capacity in Aus after labs beefed up PCR testing for the pandemic.
😷One way to check this is a real rise in #flu cases, not just over-testing is to look at deaths, hospital beds, ICU beds with flu-confirmed patients.
🛏️year to date (YTD from April 2022), 27 lab-confirmed influenza deaths (+24 since last fortnight)
Read 10 tweets
ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ 🦠🤧🧬🥼🦟 Profile picture
Jun 8
#Flu in #Queensland to 05May2022
😷Quite the incline.
WIll have to 👀 if that is a real peak
😷As those who have followed me for a while will know, the current data point often changes in the subsequent week as outstanding results are finalised and reported.
But a very clear sign of #flu impact here in the hospitalisation numbers.
😷And while there is no context, compare a low flu area to a high flu area to see that the number of #flu infections per 100,000 population is well above "normal" (which would normally be very low)
Read 5 tweets

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