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No major movements on the map since my last update.
The only notable news is the reported entrance of Rus forces in Vovcherovka, 7 - 8 km south of #Lisichansk
The photos are reportedly from there but it's not known currently whether it's cleared completely
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Another interesting detail is that 2 small settlements Sinetski & Pavlograd (just across the river from #Lisichansk) are in the gray zone on the map.
The Rus probably haven't entered them likely due to being exposed to Ukr fire from the other bank
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Pic of a damaged railway bridge in #Cherkassy which was one of the targets during the last flurry of missile strikes
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Ukr missile attack reported on one of the gas drilling platforms called "tavrida" in the Black Sea. Apparently, the missile hit the helicopter landing pad
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Looks like one of the ex-Afghan Mi-17 helicopters in Ukr colours
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Destroyed Ukr tank at Borivskoe near Sverodonetsk
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Ukr soldiers clearing rubble from a bombed warehouse in #Lisichansk
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State Duma amendment to law re contract military service.
In short:
Secondary school graduates can sign a contract immediately
Contract soldiers can be sent to an armed conflict only after a minimum service of 4 months
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Ukr Mi-24...can't say for sure but it could be a newly delivered one. Originally Czech
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NY Times on the recent missile strikes
Zakharova called the statement of British PM Boris Johnson that any attempts to resolve the conflict in Ukr will only lead to increased instability in the world..monstrous!
The UK authorities are trying to distract attention from the internal political collapse with a Rus bogey
French TV interview of foreign legionary
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Ria Novosti crew in #Vovcherovka (important town south of #Lisichansk) which confirms it's under Russian control
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The Ukr struck at ammo depot at Zimogorie in Lugansk region..about 50km from the frontlines. Initial reports say with a Tochka-U. Others think the new Himars were used
I had a pretty busy & chaotic day yesterday so didn't get a chance to sign off properly
But lets continue...π
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Lots of reports on fighting going on around the #Lisichansk Refinery. There are clashes on the E, S and W side of it
IMO, Ukr in the refinery will need to neutralised before an advance to Lisichansk from the W side can commence in earnest. It also threatens the Seversk road
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Satellite pic of the area around the refinery showing fires from the fighting
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There is also heavy fighting going on in the Bakhmut area. Rus forces are pushing in the area between Klinovo and Vershina
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The #LPR authorities are optimistic & believe they will be able to capture #Lisichansk within a week.
The other frontlines appear to be stable with only local fights & artillery duels reported
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Map with *approximate* concentration of Rus BTG's (Btn Tactical Groups) on the frontlines. Acc to Rus doctrine:
1 x BTG per 1 - 5km = offensive posture
1 x BTG per 5 - 15km = defensive posture
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Regarding the Kremenchug Shopping Mall incident.
IMO going by footage & pics, it wasn't bombed directly but caught fire from the explosions at the factory which is just behind it
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Rus. Mi-8s picking up wounded soldiers escorted by a Mi-28N
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Video feed from missiles fired on the Artem plant in Kiev
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Ukr survivors of a artillery barrage near #Lisichansk
from WAPO
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3 km from the Lisichansk refinery, Rus units destroyed 2 DRGs of mercenaries (14 men) - 1st made up of citizens of EU countries, the 2nd included only mercenaries from Georgia who were part of the" Georgian legion",
The Georgians were involved in the brutal torture and murder of Russian servicemen near Kiev in March, the MOD said.
Among them was reportedly Ratti Burduli (seriously wounded) & Teimuraz Khizanishvili (Killed) Tey featured in the March execution video
π·πΊπ±πΉ #Hackers
Rus Hacker group "KillNet" has carried out a large scale cyber attack on the Lithuanian State Network disabling around 1000 websites.
Earlier they issued a 48hr ultimatum demanding that Lithuania lift the transport blockade of Kaliningrad
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US intends to make the EU pay for the war in Ukraine
The American Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) has pointed out to Europe the need to increase military support for Ukraine.
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β‘οΈUpdate on Lisichansk β North Donbas Frontline June 28
the Allied (Russsian-L/DPR) troops are reported to have constructed pontoon crossings near Shipilovo and Privolye and crossed the Seversky Donetsk (North of Lisichansk)
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A map of the area mentioned in the previous report to get a better perception of locations. Privoliye & Shipilovo are marked with black circles
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Missile strikes carried out in Nikoleav...local reports mention 12 missiles...some were shot down by air-defences
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Artillery strike on a Ukr 2S3 152mm SP gun at Novoselovka - Nikolaev region
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A 'leisurely' drive through the streets of Popasna...note the dispersed Russian armored and automotive equipment (T-72, BMD-4M, URAL-BB)
It's still sporadically shelled by the Ukr
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The State Bureau of Investigation of Ukraine has opened a case against the commander of the small missile ship of the Russian Navy "Vyshny Volochek" for his switching allegiance to the Russian Navy in 2014
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The exhibition of knocked out Rus vehicles that was on show in Kiev has been brought to #Warsaw to boost the spirits
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A Pantsir air-def system being loaded on a landing barge for delivery to #SnakeIsland
The Island was reportedly shelled again yesterday...the Ukr command says they will capture it within 2 weeks
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Sat. pic of Stari Oskol airport in #Belgorod region - Russia
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Video of a Rus BUK-M3 SAM unit in Ukr
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A light truck with two tubes from a BM-21 Grad MLRS is in service with one of the Ukrainian units.
Few pics of UAZ "Gun trucks" in service with Rus & L/DPR units
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Rus. "Sarmat-2" light vehicle seen for 1st time in Ukr (1st pic). These were first shown during the Zapad-2021 exercise in use by VDV. It can be transported within a Mi-8 or slung underneath the helicopter
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The Ukrainian military launched a missile strike using the HIMARS MLRS in the town of Perevalsk say LPR sources
It's about 50km from the frontlines
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Rus. Su-25s at the #Lisichansk Oil Refinery filmed from a drone
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Rus Mi-35M and Mi-8AMTSh in Lisichansk area
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Video showing the LPR shelling of the Sinetskij bridge during the recent fighting for the industrial zone at #Severodonetsk
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Satellite pics released by "Roscosmos" (Rus Space agency) on the eve of the Nato summit in Madrid Spain
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Ok another day -- another 50c
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Rus have reportedly entered the Refinery from the E side thus enabling an attack on Malorazantsevo (W outskirts of Lis) & blocked the road N of Refinery
Acc to LPR, their assault groups have reached the football stadium within Lisichansk & there's fighting at a hospital
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The Rus/LPR crossing of the Seversky Donets river at Privolie is confirmed. They have established a small bridgehead at a former Holiday camp & fighting is going on for Privolie itself. They're expected to move south towards Shipilovka
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The Ukr are rushing reinforcements to #Seversk. It's believed they're planning to establish a new defence line running from Seversk to Bakhmut if/when the Lisichansk area falls.
Some are calling it the "Zelensky line" as he is the one advocating taking a stand there
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Zelensky's C&C Zaluzhny reportedly favours withdrawing to a line running from Slavyansk to Konstantinovka as those positions are better fortified & supply lines shorter
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Another video of a missile strike at #Kremenchug
Acc to the Rus MOD, western weapons deliveries were the targets of the attacks on Kremenchug
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Kh-22/32 fired from a Tu-22M3 Bomber
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Russian 2S7M "Malka" 203mm SP Gun filmed from the air
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2S4 "Tulip" 240mm Hv Mortar of the DPR 'Kalmius' Bgd.
The reporter is just stating it's characteristics. It can fire 120 - 230kg mines at a max distance of 20km
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10 000 x AN/PVS-14 Night Vision devices planned to be supplied to Ukr by the US
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US National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan said that the Russian forces frequently manage to successfully hit storage sites, where weapons supplied by Western countries are stored.
As recently as May, te Pentagon was refusing to acknowledge any losses of supplied weapons
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Rus shelling in the #Lisichansk industrial zone in the south of the city
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Rus. Helicopter gunship at work
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Artillery strike on a facility of the Ukr 28th Bgd - #Kherson - #Nikolaev frontline
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Captured Ukr "Triton" vehicle
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The Ukr have blown up a bridge in the Bakhmut area (near Pokrovsk)
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Couple of Ka-52s doing a performance
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Part of the campaign to collect funds for Bayraktar drones in Ukr π
Must've worked cause I heard they'll be getting a few for free
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Krasukha-4 EW System in Ukr...
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Ukr T-64s on the Bakhmut - Lisichansk road. There is heavy fighting going on for control of an extended section of the road north of Popasna
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Remains of the shot down UAV in Kursk region...it was a Tu-141
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From autumn, the Zaporozhye Nuclear PP will be switched to the Rus power grid. The destroyed high-voltage line to Crimea is being restored. A line is also planned to Mariupol, Taganrog & Rostov & further to Crimea, which will create an energy ring around the Sea of Azov.
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For inclusion in the Rosatom network The NPP needs to be connected to the Russian dispatching system. For this purpose, optical fiber cable is pulled from Melitopol to Energodar.
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The next time they talk about the "international community," you know what they mean. π
/Chinese Foreign Ministry/
Lets continue with a few updates π
π·πΊπΊπ¦ #Lisichansk
Acc to latest reports, it seems the Oil Refinery has been captured by Rus forces.
There are clashes in the southern industrial sector of Lisichansk which I've marked as contested gray zone.
Looks like the Ukr are withdrawing smaller groups via Belogorovka
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Pics from a Ria Novosti crew from the #Lisichansk Oil Refinery which backs up reports it's fallen to the Russians
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There's been an exchange of prisoners in Zaporozhye region. Not sure about numbers involved
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Map of main Rus offensive movements acc to the AFU command
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Another AFU map where they say the Rus are "improving" their position around Balakleya (Kharkov region) which is code for offensive actions
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Rus video from the #Severodonetsk airport
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Norway has announced that it will decomission 3 x M-270 MRLS and pass them to Ukr
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UK to supply Ukr with tanks
Ukr sources report that " Zelensky asked Johnson to influence the US/EU on the issue of weapons "sabotage" re supply of tanks & aircraft. The PM of Great Britain promised to send the first batch of tanks for Ukraine in August"
Wonder what type?
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Commander-in-Chief of the British Army Patrick Sanders:
In most scenarios, Russia will pose an even greater threat to European security after Ukraine than before.
Asked to comment on Boris Johnsons suggestion at the G-7 to take off their clothes to show they're as tough as Putin
Putin said:
"I don't know why they wanted to undress, but I think it would be a disgusting sight" (c) Putin π
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Rus T-80BVM tank that survived a hit by 125mm tank round (I think HEAT)
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Kind of funny
I should've mentioned these guys are supposedly from the ROA aka "Free Russia" unit ...or that's at least what the Ukr claim
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Rus shelling of the "Kraken" Btn in the North #Kharkov area...this is from a few days ago
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Pics of a Ukr Pz-2000 SP Gun from Germany
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Destroyed Ukr "Bushmaster", donation from Australia. Don't have the location. It could be the same one I posted a few days ago although the surrounding scenery is different
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Ukr soldiers with portable EDM4S anti-drone weapons acquired from Lithuania but originally from Israel
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A banged up Rus "Patrol-A" armoured vehicle. This one belongs to a FSVNG unit of Rosgvardia
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A Ukr DRG (Recon-Sabotage group) was intercepted in the #Kherson region
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Ukr T-64 tank being towed by a BREM recovery vehicle near #Bakhmut
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Nightly #Iskander launches towards #Kharkov area....the man says this is the 6th one launched tonight
π·πΊπΊπ¦ 1/2 Sat. pics of #SnakeIsland from June 29.
During the rocket-artillery shelling on June 27, 1 x Pantsir air-def system and a structure were destroyed
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5 x BL-820 boats can be seen in the harbour which weren't there previously
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β‘οΈThe Rus have left #SnakeIsland
The pic is from today where apparently they torched structures and equipment
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"Vitebsk" self protection system on a Ka-52 deflecting Manpads
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Rus Helicopter gunship footage
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Ukr "tricked out" Rpg...apparently they use them in place of mortars of which they're running short
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Posing with a MAM-L missile from a Bayraktar drone. The drone itself was reportedly shot down several weeks ago but recently discovered
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Rus Su25s around Donetsk reportedly attacking Ukr positions in Avdeevka
βοΈAfter a pause of several days, NATO chose to launch an attack on a Kursk (Khalino) airfield with ATACMS missiles. To distract and overload the air defense system, the attack involved drones also. Unfortunately, not all missiles were shot down.
βΎοΈThe Khalino airfield in the Kursk region, is one of the sites where reinforced concrete shelters are being built at a rapid pace.
βΎοΈBased on the published footage, it looks like 2 missiles got through and released their cluster munition payload.
βΎοΈThe exact damage caused is unknown at the moment, although it's reported that combat aircraft were moved from the border airfields and relocated further inland a while ago.
The following is a summary from several opinion type pieces
Objectively, NATO countries and the bloc's leader, the United States, have two basic options for further action:
1. Raise the stakes and continue using Western missiles on the "old" territory of Russia,
2. Abandon this and return to the previous framework of the conflict in Ukraine.
However, the second option is an admission that Russian deterrence has worked, which means significant image loss for the West.
Western missile strikes on the "old territory" have continued. Either the United States does not believe in Russia's use of force against the North Atlantic Alliance, or the outgoing Biden administration has decided to actually start a war in Europe, a scenario which it sees as favorable for the US
Therefore, the choice facing Russia is now extremely simple.
The first scenario is one in which Moscow relies on defeating the enemy on the front where it is doing well, and does not respond.
Then the level of escalation from the opposing side will increase. The next targets could include the HQ of the SMO command in Rostov-on-Don or the Black Sea Fleet base in Novorossiysk or the Crimean Bridge again.
The second scenario is Russia raising the stakes, that is, a more powerful response than the non-nuclear test of "Oreshnik". A response that could be limited to the territory of Ukraine OR expand into NATO countries.
The Russian leadership has a lot of options for action, and here it is a question of exclusively political will. Although for some reason the West does not believe the Kremlin will escalate to a level causing a large scale direct clash.
Let us also add that if the first scenario is chosen, new types of Western missile weapons may appear in Ukraine and Moscow and St. Petersburg may be under attack.
The use of a "dirty" nuclear bomb by the enemy is also a possibility
We don't know what caused the explosion at the Crimea bridge at the moment but some channels are speculating it could have been an attack with small naval drone
The Naval drone theory is seen as the most likely explanation due to no air raid alarm and the nature of the damageβ¦ https://t.co/oPbRlDGfWztwitter.com/i/web/status/1β¦
πΊπΈMQ-9 Reaper drone reported shot down at Kirkuk in Iraq.
The Pentagon says it crashed due to technical problems
People are being evacuated from the area where the bomb dropped recently in Belgorod....some reports say there is unexploded explosives or another bomb