The Ethereum Merge is one of the most powerful catalysts in crypto history, and it is quickly approaching

As we reach the endgame for ETH under the proof of work regime, let's address 10 important characteristics of post-Merge, proof of stake ETH:

(0/11)
1. Post Merge, ETH L1 fees will NOT come down

The purpose of the Merge is to deprecate Ethereum's PoW consensus mechanism and replace it with PoS. Fees are a function of blockspace demand, NOT consensus mechanism. For lower fees, use the L2s (already live) for execution

(1/11)
2. For a 6-12 month window post Merge, there will be no structural sell pressure from ETH issuance

Staked ETH and issuance/block rewards to validators cannot be withdrawn until withdrawals are enabled. However, fee tips (basefee is burned) and MEV can be withdrawn

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3. ETH inflation drops from 4.3% to 0.22% post Merge

If we assume 500,000 ETH annual fees, daily ETH issuance drops from 14,250 ETH / day to 736 ETH / day post Merge. That is a 95% reduction in issuance - meaning 95% less ETH that can be sold daily (post withdrawals)

(3/11)
4. ETH under PoS will have better security (higher cost to attack the chain) than ETH under PoW

This has been debated to death - but ETH under PoS mathematically costs more to attack than ETH under PoW. @VitalikButerin describes it best:

vitalik.ca/general/2020/1…

(4/11)
@VitalikButerin 5. Due to EIP-1559's fee burn, ETH has a deflationary monetary policy in *most* scenarios

Since a picture is a thousand words and tweets are limited - see issuance scenarios below:

In short, even with 100mm ETH staked and 0 fees, ETH inflation is only 1.51%

(5/11)
@VitalikButerin 6. Post Merge, ETH staking yield increases by 50% (conservatively)

The current ETH staking yield is 4.2%. Post Merge, with the inclusion of transaction fees (fee tips) and MEV going to validators, staking yield jumps to 6%+

See staking yield scenarios below:

(6/11)
@VitalikButerin 7. After the Merge, ETH will complement BTC's use cases as pristine collateral and a store of value

BTC has cemented its narrative as "digital gold" - and that's great

ETH's will be both a "digital bond" (staking yield = risk free rate) and DeFi's main collateral asset

(7/11)
@VitalikButerin 8. Post Merge, the Ethereum blockchain will be more sustainable than the Bitcoin blockchain

In addition to PoS being more energy efficient than PoW (99% less electricity usage), Ethereum also costs less

@ryanberckmans explains this articulately:


(8/11)
@VitalikButerin @ryanberckmans 9. ETH scaling is here!

The Merge swaps out ETH's consensus engine to PoS to increase security. A secure L1 benefits L2 rollups - where the scaling magic happens

Scaling is full steam ahead with @0xPolygon, @arbitrum, @optimismPBC, @StarkWareLtd, @zksync, and more

(9/11)
@VitalikButerin @ryanberckmans @0xPolygon @arbitrum @optimismPBC @StarkWareLtd @zksync 10. Post Merge, #Ethereum's journey will not be over

Although L1 ETH will greatly ossify after the Merge, technology needs to continue evolving

Data sharding, light clients, staking withdrawals, state mgmt, and more - all coming. From Vitalik:



(10/11)
@VitalikButerin @ryanberckmans @0xPolygon @arbitrum @optimismPBC @StarkWareLtd @zksync It is worth repeating: the ETH Merge is one of the most impressive engineering feats in blockchain history

Under a fully PoS regime, #ETH will have the economic structure to increase security, scale with L2s, grow its DeFi and NFT platforms, and overtake #BTC's throne

(11/11)

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More from @VivekVentures

Dec 30, 2021
2021 was won by alt L1s b/c rollup scaling on ETH moved too slowly

Web3 went mainstream with NFTs, gaming, DeFi 2.0

Blockspace supply on ETH remained scarce while demand blossomed. Excess demand went to alt L1s

But 2022 belongs to ETH and its rollup ecosystem:

(1/9)
While alt L1s made blockchains cheaper and more accessible in 2021, they took shortcuts to scale and will hit structural limits

Optimistic rollups are ready for the mainstream spotlight, and the ZK rollup cavalry is on the way (Polygon, Starknet, zkSync, and others)

(2/9)
There are two catalysts for ETH to go parabolic in 2022:

1) Rollups launch tokens.

Tokens represent incentives and community upside. Alt L1s won marketshare in 2021 because of tokens that went up. Rollups will follow the same playbook and bring users back to Ethereum

(3/9)
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