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Jul 12 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
A reminder that tomorrow is also first day of #NIPBill committee stage in Commons: will CON candidates use this as an opportunity to stake a claim as 'true Brexiters'? Is a vote enough, or do they need to speak on floor?

Lots of amendments too: bills.parliament.uk/bills/3182/pub…
Given the committee runs until 19th, might have to be a speech on floor to have any impact on MP rounds of voting

bills.parliament.uk/bills/3182/sta…
Key thing will be whether everyone feels they have to chip in (as a hygiene move) or just those who lack ERG's benediction

Note this also means risking dipping of hands into this particular bucket of blood, which will compromise any intent to rebuild trust w EU
And on that, I RT this from yesterday

I now sit at the more pessimistic end of possible outcomes, based on tub-thumping of past 24 hours

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More from @Usherwood

Simon Usherwood Profile picture
Jul 11
Best guess on how CON leadership contest affects Brexit

tl;dr probably aggravates EU relations in short run, certainly doesn't improve them longer-term

1/
Starting point is really bad relations right now: EU lacks trust in UK as good faith partner, NIP Bill continues through Parliament, long period of antagonistic rhetoric from govt

2/
None of candidates put Brexit centrally in their pitches, so it's more of a hygiene factor: show you're tough on this to please electorate (ie MPs), then move on

(also, some recognition that no-one wants to revisit all this)

3/
Read 12 tweets
Simon Usherwood Profile picture
Jul 7
Was thinking about this again today: if democracy is to have any meaning then we all have to actively be democrats and fight for its values and principles
If you can cast mind all the way back to yesterday morning, when Zahawi was doing the broadcast round and talking about 'delivery, delivery, delivery' as the focus from now on, it exactly failed to address the process failings of this govt
Outputs are all well and good, if you can get them, but if the means of reaching them looks (and is) suspect then you lose some of your broader legitimacy and make it harder to achieve anything in the future

[EU specialist here, so not unfamiliar with this]
Read 8 tweets
Simon Usherwood Profile picture
Jul 4
Three things to look out for in Starmer's #EU speech this evening:

- detail
- why EU will buy it
- strategic vision

1/
The overnight coverage has been quite unhelpful in answering any of these points: we have some headline 'things we'll do', but not much more

2/
Each of the proposed actions might be useful/viable, but without a more detailed unpacking, it's impossible to know

Most obviously, there are lots of 'quick deals' on the Protocol, many of which won't deal with any of the underlying issues

3/
Read 19 tweets
Simon Usherwood Profile picture
Jun 27
The DUP have published a document about the NIP, so let's have a dip in, shall we?

mydup.com/news/time-to-r…

1/
The document is mostly a list of problems, starting off with this one

2/
The mention of 'the courts' should remind us that none of the legal challenges have found the Protocol in contravention of UK laws, most recently in the Court of Appeal

judiciaryni.uk/sites/judiciar…

3/
Read 12 tweets
Simon Usherwood Profile picture
Jun 23
A quick run-through on our new @UACES @UKandEU report on "The state of the EU"

1/ ukandeu.ac.uk/research-paper…
On this 6th anniversary of #EURef, @anandMenon1 and I thought it'd be good to reflect on the EU side of things, especially in light of the invasion of Ukraine

Our authors point up the wide-ranging impacts of that war, in addition to the other challenges facing the EU

2/
As you'll see from our contents page, we've covered a huge range of topics, bringing experts from across the Continent to the discussion

3/
Read 33 tweets
Simon Usherwood Profile picture
Jun 22
The Retained EU Law dashboard looks nice, but is rubbish for tracking whether/how govt continues to follow-through on its plans to reduce presence of EU law

public.tableau.com/app/profile/go…

So I'm starting a new tracker :-)

1/
As you can see, most REUL is still in force (83% by dashboard's figures), with only 9% repealed

Biggest proportionate moves by DfE and CabOff (although small absolute numbers)

2/
Those Dpts with smaller volumes have found it easier to reduce % of unchanged REUL: the big clusters in DEFRA, DfT, Treasury and BEIS are much more slow moving

3/
Read 4 tweets

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