#Flu in #Queensland, week to 10JUL2022
😷Total numbers have continued last week's decline (2 in a row)
🔵current data point(s) change in the subsequent week as outstanding results are finalised and reported
😷Percent positive with a moving average.
🤧Steadily declining.
😷Hospital admission numbers because of #flu, broken up by region of Qld, with historical context.
🤒Drop in admissions for another consecutive week
😷Can't conclude much current detail about subtyping from such low numbers.
🧬YTD, A/H3N2 dominates but A/H1N1 made up 26% of last week's total
😷Ian's take-home messages...
📢Flu seasons pass-a good (N95) mask, worn properly, indoors increases your chances of missing this one and of protecting others from you
📢Stay home if sick (=new: cough, sneezing, headache, fever, fatigue)
📢Stay away from the elderly if sick
A thread listing some studies that have evaluated some rapid antigen tests (RATs) against PCR, each other and sometimes different SARS-CoV-2 variants.
🧪In Australia, the Therapeutic Goods Administration has organised post-market review of RATs. tga.gov.au/post-market-re…
At writing, there were 97 products of which 5 have been reviewed. This entailed use of cultured virus sensitivity testing.
🧪"Nearly all tests state in their IFU sensitivity values of > 90% for PCR-confirmed specimens. Such statements, being in strong contrast to the results of our study and to other independent evaluations" eurosurveillance.org/content/10.280…
😷Australian National #Flu data up to 03JUL22.
🦠lab-confirmed total cases⬆️ (peaked in ~first week of June)
Graphs from: www1.health.gov.au/internet/main/…
😷Yes, there is undoubtedly more testing capacity in Aus after labs beefed up PCR testing for the pandemic.
😷To check if this is a real decline in #flu, we can look at positivity rate, deaths, hospital beds & ICU occupied beds with flu-positive patients
🛏️year to date (YTD from April 2022), 113 54 lab-confirmed influenza deaths (+59 since last fortnight)🛏️YTD, 1,323 sentinel hospital admissions (+334 ⬆️; =normal lag)
🥽YTD, 86 (6.5%) of those admitted to ICU (+26⬆️; =normal lag)
#Flu in #Queensland, week to 03JUL2022
😷Total numbers have continues last week's decline (2 in a row)
🔵current data point(s) change in the subsequent week as outstanding results are finalised and reported
😷Percent positive with a moving average.
🤧Steadily declining.
😷Hospital admission numbers because of #flu, broken up by region of Qld, with historical context.
🤒Drop in admissions for another consecutive week
#Flu and #SARSCoV2 in New South Wales (NSW), Australia to week ending 25JUN2022.
😷 #SARSCoV2 total positive numbers now rising again, as #flu positives decline.
😷#SARSCoV2 rate is ~100/100,000 population for all age groups and steady while for #flu, it varies by age, up to ~60/100,00 for those aged 0-9 years, and declining
😷In terms of emergency department presentations, #flu-like illness is declining while #COVID19 presentations have stopped declining - slight⬆
#Flu in #Queensland, week to 26JUN2022
😷Total numbers are declining (again) but..
😷current data point(s) often changes in the subsequent week as outstanding results are finalised and reported
😷Percent positive with a moving average.
🤧Still >10% but declining.
😷Hospital admission numbers because of #flu, broken up by region of Qld, with historical context.
🤒Drop in admissions this week
😷Yes, there is undoubtedly more testing capacity in Aus after labs beefed up PCR testing for the pandemic.
😷One way to check this is a real rise in #flu cases, not just over-testing is to positivity rate, deaths, hospital beds & ICU occupied beds with flu-confirmed patients.
🛏️year to date (YTD from April 2022), 54 lab-confirmed influenza deaths (+27 since last fortnight)🛏️YTD, 989 sentinel hospital admissions (+256; slowing)
🥽YTD, 60 (6.1%) of those admitted to ICU (+15; slowing)