Thinking politically about #January6thHearing - the audience was not Trump supporters (are brainwashed, this won't help) or Democrats (would not vote for Trump anyway). It was for middle voters, IND voters. Very well arranged for prime time, using Trump own people & Republicans
The use of prominent Republicans & conservatives, Mitch McTurtle, Qevin McCoward in their own words condemning Trump; references to Nixon, Reagan & Margaret Thatcher. Only 2 Democrats mentioned President Biden & praising Al Gore's concession speech. All aimed at IND middle voters
And a systematic presentation to voters of military thinking & law enforcement (parts of conservatives and IND voters) so both panel members are ex military including one of two witnesses covering Air Force, Navy & Marines. Plus several quotes from senior military officers
If we think of reaching MAGA, that was never in the cards. If we think of shifting US public opinion, of 'undecided' or 'uninformed' voters - of which there are far too many - this was powerful prime time Congressional hearing. As it shifts IND voters, will push Fox to follow
The ability for Magaworld to keep defending Trump on Jan 6th is harder after today. They still will, but they will find far more resistance to that now

Last political point. There will be MORE HEARINGS in September, just 2 months before election day. BIG MISTAKE Mitch McConnell

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More from @tomiahonen

Jul 22
Quick thread on Bannon guilty verdict

Note. Bannon's trial was NOT about Jan 6th - he WILL face that trial too. This was about Bannon stupidly attempting to conceal his crimes

Let's do a quick Thread Image
First. Understand.. we know the 2 dozen organizers, plotters, planners of January 6th. They will ALL go to prison, for at least a decade, most for Life. Including the few who get plea bargains in the Grand #Flippathon

Bannon is one of original planners

But today Bannon's guilty conviction is a BONUS for us. He becomes literally the first of the January 6th ORGANIZERS to go to prison. And as a bonus, this is EXTRA time in prison Bannon serves, above and beyond his role in January 6th because of this attempt to conceal his crimes Image
Read 7 tweets
Jul 22
Keep your eyes on this

So I am seeing only a little bit of this so far, but this would make sense. Chechnya wanted to be independent of Russia, fought two wars about it. Putin crushed their hopes for independence unilaterally breaking a peace treaty & brutally massacreing them
Current Chechnya region is ruled by a warlord loyal to Putin, Kadyrov. There is a new 'civil war' type of conflict brewing in Chechnya as many locals hate Putin and Kadyrov. It would make sense as they see the weakness of Russian military, to resume conflict into 3rd Chechen War
History: First Chechen War was 1994-1995, after Soviets retreated from Afghanistan, and a catastrophic failure to Soviets (Russians) which gave Chechnya semi-autonomy but not independence

Putin as Prime Minister broke that peace treaty, launched Second Chechen War 1999-2000
Read 5 tweets
Jul 22
Jan 6 plotters: going to prison

Giuliani
Sidney Powell
Flynn
Bannon
Roger Stone
Don Jr
Eastman
Meadows
Ron Johnson
Gym Jordan
Mo Brooks
Perry
Gosar
Biggs
Hice
Babin
Harris
Gohmert
Marjorie Traitor Greene
Jenna Ellis
Navarro
Patrick Byrne
My Pillow Guy
Trump

#Jan6thHearings
For context. We are 18 months from Jan 6th

Watergate hearings started 10 months after the break-in. The hearings turned into impeachment 13 months later. 4 months after that, Nixon resigned

And 5 months later criminal convictions began of 41 Nixon criminals convicted to prison
The Jan 6th plot of coup d'etat was hatched on 18 Dec 2020

Attended
Donald Trump
Mark Meadows *

FOR COUP
Sidney Powell
General Mike Flynn
Patrick Byrne
(+ Some young lawyer)
Giuliani **

AGAINST COUP
Pat Cipollone *
Eric Herschmann *
Derek Lyons *

* Joined soon
** Joined later
Read 15 tweets
Jul 22
Legally thinking about #January6thHearing - so obviously this Committee has done a herculean job (over 1,000 witnesses have been interviewed in past 14 months) but the criminal investigation is at Dept of Justice and that is gargantuan. FAR FAR larger investigation than this
So to be clear, the DOJ investigation will have interviewed at least 90% of the people who spoke to Jan 6th Committee but DOJ will have interviewed many TIMES MORE people than this committee, and probably have 3x to 5x maybe 10x more evidence than this committee has seen
But almost all that this Committee has shown us, DOJ already had, and will get all of it of course, and DOJ has much more that will only be revealed once the criminals are brought to court.

That said, 3 fascinating details about the criminal investigation struck me from today
Read 6 tweets
Jul 20
[Singing voices]

Vocational guidance counselor!

Vocational guidance counselor!

Vocational guidance counselor!
Well Mr Ahonen, we have the results here of the aptitude tests that you took & from them we've built up a clear picture of the sort of person that you are. I can say, without fear of contradiction, that the ideal job for you is Twitter accountancy

But I am a Twitter accountant?
Well, jolly good for you. Back to the office, then

No no you don't understand. I've been a Twittered accountant for the last fourteen years. I want a new life for myself; something exciting that will let me live

Well Twitter accountancy is quite exciting, isn't it?

No it isn't
Read 8 tweets
Jul 20
Quick math on Russia's losses in the 5 months of their invasion into Ukraine:

38,750 dead soldiers = 20% of the invasion army
(note injuries far more than this = total casualties)
1,700 tanks destroyed = 29% of the invading tanks
3,905 APCs = 51% of the..
856 artillery = 23%
And as Russia's military losses in its '3 day war' now reaching 5 months are unsustainable, Russia has resorted to reactivating mothballed museum relics, sent to the failing army fighting in Ukraine

Russia has been sending T 62 tanks (50 year old) that have already seen combat
With half their armored fighting vehicle fleet already destroyed by Ukraine, Russia is sending 70 year old armored personnel carriers, with armor so thin you can penetrate it with water pistol - these pre-historic MT-LBs have started to appear as replacement armor
Read 4 tweets

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