While this is true, the reasons for the peace and security problems in Africa are IMO a classic wicked problem. Investment alone is not enough. The new U.S. Sahel Strategy identifies that Africa’s security issues are tied to Governance weaknesses - which seems correct.
Thing is though these “Governance Issues” are in large part caused by the manner in which the west has engaged with Africa. Specifically facilitating the theft of the foreign exchange earnings from minimal resource exploitation including hydrocarbons.

This appears to be SOP.
The only way I can conceive of addressing this involves solutions which address the banking intermediaries, and the flawed banking laws, regulations and oversight with make this possible.
And that will be a bitter pool for the bankers in NYC and London in particular to swallow. Absent efforts to address this I can’t see anything changing in Africa.

The #PanamaPapers and other banking secrecy leaks have identified precisely what is broken. Now it needs be fixed.

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More from @althecat

Jul 25
Wow. Although not that easy to read.

With the GERD the Blue Nile Abbay flow is forecast to be a flat line (blue line).

The graphs show Nile flow (dotted red) = Abbay + White Nile.

Result: Sustained flow Jan-Jun more than doubles & July-Sept extreme flood peak disappears.
The long term economic and safety benefits of this for both flood management and irrigation for Sudan and Egypt are enormous.

If - as predicted - rainfall variability increases and/or flood peaks are higher (which we are seeing already) the GERD will be, literally, a lifesaver.
We talk a lot about evaporation loss improvements. But this delivers much more including:
- more consistent electricity generation.
- reduced costs in flood protection and flood cleanup
- greater irrigation reliability = improved crop yields
Read 11 tweets
Jul 23
This seems to be the most interesting bit of Friday's UN Media briefing regarding the long-awaited "Black Sea Initiative" which was needed to prevent a financial, food and energy crisis globally, the implications of which are hard to fathom.
Unfortunately we as yet seem to know very little about the full details of the two agreements which are part of this.

The Black Sea initiative is related to shipping in the Black Sea. A 2nd agmnt (signed an hour or so later) lifts Russian fertiliser export sanctions - I think.
A third extremely important component of what the UNSG was seeking to achieve here was to free up financing for developing nations to ensure that they are in a position to plant, harvest and distribute crops.
Read 22 tweets
Jul 21
The failure of all weather models to identity this storm as dangerous is a wake up call. It was in the same place as the catastrophic flooding last year.

The EU needs meso-scale forecasting systems similar to those in the US.
Here's a picture of a supercell thunderstorm over Germany yesterday evening from @UwBeobachtung - storms similar to this can produce dangerous tornadoes. Europe may well soon face tornadoes - as well as acutely dangerous flooding events.
Improved weather forecasting for the entore planet has been clearly identified by the @WMO as one of the most useful investments that could be made for #ClimateAdaptation and #ClimateResilience it would be a no-brainer to deploy systems world wide like those used now in the US.
Read 4 tweets
Jul 21
#ClimateChangeMusings Thread

It is said that "history does not repeat" but that rather "it rhymes". And this is a #RhymingWeather reflection. Last night a massive, storm which had not been forecasted took place over Germany at night. Here is a 24 hour animation of the event.
A year and a week ago today the weather system that dumped torrential rain for 48 hours over Western Germany, and took 154 souls started.

It was this storm more than anything which woke up the Western World to the consequences of #ExtrremeWeather.

theguardian.com/world/2022/jul…
On the same day 14/July/21 the @EU_Commission issued a press release announcing the Green New Deal. And as rain was falling nearby they held a press confernce on July 15th to answer questions about the "Fit for 2055" plan which is set to transform Europe. ec.europa.eu/commission/pre…
Read 22 tweets
Jul 21
Why does the U.S. Military talk about business matters, trade matters, in combat terms.

Competitors for mineral extraction are not “adversaries” they are competitors.

This is why regions that are “rich” in minerals too often seem to be cursed rather than blessed.
120 years of banditry on behalf of connected US businessmen has addicted big US business to using military power, dominance and dirty tricks to achieve US commercial objectives rather than the “competitive free markets” they pretend to believe in.
And this is why in this broken world - where the rich West preach free market capitalism but practice imperialism via financial hegemony backed by lethal force - the GDP of NZ (5 million people) is twice of that of Ethiopia (115 million people).
Read 6 tweets
Jul 21
I don’t understand how Tory MP’s chose @trussliz over @PennyMordaunt, nor do I understand why media were so hard on her. Yes, great for Labour - polling suggests Mordaunt might have beaten then, but like a bit like getting to choose a new pet and choosing a hedgehog.
After you have been offered a very well trained border collie.
Part of me suspects a bunch of them interpreted the combination of common sense, thoughtfulness, service, competence and determination as performative virtue signaling.
Read 4 tweets

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