1/ π§΅The untold story of how the market origins story came to be.
Unfortunately, through no fault of my own, I feel partly responsible. Allow me to explain. π§
2/ It began with "The origins of SARS-CoV-2: A critical review".
At the time, we were trying to sort out the discrepancies of 41M Chen. Eventually we learned that there are two 41M Chen patients. One of them an accountant, and the other Wuhan-Hu-1.
3/ In the process, myself and @Drinkwater5Reed found an interview of 41M accountant, onset Dec 8, 2019 (not associated with the seafood market). His medical records are shown partially redacted in the video, as he gives an interview to thepaper. This is the moment it was found.
4/ The #drastic team was decoding the medical record, and had our own paper on 41M at the time.
Some of that data was disclosed to correct the Jiangxia dot on the map about a week later.
5/ 41M accountant from Wuchang had "fever" onset on Dec 16, 2019. The Dec 8 date was a visit to Jiangxia hospital. Although he had dizziness and feeling unwell after the first hospital visit, it's likely he was simply "exposed" during the visit Dec 9-11 at Jiangxia hospital.
6/ The interview with 41M became the foundation that the market origin was built on. Since 41M is not market associated and had a Dec 16 onset, that left market patients as the earliest on record. The full thepaper video is in the citations of the paper.
It cleared the way for today's two published papers.
I'm a bit shocked that they didn't use any of the shrimp vendor data in same video. How can you be sure she didn't pick it up at the clinic and take it into the market?
8/ As pointed out before, about 40% of cases occurred INSIDE the hospital and/or clinic. They were early super-spreaders.
9/ Not hard to imagine how a mix of FLU and SARS2 patients rapidly started spreading. They choose lower cost clinics and go for injections treatment. This is normal during FLU season in China. Unfortunately it's tight packed, low ventilation spaces.
10/ The video link that started it all, also cited in Worobey's paper.
1/ π§΅on the earliest (official) reported case of SARS2. It will take some explanation and the results are not what you'd expect. Follow the trail of crumbs. π§
2/ 41M Wuchang accountant likely had onset fever Dec 16, not Dec 8. That correction is fairly widely known.
3/ In "Dissecting the early COVID-19 cases in Wuhan"
the sources are attached in the supplemental. The WSJ made the same error declaring the shrimp vendor onset as Dec 10, instead of Dec 11. No big deal, what's the difference?
1/ "And I don't care how many questions you just ask"
Excellent, I have many questions.
2/ "hand waving you do about deleted data"
Do you mean the deleted early patients not related to market, LineageA genomes, published/removed genomes or research papers? These are all pretty important IMO.
3/ "unfunded grant applications"
I assume you mean the DARPA proposal. Yes, except the Chinese likely funded it on their own.
1/ Good summary of the racoon dog narrative and how the story is presented so far. The scientific hypothesis of racoon dog origin at the seafood market has basic logical flaws though.
3/ A call for more sampling is certainly welcome. However, fur farms operate in Northern China as in the stock picture used from Hengdaohezi, Heilongjiang, China. The cold weather is better for quality fur farming. There's no SARS2 backbone in that area.
2. First, I'd like to thank the #DRASTIC team for the many hours put into the research. I've spent over a year reading for 15+ hours a week just to keep up with all your new work!!!
3. I was following along on the decoding of the partially redacted Su name a few weeks ago. I was pleased that the Su conclusion posted was the same as my own result. There wasn't much question on the Wang name, it was pretty clear.