COVID-19: Masks mandates reduced Alberta school outbreaks by 68%
In Feb 2022 Alberta was given data that schools are hubs of COVID-19 infections, cases are spread from schools to community and increased risk of children hospitalization each wave (
The very disappointing part is that the Alberta government buried their own analysis and only a court-order was able to bring it to light for the public to see (
They looked at outbreaks in schools with and without mandates and found schools without mask mandates had 3.2x more outbreaks in their schools on average (page 75). 3/
Not only that, but there are more cases in the communities surrounding schools than the average across the whole city of Edmonton (page 78). 4/
You can also see that the hospitalization rate of children per 100,000 population has been getting more severe with each wave, especially in our youngest children (page 79). 5/
Between waves 3 and 5, hospitalization rates have increased:
5.5x = < 1 years
3.8x = 5-9 years
2.8x = 1-4 years
6/
In the 5th wave alone children < 1 years old were being hospitalized at a rate 12.7x higher than school age children 5-19 years old so you really don't want siblings bringing the virus home from school. 7/
Despite evidence, provincial governments and ministers of health & education have been trying to convince all that kids don't transmit the virus in schools or impact the community. There is a big difference to what they say in private compared to what they say to the public. 8/
As Dr. David Fisman puts it "you get this manufacture of epidemiological uncertainty, where none exists" (
You will never hear a public health official say, "kids will transmit and amplify in communities, but we think it’s worth it, given trade offs and the political considerations". 10/
Meanwhile not providing proper mitigations in schools leads to high absences of students and teachers, not to mention the risk of Long COVID for every person who gets infected. 11/
Dr. Christina Pagel highlights that at the end of this school year in the UK, the highest ever absences were recorded for secondary school with 19% of students gone! (
Improving ventilation, filtering the air and actually monitoring air quality can help achieve a significant reduction in the chance our children will get infected or transmit the virus at school helping prevent it get back into the community as well (
COVID-19: Improving ventilation reduced likelihood of infection by 80% in schools
A preprint study found the relative risk of infection decreased with the increase in ventilation for those equipped with mechanical systems ( arxiv.org/abs/2207.02678 ). H/T: @linseymarr 🧵1/
The study investigated more than 10,000 classrooms in Italy. Ventilation rates ranging from 10-14 L/sec per person reduced the likelihood of infection for students by 80% compared to classrooms with only natural ventilation. 2/
They determined that relative risk was reduced 12%-15% for each additional unit of ventilation rate per person. 3/
It would be great if our children could have less disruption at school this year since we know what needs to be done, it just needs to get done. 2/
Now that we are on the 7th wave, it should be obvious to policy makers that vaccines alone are not enough so we need to implement additional measures that are known to reduce the risk of infection. 3/
COVID-19: Clinical impact of BA.5 and Ontario Update
A pre-print study in Denmark found a 1.65x increased risk of hospitalization for BA.5 infection compared to BA.2 and similar 3rd dose vaccine effectiveness for BA.5 and BA.2 infection ( papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf… ). 🧵1/
People with 3 doses of vaccine and a prior Omicron infection was still 93.6% protective against BA.5 compared to 3 doses and prior Alpha (65.4%) or Delta (46.9% ) variant infection. Every time you get exposed to the virus however, there is a chance you can develop Long COVID. 2/
I have heard from so many people in Ottawa who have become infected now, many of whom had recently attended outdoor events like Bluesfest or even outdoor patios. In crowded areas these latest Omicron variants are so transmissible people are being infected outdoors. 3/
COVID-19: Finance sector noticing profound disruption to health of millions
Money talks and and the financial press is talking about how COVID-19 "is still causing profound disruption to the health of millions, with repercussions for society." ( ft.com/content/63dcc4… ).🧵1/
The UK has been hit with 3 Omicron variant waves this year and at the height of March's wave 1 in 13 people were infected with COVID-19. While vaccines have helped reduce the risk of hospitalization and death, the main concern is now Long COVID. 2/
The number of people dropping out of the labour force due to illness has increased dramatically during the pandemic in both the USA and UK. 3/
COVID-19: Who is most at risk of developing Long COVID and BA.5 risk assessment
There is still much to learn about Long COVID but Fortune has an interesting article with educated guesses about who might be most at risk ( fortune.com/2022/07/03/lon… ).🧵1/
Researchers they spoke to identified at least 6 at risk groups:
- people with repeat COVID-19 infections regardless of severity
- people with high viral load during their infection
- people with dormant Epstein-Barr virus (EBV), one of the most common human viruses
2/
- people with autoimmune antibodies circulating
- people who had neurological symptoms during infection
- people who have not been vaccinated
3/
Hospitalizations are increasing in Ontario and haven't even reached the level of previous waves but the amount of transmission without any measures in place to control the spread have caused multiple ERs to close or reduce hours. 🧵1/
The healthcare system is buckling under the pressure of too many staff being absent, whether in self-isolation from being infected, sick, long-term illness, or even being burnt out. 2/
Whether you need emergency help from your COVID-19 infection or anything else, you might be out of luck depending on where you live. 3/