Lazarus Long Profile picture
Jul 28, 2022 10 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Asymptomatic transmission of CoVid. Remember that discovery?

That was it! Everyone knew it had to be airborne. No symptoms means no coughing, and no droplets.

Airborne.

A quick thread on 3 asymptomatic transmission cases.... of Monkeypox.
Let's go to Belgium!

Specifically, a large Belgium STI clinic. They tested swabs collected back in May.
And found 3 individuals who tested positive for monkeypox.

No symptoms. But had monkeypox.

How do we interpret this? Let's let the author do the honors.
Close contacts can transmit with no symptoms.

So, how does the virus get from one person to the other?

Nobody says and sprays it, that much.

Nobody licking doorknobs.

But friends chatting by the water cooler? Exchanging aerosols?

Happens all the time.
Thanks to @fitterhappierAJ for the intro picture.

Preprint (usual caveats):
medrxiv.org/content/10.110…

Thank you to @IrithItm, I believe, who appears to be one of the authors of a fascinating study.

That may just have changed the world for a little bit better.
Thank you, and welcome to the thread, as I did not know that!

@threadreader unroll please
Thank you for the further evidence of Monkeypox asymptomatic patients!

Given that SARS1, Influenza, CoVid, chickenpox, measles, etc all have transmission either presymptomatically or asymptomatically?

Monkeypox will also fit in there, too.

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More from @LazarusLong13

Aug 30
I had to sit down for this bit of #H5N1 news (redid 🧵).

It will truly be a miracle if it does NOT get into humans enough that we go full world pandemic.

Crazy that this could be gleaned from one paragraph.

Virus was detected 16 days BEFORE symptoms.

Do you see it, too?

/1 In unpublished research, scientists at Colorado State University and Iowa State University who tested bulk milk tank samples found that the virus is detectable 14 to 16 days before farms saw a significant increase in symptoms like low appetite, lethargy, fever, and a dropoff in milk production.
If the virus is in the milk two weeks before any symptoms, then we WILL get raw milk drinkers drinking infected milk.

Because the symptoms include the clotty milk.

Maybe we get that miracle. Maybe we get lucky.

Viruses never mutate in predictable ways, so there's that.

/2
But. Combine that presymptomatic viral milk with raw milk drinkers AND cryotolerant #H5N1 👇👇 ?

I view that paragraph above the same as the first video I saw of people collapsing in Wuhan.

It's coming. It's just a matter of when.
/3


Read 5 tweets
Aug 30
Brendan Jackson was the @CDCgov Incident Manager of COVID.

He is directly responsible for Covid's disappearance, the pastel maps - all of it.



A thread on why he is lying...and how he just lied to Lygia.

It starts with his uniform. ncicp.org/staff-member/b…

Image
It is the uniform of the US Public Health Service. The CDC belongs to it.

The CDC is run by the CDC Director who is a political appointee, appointed by Biden.

CDC is also directly under the HHS - all under Biden.

This picture was of Biden and his dog who ranked higher. This picture was of Biden and his dog who ranked higher.   Now, showing Brendan directly below.
Not an insult, actually, a factual statement.

Just the other day Cohen urged vigilance. How?

Jackson oversaw the pastel greening of the COVID cases...and then getting rid of it altogether like Pinochet disappearing his people.

Because public health is political health and
Read 20 tweets
Aug 23
Respectfully, this 👇 is wrong.

We are in a war with a virus, and a society allied with a virus. You can lie during war to protect yourself.

As someone who is actually immunocompromised, I sign off on everyone saying they are immunocompromised to get others to mask.

/1
Just saw someone in a COVIDing group suggest someone else feign being immunocompromised to get an accommodation to mask and, while I can understand the desire to do this, I am BEGGING people not to. That is EXACTLY what people assume about disabled people when we request accommodations (that we are lying) and people actually lying is going to make our lives much harder. Please find another way.
This👇 is silly.

As someone who has used "Never mind this, I am immunocompromised, " many times to defuse situations and get my protection?, here's what happens.

'Immunocompromised? What's that?'

"My immune system isn't very good at fighting

/2 That is EXACTLY what people assume about disabled people when we request accommodations (that we are lying) and people actually lying is going to make our lives much harder. Please find another way.
viruses, fungi, and bacteria. "

'Oh. I am so sorry, honey.'

"No big deal, I just have to be more careful. By the way, if you notice yourself getting sick more? Covid wears down your immune system. An awful lot of people started out with no mask, and now have to mask.

/3
Read 9 tweets
Aug 22
In June 2024, 27% of Americans thought COVID-19 was a large or moderate risk to their health.

Now? 32 %!!

Before 8% were wearing masks all the time

Now? 13%!!

H /t @AcrossTheMersey

axios.com/2024/08/22/pol…
How much respondents say contracting COVID-19 is a risk to their health and wellbeing Surveys of at least 1,000 U.S. adults conducted February 2023 to August 2024
63% said they have a great deal or fair amount of trust in the @CDCgov.

Which explains why 52% think the pandemic is over, and regard the risk of covid the same as flu or RSV.

Which is exactly what @CDCDirector wanted.
Driving the news: With infections believed to be growing in more than two dozen states and the Food and Drug Administration poised to approve updated vaccines as soon as this week, 32% of those polled said COVID poses a large or moderate risk to their health, compared with 27% in early June.  But they rate the risk about the same as that for the flu, RSV or other respiratory illnesses — and 52% strongly or somewhat agree that the pandemic is over.
Nearly one-third of Americans see COVID as a threat to their health, but the summertime wave of infections hasn't changed the widespread belief that the virus is no worse than seasonal flu, according to the latest Axios-Ipsos American Health Index.  Why it matters: Comparing COVID to the flu was once an incendiary political talking point. Now, it's where many people have landed.
@CDCgov @CDCDirector We can see Cohen set up Covid as a seasonal virus just like Flu and RSV here, as an example.

She was everywhere talking about this conflation of Covid with flu and RSV.


Image
Read 6 tweets
Aug 22
Thank you to @AdvancedTweaker for the sweet #swimN95, #swimmingN95, #lapN95 thread!

I am blessed to have a lake nearby, right now, but have been trying to crack this nut.

I actually like lap swimming, head up, so this is a great option.

But I love swimming head down.

/1
Comparison of filtration scores.
I passed a Bittrex fit, went swimming, passed another Bittrex after, with this setup. No flip turns, of course, but head down.

3 rubber bands.

Filti*****


FINIS over head snorkle

/2 filti.com/product/filti-…
a.co/d/byKIVk2


Image
3 rubber bands, filti, snorkle
9.5 inches x  9.5 inches
Bone Conduction Bluetooth earphones (French coffee shop music).

Combine this with your towel and N95 on the side of the pool, plus the ability to shower safely👇, and the serenity of the water is back.



/3amazon.com/dp/B0C2TFRMZG?…
Read 9 tweets
Aug 19
Let's just stick with the facts.

Dr. Mullen can say 10%, because there are studies stating 10%, per John Hopkins.



CIDRAP has 1b at "roughly" 6%.

6%? 10%? The numbers will sort out lower eventually- but even 3.3% is 🔥.



/1 centerforhealthsecurity.org/sites/default/…
cidrap.umn.edu/mpox/mpox-case…



Image
Image
Clade 1b spreading in DRC Some of the cases have been caused by what researchers are calling "clade 1b," a new mpox lineage identified in the DRC last year that is highly transmissible and has a higher CFR than clade 2, which swept across the globe in 2022 among men who have sex with men in a sexual transmission pattern. The CFR for clade 2 is less than 1%, while 1b’s CFR is roughly 6%.  There is evidence in the DRC that clade 1b is spreading both through household transmission and sexual transmission, with clade 1b and clade 2 outbreaks occurring simultaneously.   Currently the D...
His core message is valid. IF it comes here, we WILL be on our own.

Just like with Covid. It is what it is.

The Collateral Damage Theory of Public Health.

And IF it comes here, there is nothing wrong with withdrawing your child from school and home schooling them.
Because the surface and aerosol stability of mpox is truly impressive.

But, in order to keep it out of our schools, it is far better to get massive amounts of vaccines over there.

Every single person should be contacting their representative on that.
Read 6 tweets

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