James Wilson Profile picture
Aug 6 11 tweets 3 min read
Idukki reservoir, Kerala's biggest, is on RED Alert!

But nothing to worry, when to open it will be decided soon after State Rule Level Committee today noon.

There will be only moderate releases with present situation as we have plenty of dynamic cushion

#KeralaFloods2022
We regulated Idukki since July 20 to keep it at check looking at various global forecasts for 14 days, not blindly following IMD.

The professional reservoir management of KSEBL resulted to save Kochi from flooding last week, as Idukki absorbed all very heavy flows
Idukki seen 600 to 800 cumecs inflow during last couple of days. All that were absorbed by Idukki, when Aluva Siva temple submerged. Dread to imagine NO Idukki-Idamalayar then, Kochi airport & many low lying areas would be under water.

But keep on blaming dams & engineers
Idamalayar, Kerala's 2nd biggest also played a huge role in absorbing the floods. It absorbed between 600 to 700 cumecs during the current flooding.

Peak flood absorbed by both these reservoirs were 1500 cumecs (53,000 cusecs). That is what you witnessed in Poringalkuthu!
Remember after 1961 floods, Kerala's political leadership & engineers take a considered decision to build big dams to reduce the flood frequency.

So we had all big dams now saving us! But never demand unlimited capacity, everything has a threshold.

That is nature's RULE
Go back and read classics of Takazhi & Pottakad to understand how people battled the floods before these dams.

Idukki's only SIN is it saved Kerala from many severe floods since 1974 till 2018, when once in a 100 threatened a dam overflow!
Here journalists write fantasy reports & best selling books to blame dams for all floods!

Global funding agencies come to offer Utopian solutions, PhD scholars & Professors living in ivory towers advise us how to manage floods without grappling an iota of nuances of Kerala
We are unique! Our topography, orographic, weather pattern, the travel time of runoff all leave us no time for take decisions. It is a tough call for a dam manager to take all his experience over decades, when top bureaucracy trusts us the onus on us is immense.

We are ready too
We believe that our allegiance is to our society! We are public servants and we owe back a lot to our society & we are proud to raise to the occasion and deliver!

We don't want ur bouquets but stop throwing bricks at least!

Stop seeing everything through politics's yellow lens
There is full co-operation we are getting from our counterparts in TN side to manage PAP system.

None of us are slept for last 5 days! The DCs, SDMA officials all are around us. We are taking calls within no time fully realising the great responsibility on our shoulders!

END
State Rule Curve Monitoring Committee recommended Government to open Idukki reservoir tomorrow morning 10.00 am and start with a spillway release 50 cumecs.

It is endorsed by the Hon'ble CM and actions have been initiated by DDMA, Idukki & KSEBL authorities

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More from @jamewils

Jun 20
As per Wikipedia, Modi's mother was born in 1920, citing from "Narendra Modi: A Political Biography" by Marino Andi
As per this article by moneycontrol in 2021 from @PTI_News, Modi's mother is 95 years old in 2021 when she had COVID vaccination jab

moneycontrol.com/news/india/pm-…
As per this article by timesnownews, she was 95 in 2014
Read 9 tweets
May 6
#CoalCrisis

Reasons for coal shortage is mainly due to 3 reasons.

1. Huge Arrear outstanding against GENCOs
2. Single Window e-auction for non-linked domestic coal
3. Huge price of coal at international market due to Ukraine war
As per official PRAAPTI portal, the undisputed dues outstanding against GENCOS from the DISCOMS as of April 2022 had touched 1.068 lakh crores.

Many DISCOMS arrear is outstanding from 6 months to more than 12 months.

So cash flow to GENCOS throttled
So the GENCOS together owe around Rs.8000 crores to the Coal India Ltd.

Systematic constrains, unstainable subsidies, huge distribution losses & failure of regulatory regime to see DISCOMS run in a sustainable manner is affecting India's energy security.
Read 15 tweets
Apr 27
Let me decode the petrol price build up again for you.

This pie chart is preapred from the price build-up given by IOC dated 16-04-2022, ex-Delhi.

The tax on petrol is 43% of the total price of petrol, ie, we pay 80% as tax on the base price of petrol.

#thread #fueltax Image
The source is here, IOC price build-up for ex-Delhi

Base Price - Rs. 56.32/lit
Freight & Dealer Commission - Rs. 0.20+3.86/lit
Central Excise Duty - Rs. 27.90/lit
State VAT - Rs. 17.13/lit Image
How the Central Government increased the Excise duty on Petrol, this chart will explain it.

While NDA took over in 2014, the tax was Rs.9.48 (wef 14/09/22), it was continuously increased to Rs.32.98 (on 6.06.2020.

On 4.11.2021, the central excise is reduced to Rs.27.90 Image
Read 14 tweets
Dec 5, 2021
Today's @the_hindu says concern on the #Mullaperiyar Dam was first raised in 1979.

As our research & memory is so short, let me share @timesofindia Mumbai Edition dated 11.05.1962 (a typed copy from Kerala Secretariat files)
Interestingly, who raised alarm about safety of Mullaperiyar Dam after independence?

Not Kerala Engineers, it is TN PWD Engineers who said that the dam is seismically & hydrologically NOT SAFE and recommended strengthening!

They even published papers in reputed journals!
I have all documents with me to substantiate the above tweets, it is the consistent and continuous meticulous research I am doing since 2006.

Everything will be included, when I publish my book on #mullaiperiyardam.

I will write the book for the future generations
Read 5 tweets
Dec 3, 2021
"If the rule curve acknowledges 142 feet, here it is equal to permitted Full Reservoir Level (FRL) at the end of the season.

But if you blindly follow it, you will be forced to throw all the water downstream in case it rains."
So prudence is required when there is cyclonic circulation prevailing and heavy rainfall alerts are around.

One should never store upto FRL.

I had to fight to sell this important point on operational safery to many of peers too!
People are got confused with structural safety, hydrological safety and operational safety.

Your dam may be safe for 142 ft FRL, but if you plan to store water to the brim, you left with zero flexibility.

You are comprising the operational safety!
Read 4 tweets
Nov 7, 2021
If someone is accusing High prices of Fuel is due to MMS Government's opening Petroleum sector to open market, they are shutting their eyes & propagating inconvenient truths.

A #thread on what lead to such a decision
Due to volatility of the markets, the very subsidies provided by the Government of keeping the fuel prices to check became unsustainable!

actual under-recovery in 2012-13 was ₹ 1,61,029 crore, out of which Diesel alone accounted for ₹ 92,061 crores (57%).
2012-13 Government provided cash compensation of ₹ 1 Lakh crore while upstream companies (ONGC/OIL/ GAIL) contributed ₹ 60,000 crore.

₹ 1029 crore was absorbed by the OMCs.
Read 11 tweets

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