#WhatIf the "Business Plot" succeeded in overthrowing FDR in 1933? There probably would have been an anti-capitalist Revolution in the US a few years later, and ironically Smedley Butler probably would have been one of its leaders. #alternatehistory (1)
Blah blah, second American civil war 1933-1938, the United Socialist States of America is established, its a dictatorship, because that's what communism always slides into, heard it all before. (2)
Fast forward to the cold war with two communist blocs (cue the comparisons to 1984). The US would still win, and probably would have at best a Chinese-style economic/political system in the 2020s, and would still be the world's strongest economy and most powerful nation. (3)
Why? Because while writers LOVE historical parallelism with the Soviet Union when writing about a communist USA, there's no getting around the fact that the geographic advantages of the US FAR exceed the Soviet Union. (4)
Russia is just a crappy place to try govern. Rivers flow to the arctic, and back up with ice dams every year, you have horrifying seasonal flooding that turns the ground to mud then back to ice, which means roads are a pipe dream in much of the country. It deeply sucks. (5)
Compare that to the US. Temperate climate for much of its territory, largest inland and intercoastal waterway system on the planet with the former overlaying the biggest breadbasket anywhere. Meaning HUGE food and manufacturing surpluses that are easy to move. (6)
So the Soviet Union, probably still gone in 1991 in this TL, and the USSA, a repressive dictatorship run by the military (where the Soviets were run by the Intelligence Services)... but its not going anywhere. (7)
Now, Tankies are probably drooling over this TL, but know that the US would still be an Empire, and would still meddle in the affairs of Latin America to keep the Soviets out.
Just ask the Chinese how well Marxism unites nations with disparate strategic interests. (8)
One possible change that would be interesting is that IF Allende takes power, even if he's overthrown, the USSA would might taken an interest in Project Cybersyn. Imagine the 1980s with an unholy union of Yuppies and Communists. (9) en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_C…
The 1990s would see these party members supplant the octogenarian leaders from the Revolution, and paint their new system as liberalizing the government, but really this would be the trappings of neoliberalism wrapped up in a red flag. (10)
Point is: I want to read a book or see a series of a modern, communist America that doesn't just fall into, "What if America was the Soviet Union," have some fun with just how weird and farcical the USSA would be. (11)
Skipping over the problematic historiography, I think Friedman is making a mistake a lot of people are making right now: he's assuming the collapse/crisis is immanent.
I think we have another 5 years and we're barely at the beginning of how bad things can get. (1/)
Simply put, most of us alive today were born in the Long Peace, and Americans in particular have a bad habit of failing to appreciate just how bad things can get. We are at most in the middle of a new Sectional Crisis. (2/)
Oversimplifying, the Sectional Crisis (1848-1861) was a period or American history following the end of the Mexican American war, and really the end of the Missouri Compromise with the Compromise of 1850. (3/)
1: Some industry buddies and I have been taking another crack at the Drake equation based on recent discoveries in astronomy and came away with an eerie conclusion:
There was less than a 50% chance for Earth to have developed an industrial civilization at this point (1) #space
2: For the unfamiliar, here's Carl Sagan running the Drake Equation in 1977.
3: Since Frank Drake came up with this thought experiment in 1961 we've learned quite a bit about the development of sentient life on our own planet, and more about exoplanets than can be summarized in a tweet.
Pitch: Bobby has been living in New York working on his standup routine and writing for SNL. He's coming home because he's got a Netflix special coming out. The series is very much an indictment of small town America, and Texas in particular.
In May of 1992, after a decade of spite-fueled lobbying, the final state to ratify the Congressional Apportionment Amendment... and all hell breaks loose.
Like in OTL, many Congressmen are livid that a new amendment has been imposed upon them, and try to block certification. (2)
On May 18, 1992, the Archivist of the United States, Don W. Wilson, certifies that the amendment's ratification had been completed, despite more legitimate calls that the wording of the amendment is unworkable. (3)
The National Ignition Facility uses Inertial Confinement to achieve nuclear fusion. What that means is that you shoot a 192 laser beams (2.1 megajoules combined) at a thimble full of Hydrogen-3 (Tritium) and Hydrogen-2 (Deuterium.) (1)
...In a fraction of a second these gasses become almost 100x denser than lead which initiates fusion, essentially creating an artificial star.
This test, lasted 3.14 femto-seconds. Or 3.14 quadrillionths of a second. In that time it produced 2.5 megajoules of energy. (2)
Now, there are some challenges that still need to be overcome. Firstly, the NIF isn't a powerplant, there's no way for them to actually harness the energy of a fusion reaction. That's partly why the reaction was so brief, the heat had nowhere to go. (3)
Since Artemis I has splashed down, I figured I'd give a no BS assessment from am aerospace industry insider (me) on what comes next for Cislunar exploration.
Either late this year or early next year, Astrobotic will attempt a landing on the moon under a NASA contract... (1)
A second landing was planned to deliver NASA's VIPER rover to the Lunar South Pole in November next year, but that mission required the XL-1 lander built by Masten, who went bankrupt this year. Even if Masten's assets are acquired, a completed XL-1 is unlikely in 2023. (2)
2023 will also not see the DearMoon mission fly. I really don't know anyone who takes that mid-2023 launch date seriously. Odds are Starship will complete an uncrewed orbital test flight sometime next year, but we're 2 years away from putting test pilots on board. (3)